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DraftKings MLB Value Plays: Monday (7/9)

DraftKings MLB Value Plays: Monday (7/9)

The Monday slate on DraftKings is packed full of good starting pitching options and some solid hitting spots as several teams sit at an implied run total of five runs or greater. I always look at the top offenses for expensive one-off plays and pay more attention to the cheaper guys on those team in cash games as a way to get exposure to potent offenses. More often than not, you see positive results when sprinkling in those guys. That’s why we’re here, to look at some of those more affordable guys that can make our lineup construction a little easier and give us a shot at the cash. Ready? Let’s go!

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Pitcher

Chris Archer (TBR): $8,100 vs. DET

I usually don’t like pitchers coming off the disabled list, and I usually don’t recommend pitchers that are higher than $8,000 but yet the matchup and the price for Archer (-191) are simply to good to ignore. The Tigers are posting a meager .116 ISO, .268 wOBA and a wRC+ of 65 versus right-handed pitching since June 1, the second-worst team in all of baseball with only the Royals have been worse. That said, pairing him with All-Star Jose Berrios (-206) could make a nice duo for cash games. Even on a 75 pitch limit against Detroit, I think Archer can still pay off his salary before he reaches it.

Other Notables

Danny Duffy (KC): $5,800 @ MIN

Catcher

Willians Astudillo (MIN): $3,400 vs. KC (also 3B eligible)

Astudillo isn’t a well-known prospect, in fact, he’s not known at all. Those who do know about him are probably aware of him because of his existence as an extreme statistical anomaly. In every level of his minor league career, he’s never has a K rate or BB rate higher than 5%. You read that right…never! To say he’s good at getting the bat on the ball is a major understatement. Since his promotion to the bigs last week, he’s logged just 14 plate appearances. Would you be surprised that he’s not taken a walk? What’s more, he hasn’t struck out either. He has delivered two multi-hit efforts already and comes into Monday with a respectable .357 average. I love him in tournaments if he’s in the lineup. “The Anomaly” could be GPP gold.

Other Notables

Francisco Cervelli (PIT): $3,600 vs. WAS

First Base

Steve Pearce (BOS): $3,900 vs. TEX (also OF eligible)

After writing too many words about a dude with 14 at-bats, let’s keep is short on Pearce. Boston’s new clean-up man has been a beast this year, even more so when it comes to hitting southpaws. I love plugging in Pearce and his robust platoon splits (.232 ISO/.391 wOBA/151 wRC+ vs. LHP in 2018) to my lineups. Who cares if Mike Minor has been on a roll of late? Not me! Now as a part of a high-powered offense, he’s a better play than ever.

Other Notables

Marwin Gonzalez (HOU): $3,300 vs. OAK (also OF eligible)

Second Base

Jonathan Villar $3,300 and/or Brad Miller (MIL): $3,500 vs. MIA

Villar is seeing some at-bats at the top of the order for the Brew Crew lately and I love his price tag as a switch-hitting leadoff man. He hasn’t been a major running threat since his 60+ steal season in 2016, but he’s not had the role to take advantage of his speed until recently either. He’ll face Jose Urena who has had issues with lefties throughout his career. We’re not talking Julio Teheran-level struggles, but he’s still shown clear platoon splits.

Because of said splits, this puts Miller in play too. I know keeping up with his position eligibility has been annoying on DraftKings, but today you can use him at First or Second Base if you want to roster both of these guys, assuming they both make the lineup of course. Furthermore, I like Miller’s batted ball metrics of late. Since joining the Brewers, he’s putting up a high hard-hit rate and solid exit velocities and batted ball distances to go along with a .349 wOBA and 123 wRC+ against RHP in 2018. I will likely use one of these guys in my cash game lineups at the keystone.

Third Base

Colin Moran (PIT): $3,100 vs. WAS

I find myself paying up at 3B tonight in all my early lineup construction, but there are a couple nice punt options on the slate. The first and better of the two being Moran. He’s cooled off since his heater in June, but still offers some nice upside as a cleanup hitter who can hit righties at a bargain basement price. Not sure how many looks he’ll get at spot-start rookie Jefry Rodriguez, but more than one should help him out a lot at this price.

Other Notables

David Bote (CHC): $3,100 @ SF

Shortstop

Jorge Polanco (MIN): $3,800 vs. KC (also 3B eligible)

I warned you last week when Polanco made his return from suspension that he wouldn’t be cheap for long. This could be one of your last chances to roster him at a sub-$4,000 price tag and if he has a good game today that’ll be a sure thing. The switch-hitting SS is a solid play as he hits both handednesses of pitching equally well and offers power and speed upside in a nice matchup further backed by an absolutely terrible Royals bullpen.

Outfield

Marlins OF vs. Chase Anderson (MIL):

Derek Dietrich $3,400: He’s having a career year and while Dietrich has always been a career platoon splits guy, he’s been very consistent as Miami’s every day LF in 2018. His price has dipped back down into borderline must-play territory and he’s a solid core play in tourneys or cash games.

Brian Anderson $3,700: Anderson is quietly having a solid season hitting behind Dietrich most of the time. Not as good a value as Dietrich, but he’s been an on-base machine and makes a nice one-off in GPPs as he goes very low-owned on a daily basis while providing flexibility with 3B eligibility.

Cameron Maybin $2,900: Maybin hasn’t been running nearly as much as I expected him to be coming into 2018 but he’s still a solid value as displayed by his performance yesterday. He’s hit safely in eight of his last nine games and can pay off his sub-$3,000 salary fairly easily with a walk and a knock.

Steven Duggar (SFG): $2,900 vs. CHC

I don’t know a whole lot about Duggar aside from seeing him do fairly well in Spring Training this year. With his recent call-up to the Giants, he’s expected to bat leadoff and that presents a clear value based on price alone. Considering Kyle Hendricks is sporting a 5.54 FIP and walking over 10% of the lefty bats he faces this year, that’s all the more reason to like the rookie here. Oh, and I forgot, Hendricks is even worse vs. lefties on the road.

Other Notables

Carlos Gomez (TB): $3,000 vs. DET
Scott Schebler (CIN): $3,800 @ CLE
Corey Dickerson (PIT): $3,900 vs. WAS

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Josh Dalley is a DFS correspondent at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, follow him on Twitter @JoshDalley72.

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