DRAFT MLB Lineup Advice: Friday (5/18)
There’s a full 15-game slate on Friday, but always be aware of the weather. Plenty of DFS users were burned on Thursday night when they decided to use players from the CHC/ATL game, only to have that game postponed.
As for the Vegas factors, six games have an over/under of at least nine total runs (no lines for TEX/CWS as I write this). Five teams have odds of -180, or greater, in the Friday slate. However, I’m only confident about one of those starting pitchers, and there could be rain in his game.
This article is posted well before lineups are released by the managers. If you have a question, feel free to reach me on Twitter @CharlieSideHstl.
1. Max Scherzer, WSH (vs. LAD)
2. Jacob deGrom, NYM (vs. ARI)
3. Charlie Morton, HOU (vs. CLE)
4. Zack Godley, ARI (@ NYM)
5. Mike Clevinger, CLE (@ HOU)
6. Jake Arrieta, PHI (@ STL)
7. Michael Wacha, STL (vs. PHI)
8. Ross Stripling, LAD (@ WSH)
9. Sean Newcomb, ATL (vs. MIA)
10. Felix Hernandez, SEA (vs. DET)
Scherzer’s last start was postponed due to rain and the weather is projecting rain, yet again, on Friday. On Wednesday, we had the luxury of selecting other top-tier options. We aren’t so lucky on Friday. No one has his combination of Vegas lines (Washington is a -225 favorite and over/under of seven total runs) and strikeout potential (12.46 K/9 since 2017). Mad Max has tallied double-digit strikeouts in three of the past four games. He also hasn’t allowed more than two earned runs in a single start in 2018.
Then, there’s deGrom. While he is a DFS stud, he also comes with risk. In deGrom’s last appearance, he threw 45 pitches and walked three batters (only one inning pitched). On the bright side, he was removed due to pitch count and not due to injury. He also hasn’t allowed an earned run since April 16th (19.1-inning scoreless streak).
1. Kris Bryant, CHC (@ CIN)
2. Ozzie Albies, ATL (vs. MIA)
3. Manny Machado, BAL (@ BOS)
4. Freddie Freeman, ATL (vs. MIA)
5. J.D. Martinez, BOS (vs. BAL)
6. Giancarlo Stanton, NYY (@ KC)
7. Francisco Lindor, CLE (@ HOU)
8. Jose Ramirez, CLE (@ HOU)
9. Anthony Rizzo, CHC (@ CIN)
10. Nolan Arenado, COL (@ SF)
11. Trea Turner, WSH (vs. LAD)
12. Carlos Correa, HOU (vs. CLE)
13. Jose Altuve, HOU (vs. CLE)
14. Javier Baez, CHC (@ CIN)
15. Josh Donaldson, TOR (vs. OAK)
16. Gary Sanchez, NYY (@ KC)
17. Eugenio Suarez, CIN (vs. CHC)
18. Trevor Story, COL (@ SF)
19. Joey Votto, CIN (vs. CHC)
20. Didi Gregorius, NYY (@ KC)
Bryant occupies the top spot in my infielder rankings for Friday. His Cubs are tied for the second-highest implied run total of the slate (5.5 runs). Bryant is batting .348 (8-for-23) with one double and two home runs (five walks) in the past week. Chicago will see Homer Bailey on Friday. He’s allowed at least three earned runs in six consecutive starts.
The CHC/ATL game was PPD on Thursday night and rain is in the forecast for Atlanta, again, on Friday. However, I can’t leave Albies and Freeman out of the rankings. The Braves are projected to score 5.3 runs, which is fourth-most for the slate. Albies has recorded four extra-base hits in the past three games (six total hits). Freeman is 6-for-19 (.316) with two home runs in the past seven days (six total hits).
1. Mookie Betts, BOS (vs. BAL)
2. Mike Trout, LAA (vs. TB)
3. Bryce Harper, WSH (vs. LAD)
4. Aaron Judge, NYY (@ KC)
5. Charlie Blackmon, COL (@ SF)
6. Tommy Pham, STL (vs. PHI)
7. Andrew Benintendi, BOS (vs. BAL)
8. Ronald Acuna Jr., ATL (vs. MIA)
9. Teoscar Hernandez, TOR (vs. OAK)
10. Curtis Granderson, TOR (vs. OAK)
11. Eddie Rosario, MIN (vs. MIL)
12. Matt Adams, WSH (vs. LAD)
13. Kyle Schwarber, CHC (@ CIN)
14. Joey Gallo, TEX (@ CWS)
15. Matt Joyce, OAK (@ TOR)
16. Nick Markakis, ATL (vs. MIA)
17. Andrew McCutchen, PIT (vs. COL)
18. Lorenzo Cain, MIL (@ MIN)
19. Brett Gardner, NYY (@ KC)
20. Nomar Mazara, TEX (@ CWS)
Boston owns a state-best 5.7 implied run total for Friday. You can’t talk about the Red Sox, and their offense, without mentioning Betts. He leads all of MLB with a .364 AVG this season and is one home run shy of the MLB lead. Betts is batting .375 (12-for-32) with three doubles (three walks) in the past week. He’s also mashing in May to the tune of a .391 AVG with five doubles and five home runs.
The Yankees haven’t played since May 15th. They return on Friday with the second-highest implied run total (5.5 total runs). While Judge has only notched four hits in the past seven days, three have been for extra-bases (two home runs) and he’s walked five times. Judge also leads the Yankees with a .350 ISO against right-handed pitchers since 2017.