Skip to main content

7 Players to Buy Low/Sell High (Fantasy Baseball)

7 Players to Buy Low/Sell High (Fantasy Baseball)

We’re heading into week six of the fantasy season and there’s no doubt that one player on your team is not what you were hoping for at the start of the year. At the same time, it’s entirely possible you hit the jackpot to start the season with the likes of Jed Lowrie or Sean Manaea who are having career-years.

Regardless the situation, we’re in peak trade season with over a month of baseball played and owners beginning to grow tired of their failed draft picks or trying to capitalize on early season luck. We reached out to our featured experts below to ask them who they are trying to make moves on before it’s too late.

Import your team to My Playbook for instant trade advice partner-arrow

1. What one player are you trying to buy low and what type of player would you give up to get him?

Jameson Taillon (SP – PIT)
“I’m currently buying on Jameson Taillon, who has quickly become an afterthought in most fantasy owners’ minds. After starting hot, the Pirates’ youngster has cooled down. This slump shouldn’t last long, however, as underlying indicators suggest his ERA ought to be around 3.4 instead of the 4.83 we see today. He won’t strike out 200 hitters, but you can get a solid SP4 for a much lesser piece like Reynaldo Lopez or Trevor Williams and I’d be quick to do it if I had the chance.”
– Bobby Sylvester (FantasyPros)

Chris Archer (SP – TB)
“If you can I would buy low on Archer. No way do I think he has turned into a pitcher with a 6-plus ERA and 1.50 WHIP. The strikeouts, although a bit down, are still top notch. I expect his BABIP, average, and other supporting stats to normalize, which will result in his ERA/WHIP dropping considerably. His FIP and xFIP support this thought as well. I’m willing to give up the Jake Junis’ of the world who are pitching well, but are not sustainable.”
– Joe Bond (Fantasy Six Pack)

Yu Darvish (SP – CHC)
“I’m not 100% confident in buying low on Yu Darvish, but I’m still trying to do it wherever I can. There are plenty of warning signs for Darvish at this point – his strikeout rate is down and his walk rate is way up, even for him. But, he remains immensely talented and his O-Swing and O-Contact percentages suggest that he may still be tipping his pitches, which is a problem he had in the World Series and should be correctable. I’d look to try to sell high on young pitchers like Blake Snell or Sean Manaea who are off to great starts, but would be willing to give up solid hitters like Yoenis Cespedes or Justin Upton. The chance to buy low on a potential ace doesn’t come around often, and it’s worth the risk.”
– Dan Harris (FantasyPros)

Carlos Santana (1B/OF – PHI)
“I’m buying low on Carlos Santana right now, especially in OBP leagues. While he’s slashing .151/.295/.274 on the year so far, there’s plenty of reason for optimism. He’s walking at an excellent 16.7% rate (his best since 2010) and his hard-hit rate is at 37.5% (also his best since 2010). His .163 BABIP is the source of his problems and that will get better. I think you could easily grab him form a panicked owner for a mid-level pitcher (like top-40) or a hitter on a hot streak.”
– Ben Palmer (Pitcher List)

Alex Bregman (3B/SS – HOU)
“A player I’ve actively pursued in both redraft and keeper leagues is Alex Bregman. His preseason draft value was definitely over-inflated, but he still has the tools that made him a prized prospect. He has still shown positive signs despite lackluster numbers. Bregman is notoriously streaky and hits 40 points higher in the second half for his brief career, with nearly twice the HR totals. Once he cures his puzzling struggles against lefties this year (.206, zero HR or RBI) then he’ll be the 20/20 hitter we expected. I’d offer a player performing at his peak like Mitch Haniger to see if an opposing owner bites.”
– Pierre Camus (RotoBaller)

2. What one player are you trying to sell high right now and who would you want in return?

Jed Lowrie (2B – OAK)
“Lowrie has been a sell high candidate for a while now, but he has continued to perform which means those who weren’t quite willing to buy two weeks ago will pay-up for him now. You should be willing to sell, as it is likely that he will neither finish the rest of the season with a .300 batting average or swat 20+ more homers. Seeing that you can get a Byron Buxton or even Marcell Ozuna for him, you’ve got to act now before it is too late.”
– Bobby Sylvester (FantasyPros)

“There are a lot of players, playing over their heads right now, but my favorite to sell is Jed Lowrie. Currently 34 years old, he has already hit eight HRs, scored 15 runs and knocked in 30. His previous season highs are 16 HRs and 75 RBIs, so he is on a great pace to destroy those numbers. Sorry not buying it. I would sell for just about any top 16 ranked second baseman in the rest of season rankings here on FantasyPros. ”
– Joe Bond (Fantasy Six Pack)

“I’m not sure if you can truly sell high on Jed Lowrie right now, but if so, I’d take a decent return and run. He’s off to an incredible start but there are plenty of warning signs, including an inflated .387 BABIP (.297 career) and a high 38.6% groundball rate (32.7% career). Regression is surely coming, and his health concerns (he’s topped 100 games just three times in his career) make him an ideal sell-high candidate. I’d swap him for a host of disappointing or injured second base-eligible players (Ian Kinsler, Rougned Odor, Chris Taylor) or any top-40 starter, without hesitation.”
– Dan Harris (FantasyPros)

“This seems too obvious, but Jed Lowrie will not sustain his current pace. We’ve actually seen this before, where he jumps out to a fast start and then fades throughout the rest of the season, just not to this extent. His 21.6% HR/FB rate is bound to plummet and has been especially fortunate considering his fly ball rate is down several points this year. His .386 BABIP is also due to regress. Lowrie’s value can’t possibly be higher, so offer him up for an injured player like Jonathan Schoop or a 2B who can help you with speed and average like Cesar Hernandez.”
– Pierre Camus (RotoBaller)

Dansby Swanson (SS – ATL)
“I’d be selling high on Swanson. Sure, he’s slashing .289/.336/.430, but he’s also got a .388 BABIP. His batted-ball profile looks almost the same as last year, and he’s striking out more and walking less than he did last year. If you can find someone who thinks this is Dansby’s coming out party, I’d try and sell (say, maybe an owner who just lost Corey Seager?). I wouldn’t be shocked if you could get a top-25 pitcher or a hitter equivalent.”
– Ben Palmer (Pitcher List)


Thank you to the experts for naming their trade candidates. Be sure to give them a follow on Twitter and subscribe to our podcast below for all the latest discussions this season.

SubscribeiTunes | Stitcher | SoundCloud | TuneIn | Google Play

More Articles

10 Fantasy Baseball Prospects to Stash Now (2024)

10 Fantasy Baseball Prospects to Stash Now (2024)

fp-headshot by Chris Welsh | 3 min read
By the Numbers: Luis Castillo, Zack Wheeler, Marcell Ozuna (2024 Fantasy Baseball)

By the Numbers: Luis Castillo, Zack Wheeler, Marcell Ozuna (2024 Fantasy Baseball)

fp-headshot by Robert Graves | 2 min read
6 Fantasy Baseball Players Trending Up & Down (Week 4)

6 Fantasy Baseball Players Trending Up & Down (Week 4)

fp-headshot by Hunter Langille | 3 min read
Fantasy Baseball Saves + Holds Rankings & Waiver Wire Targets (Week 4)

Fantasy Baseball Saves + Holds Rankings & Waiver Wire Targets (Week 4)

fp-headshot by Joel Bartilotta | 3 min read

About Author

Hide

Current Article

4 min read

10 Fantasy Baseball Prospects to Stash Now (2024)

Next Up - 10 Fantasy Baseball Prospects to Stash Now (2024)

Next Article