FanDuel NBA Value Plays: Wednesday (4/4)
Tonight could be one of the toughest slates of the year. There are only six games on the FanDuel main slate. With this being the last week of the season, it is tough enough trying to figure out which players are going to play but to make it even more difficult, 10 of the 12 teams in action tonight are on back-to-backs. Of the five games with a Vegas line at the time of this writing, the Memphis-New Orleans game has the highest projected score of 216. The Lakers-Spurs game has not yet been assigned a line, but it should be the highest on the slate.
As far as salaries go, Anthony Davis is far and away the stud of the evening with a $12,600 price tag. Andre Drummond is second at $10,000. There are three players in the 9k range. You will want to decide whether you will be jamming Davis into your lineups or playing more of a balanced roster.
If you want to play Davis or any of the other stars tonight, then you’ll need to find some salary relief to fit them into your roster. This is the time of year when plenty of value tends to open up. The only question is who that will be and when will you know who to play. Sometimes the news comes later in the day as to which players will sit and which bench players will get their chance to shine.
Here are 10 value plays that are worth considering as you set your lineup for tonight’s slate of games. Remember to check the news and injury reports, especially in the 30 minutes prior to lock. Use all the information available to make the best decision possible for your lineup. Good luck and have fun!
Patty Mills (SAS): $4,700 at LAL
There are a couple of nice options in this price range with Mills, Fred VanVleet, Shelvin Mack, or Yogi Ferrell. I will go with the veteran Mills because his matchup is better and he is a little bit more consistent with his minutes, though Ferrell might get a bump in playing time tonight if Dennis Smith Jr. sits. In his last nine games, Mills has returned at least 5x value. He has earned 30+ FD points twice in his last six games. He earned 28.7 FD points last night against the Clippers. He is averaging 32.5 MPG in his last nine games.
Tyler Dorsey (ATL): $3,600 vs. MIA
Might as well go back with Dorsey again tonight at his near-min. price. He earned 33.2 FD points in 38 minutes of work last night at Miami. His price actually went down by $100. You can’t really trust the Hawks, but Dorsey is young and they are most likely wanting to see more of him. Dorsey is getting the most out of his opportunities as he has fired up double-figure shot attempts in seven of his last eight games.
Damion Lee (ATL): $4,600 vs. MIA
He had 41.8 FD points against this same Heat squad last night and now gets to play them at home. Part of the explosion was the extra opportunity he got with Taurean Prince not playing in the second half. It’s the Hawks so no one really knows what will happen tonight. The former G-League call-up has earned at least 8x value in three of his last four games. He has returned 7x value in six of his 11 games since he has been called up. Overall, he is averaging 22.9 FD points since his call-up.
Ben McLemore (MEM): $3,800 at NOP
This is a very risky play but could pay off big time. This Memphis team is so frustrating because they are clearly tanking, but also have a ton of injuries. Nobody knows who is going to play in any particular game. McLemore has seen limited minutes at times and at other times has been relied upon as a scorer. In his last two games, he has hit 5x value with 21.0 and 20.3 FD points. In the six previous games, he was under 5x value, scoring single-digit fantasy points in four of those games. That stretch of ineptitude followed a period where he scored 30+ FD points in four out of five games. That is a lot of numbers to digest but all of it is to say that he is explosive but also just as likely to sit the bench. I have a soft spot for his talent and will probably roll with him, especially if MarShon Brooks sits tonight with an ankle injury.
Kyle Anderson (SAS): $4,600 at LAL
If you are one to look at DFS narratives, then remember that Anderson played his college ball at UCLA. He had 25.1 FD points the last time he played against the Lakers and now he gets to make the trip to Los Angeles. He has already enjoyed his homecoming as he earned 28.2 FD points last night in LA against the Clippers. This is a pace-up spot for the Spurs as the Lakers play at the fastest pace in the NBA. Overall, Anderson is averaging 24.2 FD points on the season.
E’Twaun Moore (NOP): $4,500 vs. MEM
Moore has earned 20+ FD points in eight of his last 10 games. His upside is limited but he is a solid cash game option, especially since his minutes are fairly secure. He has played 30.7 MPG in his last 10 games. He has averaged nearly 23 FD points in his two meetings with Memphis this year.
Ersan Ilyasova (PHI): $5,000 at DET
As long as Dario Saric is out, Ilyasova is a good option. He has had a double-double in two of his last three games. Ilyasova has averaged 29.5 FD points in his last five games while playing 26.2 MPG. He had 31.0 FD points against Detroit back in February when he was still with the Hawks.
Maxi Kleber (DAL): $3,700 at ORL
In the last five games, Kleber has averaged 20.6 FD points. Just as importantly, he has seen 27.6 MPG during that stretch. Dallas is on a back-to-back and Dirk Nowitzki played 24 minutes last night. That is not a ton of minutes, but it doesn’t appear that the Mavericks were resting him for tonight. This makes it look like Kleber’s minutes are secure for tonight against an Orlando team that is not very good. He had 26.1 FD points last night against Portland.
Mike Muscala (ATL): $4,300 vs. MIA
Muscala has been above 5x value in five of his last six games. He has earned 28.5 and 26.4 FD points in his last two games. He played 32 minutes in last night’s game against the Heat. He is a good cash game play. For tournaments, I still prefer someone with more upside like Drummond or Vucevic against the weak rebounding Mavericks, but if you need to save salary, Muscala is a solid option.
Jamy Bechler is an NBA fantasy contributor for FantasyPros. His DFS twitter is @WinningDFS101 and his website is www.FantasyFocusFootball.com. When he is not playing DFS, Jamy is an author, host of the “Success is a Choice” podcast, and is a leadership trainer, working with businesses and teams across the country (including the NBA). Even though he offers his advice on players and contests, after additional information and consideration, he may end up using different players and strategies than what he recommends.