FanDuel PGA Value Plays: Valspar Championship

by Matthew Young
Mar 7, 2018

The PGA Tour’s next stop is the Valspar Championship, starting Thursday, March 8th. I’ve put together my top two value picks that you can include on your daily fantasy golf team this weekend, along with some analysis of why I’ve included these golfers. These are both top-tier golfers, but not necessarily the top two overall picks. Rather than drafting the most expensive golfers out there, these two are likely to give you more room at the bottom of your roster for top talent.

Before you draft your own team, remember that each daily fantasy sports site is a little bit different when it comes to scoring, and what works at one site might not necessarily work at another. The advice and the salary amounts given here are for drafting a roster at FanDuel. The roster might do well at another DFS site, but it might not. It’s important that you know how the scoring works at whatever site you play at so that you can maximize the value of each golfer that you draft and optimize your chances of playing well. Just because someone is a great value pick on FanDuel does not mean they will be a strong pick on other sites.

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Henrik Stenson $11,600
Stenson is probably the top value pick this week with a salary of $11,600. He has a lower salary than many of the other highly-ranked players, clocking in at $800 cheaper than the No. 1 ranked Jordan Spieth. However, he has averaged more than 19 points higher than Spieth. Of course, the downside of Stenson is that he hasn’t played nearly as much as Spieth or some of the others ranked above him in terms of salary. He’s only played in one large tournament this season, and that was back in October. Stenson has played a bit since then, but not in larger tournaments. At the Hero World Challenge at the end of November, he would have only posted 65.1 fantasy points. Still, Stenson is capable of upsetting the field here if he performs at the level he’s capable of. Even if he shows less than 80 fantasy points this week, he is still priced fairly. He has a bit of risk involved when it comes to drafting him, but his ceiling is much more lucrative than the risk is harmful.

Tony Finau $10,800
Finau has been up and down a bit this season, but the drops in performance that he’s experiencing are becoming less severe. That could be a sign that he’s ready to break out. His salary of $10,800 makes him approachable this week, and his fantasy point average of 75.6 puts him in the top tier when it comes to potential. He has made eight out of nine cuts so far this season, and last weekend at the World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship, he would have had a much better than 27th place finish if it wasn’t for a weak final round. He dropped off significantly toward the end of the final day to finish at three-over par. It hurt his fantasy performance a bit, giving him a below average 66.5 points. Finau has been bouncing back after tournaments like this, and I expect him to perform at a higher level than his $10,800 salary indicates.

Matthew Young is a correspondent at FantasyPros. For more from Matthew, check out his archive and his blog at www.windailyfantasy.com and follow him at @AuthorMGYoung.

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