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Fantasy Baseball Pitching Streamers: Week 10

Fantasy Baseball Pitching Streamers: Week 10

Almost two weeks ago now, the Rays did something unconventional. Most of you probably heard about it. Sergio Romo – a reliever with 588 career games out of the bullpen – started a game against the Angels. Then, the next day, he started again. He’s since gone on to make two more starts since then, and it sounds like there are more coming.

While the real-life merits of this approach are still being debated, it’s impact on fantasy similarly unclear. For one thing, if you play in a quality start league, no one on the Rays is getting one when a reliver, Romo or otherwise, starts the game. In wins leagues, I suppose this makes things easier for the second guy to pick one up, since he no longer has to go five innings. It also throws starts limits out the window, as you can have Romo start three times in a week for your team or have the actual “starter” start twice but not count towards the limit at all. In short, the main takeaway from this is that it makes my job of recommending streamers harder. Thanks, Kevin Cash.

To determine the pitchers eligible for consideration, I looked at players who were owned in less than 30 percent of ESPN leagues.

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Monday, June 4

Danny Duffy (KC) vs. Los Angeles Angels (26.6%)
A five-game slate on Monday leaves something to be desired, but Duffy stands out above other currently-projected starters Clayton Richard and Mike Fiers, if not for his stats then for his matchup. Richard and Fiers are facing the Braves and Yankees, respectively, two of the top offenses in baseball against the handedness of the pitchers they’re facing. Duffy draws the Angels, who, while no slouches themselves, had a 93 wRC+ against lefties going into Thursday. It’s hard to recommend anybody for Monday’s games, but if you’re intent on streaming somebody, Duffy is the least worrisome.

Tuesday, June 5

Jose Urena (MIA) @ St. Louis Cardinals (5.9%)
Tuesday is much more serviceable than Monday, as there is a wealth of options from which to choose. I’m going with Urena here, who, despite a 4.41 ERA, has pitched quite well. His FIP of 3.98 indicates as much, but a large part of his struggles this year seems to be sequencing-related, as he’s gotten a little unlucky with his strand rate. He’s also inducing ground balls at a career-high rate (over 50 percent), which bodes well for his success. He’ll face off against the Cardinals, a bottom-12 offense against righties heading into Thursday in both park-adjusted offensive production and strikeout rate. It won’t be as easy as his last time out against the Padres, but it won’t be tough either.

Wednesday, June 6

Blaine Hardy (DET) @ Boston Red Sox (1.9%)
Hardy’s numbers are excellent this year whether you look at him out of relief or as a starter. His 2.76 ERA as a starter is only 31 points higher than his ERA as a reliever, and his starting FIP of 2.87 is actually significantly better than it is in relief. He’s pitched a grand total of 20 innings this season, so that should all be taken with a grain of salt, but the point is the move from the bullpen to the rotation doesn’t seem to have hurt his performance. He’s allowed no more than two runs in any of his appearances this season, and I expect that streak to continue against the Red Sox, who had the fourth-lowest wRC+ against lefties going into Thursday at 84.

Thursday, June 7

Tyler Anderson (COL) @ Cincinnati Reds (8.7%)
For his career, Anderson has actually been better in Coors than away from it, but I’m not worried. In fact, I’d still prefer him to be pitching literally anywhere else than in Coors, despite his history. Great American Ballpark is roughly a neutral park, so that should benefit Anderson. His last start was actually against the Reds in Colorado, where he managed a quality start despite striking out two and walking three. That was the first game in his previous six in which he issued more than one walk, so it was likely a fluke. That performance is probably his floor for what to expect the second time around, while he’s more than capable of putting up six to eight strikeouts and another dominant performance.

Friday, June 8

Trevor Cahill (OAK) vs. Kansas City Royals (29.1%)
Cahill’s just on the verge of becoming too widely owned for this column, but we can get one more use out of him before that happens. It’s tough to think of a reason not to go with Cahill, who, through 44 innings this season, has a 2.25 ERA backed up by a 3.12 FIP and 2.85 xFIP. His career numbers aren’t quite at that level, but the more he pitches like this, the more you have to start trusting it. He’ll face the Royals on Saturday before facing them again in this matchup, giving him two opportunities against what was a bottom-10 offense against righties going into Thursday (88 wRC+).

Saturday, June 9

Andrew Suarez (SF) @ Washington Nationals (1.0%)
While I’d normally go with Kyle Gibson in most of his starts, the fact that he has to pitch against the dangerous Angels means Suarez gets the nod. To his credit, Suarez hasn’t been as bad as his 5.65 ERA would have you believe. A .343 BABIP allowed and 60.7 percent strand rate mean his FIP is an impressive 4.32, while a 20.6 percent HR/FB rate (with San Francisco as his home park, no less) has his xFIP at 3.34. He’s striking out batters, limiting walks, and seemingly just running into a ton of bad luck. That perhaps will change when he faces the Nationals, whose 88 wRC+ against lefties going into Thursday was seventh-lowest among major league teams.

Sunday, June 10

Zach Eflin (PHI) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (10.6%)
Another pitcher who’s run into some bad luck – albeit not nearly as much as Suarez – Zach Eflin looks to enjoy a two-start week against two NL Central teams. His 3.81 FIP is an encouraging sign after looking at his 4.50 FIP and gives me hope that he can regain his form after going three straight starts without making it out of the fifth inning after starting his season with two quality starts. The Brewers are essentially an average team against righties, coming into Thursday with a 101 wRC+, but where Eflin will do his damage in this matchup is in the strikeout department. Eflin has struck out over a quarter of the batters he’s faced this season, while Brewers hitters against righties had struck out in 24.2 percent of plate appearances, eighth highest in the majors.

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Brian Reiff is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Brian, check out his archive and follow him @briansreiff.

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