DRAFT MLB Lineup Advice: Monday (4/16)
The weather was not friendly to the baseball, and DFS, community on Sunday. Six games were postponed. As for Monday, one game got the PPD tag early. Rainy weather in Boston has nixed the BAL/BOS matchup for Monday. Sadly, that was projected to have the highest run total of the slate.
As for your DRAFT choices, you only have two options on Monday: 11 games (6:35 pm) and three games (10:05 pm).
This article is posted well before lineups are released by the managers. If you have a question, feel free to reach me on Twitter @CharlieSideHstl.
1. Luis Severino, NYY (vs. MIA)
2. Jacob deGrom, NYM (vs. WSH)
3. Aaron Nola, PHI (@ ATL)
4. James Paxton, SEA (vs. HOU)
5. Dallas Keuchel, HOU (@ SEA)
6. Luis Castillo, CIN (@ MIL)
7. Jaime Garcia, TOR (vs. KC)
8. Blake Snell, TB (vs. TEX)
9. Adam Wainwright, STL (@ CHC)
10. Brent Suter, MIL (vs. CIN)
Plenty of quality arms pitching on Monday, but a few stand out among the rest. Severino and the Yankees are the biggest favorites of the ticket (-350). Those type of odds are a rarity and must not be taken lightly. Severino was rocked in his last outing (five earned runs against Boston), but this lineup isn’t as potent. Miami has scored 46 runs in 14 games (26th in MLB). Boston has scored the second-most (86). Severino has also struck out at least six batters in each of his outings in 2018.
For deeper drafts, Garcia will be a steal for some lucky owner. He gets the Royals on Monday, who’ve scored the fewest runs in baseball (39 runs in 13 games). Also, calculating the active Kansas City roster with 2017 stats, the Royals rank 27th in team wOBA against left-handed pitchers (.300 wOBA). Garcia has tallied at least five punchouts in each start this season.
1. Giancarlo Stanton, NYY (vs. MIA)
2. Eric Thames, MIL (vs. CIN)
3. Trea Turner, WSH (@ NYM)
4. Cody Bellinger, LAD (@ SD)
5. Kris Bryant, CHC (vs. STL)
6. Travis Shaw, MIL (vs. CIN)
7. Matt Carpenter, STL (@ CHC)
8. Trevor Story, COL (@ PIT)
9. Mike Moustakas, KC (@ TOR)
10. Jose Abreu, CWS (@ OAK)
11. Joey Votto, CIN (@ MIL)
12. Nelson Cruz, SEA (vs. HOU)
13. DJ LeMahieu, COL (@ PIT)
14. Justin Smoak, TOR (vs. KC)
15. Whit Merrifield, KC (@ TOR)
16. Gary Sanchez, NYY (vs. MIA)
17. Carlos Santana, PHI (@ ATL)
18. Freddie Freeman, ATL (vs. PHI)
19. C.J. Cron, TB (vs. TEX)
20. Corey Seager, LAD (@ SD)
Guess who’s back in the infielder rankings? Stanton! Yes, after a short stint in the OF portion of the DRAFT player pool, Stanton has returned with a “DH” distinction. That’s great news for us, regardless of his nature to go oh-fer in past contests. He’s facing a lefty on Monday. Stanton produced a .441 ISO against left-handed pitchers in 2017. Lock. Him. In.
Toronto has the second-highest implied run total for the Monday slate (4.9 runs), even without Josh Donaldson. One bat to consider for your draft selection is Smoak. Though he’s been hitless in his last three games, Smoak is still batting .389 (7-for-18) against left-handed pitchers this season. In 2017, Smoak smacked a .234 ISO against southpaws. Monday’s starter, Eric Skoglund, allowed five earned runs in his last outing and right-handed hitters batted .366 against him last year.
1. Charlie Blackmon, COL (@ PIT)
2. Tommy Pham, STL (@ CHC)
3. Aaron Judge, NYY (vs. MIA)
4. Chris Taylor, LAD (@ SD)
5. Bryce Harper, WSH (@ NYM)
6. Odubel Herrera, PHI (@ ATL)
7. Ian Happ, CHC (vs. STL)
8. Khris Davis, OAK (vs. CWS)
9. Yasiel Puig, LAD (@ SD)
10. Dexter Fowler, STL (@ CHC)
11. Rhys Hoskins, PHI (@ ATL)
12. Curtis Granderson, TOR (vs. KC)
13. Yoenis Cespedes, NYM (vs. WSH)
14. Hunter Renfroe, SD (vs. LAD)
15. Starling Marte, PIT (vs. COL)
16. Steve Pearce, TOR (vs. KC)
17. Adam Duvall, CIN (@ MIL)
18. Lorenzo Cain, MIL (vs. CIN)
19. Jose Pirela, SD (vs. LAD)
20. Michael Conforto, NYM (vs. WSH)
Nolan Arenado is still serving his five-game suspension. That’s unfortunate, because he crushes left-handed pitching. On the bright side, Blackmon has been filling in for Arenado at the three-spot in the batting order. Blackmon has homered in back-to-back games. Those were against Max Scherzer and Stephen Strasburg. The pitches should look a little easier with Steven Brault on the mound.
Pham is one of the hottest hitters in baseball right now. In the past week, Pham is 9-of-23 (.391) with two extra-base hits and three stolen bases. He’s notched at least one hit in five consecutive games (multi-hit performances in four of the past five). He’ll face righty, Tyler Chatwood, on Monday. In 2017, Pham finished with a .201 ISO against right-handed pitchers.