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Fantasy Baseball Closer Report: Week 7

Fantasy Baseball Closer Report: Week 7

Last week in this space, I mentioned that I wasn’t really worried about Blue Jays closer Roberto Osuna, despite moving him down five spots in the closer rankings due to his reduced strikeout and swinging strike rates. But all of that was based on his performance on the mound. Now Osuna has been placed on administrative leave following his arrest for allegedly assaulting a woman, and it’s entirely up in the air when he will return to the team.

Obviously, justice being served is the primary concern in these situations. But Osuna’s absence also leaves behind a closer situation to dissect in Toronto. We’ll dig into all that and more in this week’s Closer Report.

View the Closer Depth Charts for all 30 teams partner-arrow

Team (Closer) Current Rank Previous Rank +/-
Red Sox (Craig Kimbrel) 1 1
Yankees (Aroldis Chapman) 2 2
Mariners (Edwin Diaz) 3 3
Dodgers (Kenley Jansen) 4 4
Rockies (Wade Davis) 5 5
Nationals (Sean Doolittle) 6 6
Pirates (Felipe Vazquez) 7 8 +1
Reds (Raisel Iglesias) 8 10 +2
Padres (Brad Hand) 9 11 +2
Mets (Jeurys Familia) 10 12 +2
Cubs (Brandon Morrow) 11 13 +2
Royals (Kelvin Herrera) 12 14 +2
Indians (Cody Allen) 13 7  -6
Giants (Hunter Strickland) 14 15 +1
Brewers (Corey Knebel) 15 19 +4
Diamondbacks (Brad Boxberger) 16 18 +2
Braves (Arodys Vizcaino) 17 23 +6
Astros (Ken Giles) 18 26 +8
Cardinals (Bud Norris) 19 24 +5
A’s (Blake Treinen) 20 17  -3
Rangers (Keone Kela) 21 20  -1
Tigers (Shane Greene) 22 21  -1
Phillies (Hector Neris) 23 16  -7
Twins (Fernando Rodney) 24 25  +1
Rays (Alex Colome) 25 22  -3
Orioles (Brad Brach) 26 28  +2
Marlins (Brad Ziegler) 27 29  +2
Angels (Committee) 28 30  +2
White Sox (Committee) 29 27  -2
Blue Jays (Committee) 30 9 -21

The Big Movers

Cody Allen
Allen has hit a very rough patch in the last couple weeks, allowing six runs in four innings with an upside-down 2-to-6 strikeout-to-walk ratio since April 27. Overall, Allen’s K/9 has dropped from 12.30 in 2017 to 9.00 this year, and his BB/9 has ballooned from 2.81 last year to 4.80 this year. It’s still a very small sample size, and his velocity is fine, so this will probably end up being nothing more than a blip on the radar. But the Indians do have arguably the most capable backup closer in the league now that Andrew Miller has returned from the disabled list, so Terry Francona is not without alternatives if Allen’s struggles continue for a prolonged period.

Corey Knebel
Brewers manager Craig Counsell’s stated plan is to gradually ease Knebel back into the ninth inning, but it doesn’t seem like that will take too long to happen. Knebel was activated from the disabled list on Wednesday, and he was immediately put into late-inning work, handling the seventh inning that night and then pitching the eighth inning on Thursday. Knebel was rested on Friday, as Jeremy Jeffress pitched the ninth inning of a tie game and Josh Hader picked up his sixth save in the 10th inning.

Even if Knebel doesn’t see the next save chance, there’s a good chance he’s closing games by the end of next week. Expect him to continue to move up the rankings if and when that happens. Hader and Jeffress have both filled in more than admirably for Knebel, and while Jeffress won’t be a must-hold player once Knebel is back in the closer role, Hader should undoubtedly remain owned in virtually all leagues thanks to his incredible strikeout rate and dominant ratios.

Arodys Vizcaino
As we covered last week, Vizcaino has been seeing the vast majority of save chances in Atlanta even though he is technically sharing the closer job with A.J. Minter. Since that continues to be the case — and Vizcaino continues to pitch quite well — he has leaped ahead of some more volatile closers who have the job all to themselves.

Ken Giles
Giles has collected the Astros’ last four saves, so he appears to have reestablished himself as the main closer in Houston. He will always have less job security than other closers, and Chris Devenski and Brad Peacock stand ready to step in if Giles endures another rough patch. But Giles should pick up plenty of saves as long as he is closing games, and he’s generally a good bet to provide a lot of strikeouts and good ratios, too.

Bud Norris
Greg Holland has put together three straight scoreless outings, and he may still find his way into the Cardinals’ closer job at some point. But we’re now almost a quarter of the way through the season, and it’s time for Norris’s excellent performance to date (2.45 ERA, 0.98 WHIP, 11.78 K/9) to be fully recognized in the closer rankings. As with Knebel, Vizcaino, and Giles, Norris deserves to be ranked ahead of some less effective closers despite lingering questions about his long-term job security.

Hector Neris
Neris has been obliterated in two of his last four appearances, and now sports an ugly 5.17 ERA and 1.53 WHIP. The reason isn’t hard to understand: He’s walking too many batters and giving up too many long balls. There have been some concerns this season about Neris’s hesitance to use his split-fingered fastball, but his usage of the pitch doesn’t look to have noticeably declined for the season as a whole.

For now, Phillies manager Gabe Kapler is continuing to express confidence in Neris, and they don’t have a ton of great fill-in options behind him (Tommy Hunter is probably next in line). But another blown save or two in the week ahead could force Kapler to make a chance in the ninth, at least temporarily.

Toronto Blue Jays
Osuna is due in court on June 18, but we just don’t know how long he will be on administrative leave — or if he’ll face a suspension from Major League Baseball for his assault charge. While Osuna is out, Blue Jays manager John Gibbons seemed to suggest that he could lean on Tyler Clippard when left-handed hitters are due up in the ninth and Ryan Tepera against righty-heavy portions of the lineup. He also mentioned Seung-Hwan Oh and John Axford as possibilities to close out games, adding, “Every day may be different.”

Based on usage alone, Clippard looks to be the early favorite. He earned the save on Wednesday, and then pitched the ninth inning of a tie game on Friday. Clippard is a worthy add in most formats, and it doesn’t hurt to take a flier on one of the other Toronto relievers if you badly need saves. Just know it’s possible that none of them will emerge as “the guy,” particularly if Osuna’s absence is measured in weeks rather than months.

Random Musings

Brad Brach
With Darren O’Day landing on the disabled list with a hyperextended elbow, Brach appears to have the closer role all to himself for now. But O’Day’s absence may be a short one, and as I’ve discussed before, Orioles manager Buck Showalter has given every indication that Zach Britton will be the closer once he is fully recovered from his Achilles injury. Britton will reportedly go on a rehab assignment after he’s eligible to return from the disabled list on May 28, meaning an early June return is looking likely.

Los Angeles Angels
I may have been too pessimistic about Keynan Middleton’s bout will elbow inflammation in last week’s Closer Report, as he was able to return from the disabled list quickly. But I won’t be fully confident that Middleton is healthy until I see him make a few successful appearances.

There’s also the question of whether Middleton is truly the Angels’ closer. He pitched in the eighth inning in his return on Thursday, surrendering a hit and two walks before Jim Johnson earned the save in the ninth. On Friday, Justin Anderson pitched the eighth and started the ninth, before Johnson entered the game with two men on and one out and a one-run lead. Johnson then surrendered a game-tying single and a sacrifice fly that turned out to be the winning run (both runs were charged to Anderson).

Perhaps Mike Scioscia was easing Middleton back into the closer role, but then again Scioscia never announced that Middleton was his closer to begin with. Johnson’s latest appearance probably won’t help his case, but he was put into a pretty tough spot. It will be very interesting to see whether Middleton or Johnson gets the next chance.

Chicago White Sox
There hasn’t been a ton of save chances to go around for the White Sox, but Joakim Soria has been seeing most of them. After Soria turned in a couple less-than-stellar outings, Nate Jones was given a save opportunity on Wednesday and wholly imploded, surrendering four runs to blow a 5-2 ninth-inning lead. Following the game, manager Rick Renteria came to Jones’s defense, saying Jones is “our best guy to finish it off.” I still expect Soria to see the majority of save chances going forward, but for now, this still has all the makings of a closer committee.

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Andrew Seifter is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Andrew, check out his archive and follow him @andrew_seifter.

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