DRAFT MLB Lineup Advice: Wednesday (5/2)
We have a loaded slate of games on Wednesday for those of you who play DFS on DRAFT. There are three slates to choose from: 15-game (1:05 pm start), 8-game (7:05 pm start), and 3-game (9:40 pm start).
Three games have been given an over/under of at least nine total runs (COL/CHC lines haven’t been set yet). Four teams are favored with at least -200 odds: CLE, STL, WSH, and BOS.
This article is posted well before lineups are released by the managers. If you have a question, feel free to reach me on Twitter @CharlieSideHstl.
1. Corey Kluber, CLE (vs. TEX)
2. Stephen Strasburg, WSH (vs. PIT)
3. Jacob deGrom, NYM (vs. ATL)
4. Luis Severino, NYY (vs. HOU)
5. James Paxton, SEA (vs. OAK)
6. Aaron Nola, PHI (@ MIA)
7. Carlos Martinez, STL (vs. CWS)
8. Andrew Heaney, LAA (vs. BAL)
9. Zack Godley, ARI (vs. LAD)
10. Yu Darvish, CHC (vs. COL)
We finally saw the Klubot return to his Cy Young-self in his last start: 8.2 IP, 3 ER, 10 K. Sadly, it was only the second time this season where Kluber struck out at least 10 batters. We could get No. 3 on Wednesday. The Rangers are second in the league with 297 team strikeouts (18 behind “first place” Padres). Texas is also 26th in team wOBA (.298) against right-handed pitchers this year.
If you removed Martinez’s first start of 2018, you have a potential Cy Young candidate. He’s allowed two total runs in his last five combined outings. Martinez also has three outings with at least seven strikeouts (two double-digit tallies). On Wednesday, he’ll face the White Sox. Chicago is 26th in runs scored (106 runs in 27 games).
1. J.D. Martinez, BOS (vs. KC)
2. Kris Bryant, CHC (vs. COL)
3. Nolan Arenado, COL (@ CHC)
4. Xander Bogaerts, BOS (vs. KC)
5. Francisco Lindor, CLE (vs. TEX)
6. Jose Ramirez, CLE (vs. TEX)
7. Didi Gregorius, NYY (@ HOU)
8. Manny Machado, BAL (@ LAA)
9. Jose Altuve, HOU (vs. NYY)
10. Giancarlo Stanton, NYY (@ HOU)
11. Javier Baez, CHC (vs. COL)
12. Joey Votto, CIN (vs. MIL)
13. Carlos Correa, HOU (vs. NYY)
14. Christian Villanueva, SD (@ SF)
15. Paul DeJong, STL (vs. CWS)
16. Paul Goldschmidt, ARI (vs. LAD)
17. Hanley Ramirez, BOS (vs. KC)
18. Trea Turner, WSH (vs. PIT)
19. Nelson Cruz, SEA (vs. OAK)
20. Anthony Rizzo, CHC (vs. COL)
Cleveland has the second-highest implied run total in the Wednesday all-day slate with 5.5 projected runs. For that reason, Lindor and Ramirez are in the top ten of infield rankings. Matt Moore has allowed at least three earned runs in four of five starts this year. Also, in the small sample size, Lindor is 6-for-10 (.600) with one home run against Moore. However, Ramirez trumps Lindor in the ISO category. JRam has a .242 ISO against southpaws, since 2017, while Lindor has only a .210 ISO.
Lucas Giolito leads this slate of pitchers with a 5.53 SIERA since 2017. That’s why St. Louis is projected to score the third-most runs on Wednesday (5.4). DeJong leads the cast of Cardinal infielders with a .239 ISO against right-handed pitchers. He’s also 7-for-23 (.304) with two doubles and two walks in the past week.
1. Mookie Betts, BOS (vs. KC)
2. Mike Trout, LAA (vs. BAL)
3. Aaron Judge, NYY (@ HOU)
4. Charlie Blackmon, COL (@ CHC)
5. Bryce Harper, WSH (vs. PIT)
6. A.J. Pollock, ARI (vs. LAD)
7. Tommy Pham, STL (vs. CWS)
8. Kyle Schwarber, CHC (vs. COL)
9. Teoscar Hernandez, TOR (@ MIN)
10. Ryan Braun, MIL (@ CIN)
11. Andrew Benintendi, BOS (vs. KC)
12. Curtis Granderson, TOR (@ MIN)
13. Mitch Haniger, SEA (vs. OAK)
14. Rhys Hoskins, PHI (@ MIA)
15. George Springer, HOU (vs. NYY)
16. Lorenzo Cain, MIL (@ CIN)
17. Christian Yelich, MIL (@ CIN)
18. Dee Gordon, SEA (vs. OAK)
19. Denard Span, TB (@ DET)
20. Michael Brantley, CLE (vs. TEX)
Pollock continues to punish pitchers. He’s produced four home runs in the past two games (five in the past week). Since 2017, Pollock also has a .295 ISO against left-handed pitchers. While Hyun-Jin Ryu is having a decent start to the season (3-0 with a 2.22 ERA), Pollock has been successful against the Dodgers lefty: 9-for-26 (.346) with two doubles and one triple (four walks).
It’s been a blast, for DFS fans, watching this MIL/CIN matchup. They have tallied 24 total runs in the past two games. On Wednesday, Luis Castillo and his 7.85 ERA take the mound against the Brewers. Braun is the best option from the Brew Crew’s outfield. He owns a .204 ISO against right-handed pitchers and is batting .308 with three doubles in the past week.