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The Running Back Super Chart (2018 Fantasy Football)

The Running Back Super Chart (2018 Fantasy Football)

One of the key aspects to being a successful fantasy football player at any level is preparation. Preparation comes in various forms, and there is no right or wrong way to do it. What works for one fantasy player may not work best for another.

I am a 14-year fantasy football veteran and play in several high stakes leagues every year, yet I am still always learning and finding new ways to prepare. Average Draft Position (ADP), Expert Consensus Rankings (ECR), Strength of Schedule (SOS), Consistency Ratings, and past fantasy rankings are some excellent tools to prep for upcoming drafts. The only problem is the amount of time it takes to research all of those categories for every player at every position.

Well, what if I told you that all of that information plus more could be found all in one spot? That would be pretty awesome, right? You’re in luck because we here at FantasyPros have got you covered! Before we get to the Running Back Super Chart, here is a quick overview of each category:

  • Expert Consensus Rankings (ECR): The average rankings from a group of experts in the fantasy industry, compiled by FantasyPros.
  • Average Draft Position (ADP): Data taken from Fantasy Football Calculator.
  • Last Year (LY)/2016/2015 Rank: Where the player finished among his position at the conclusion of the listed season. These rankings are based on points per game, which is a more accurate measure for determining a player’s true upside and value.
  • 15+ Point (PT.) Game (GM): Percentage of games with 15 or more fantasy points in 2017.
  • 20+ Point (PT.) Game (GM): Percentage of games with 20 or more fantasy points in 2017.
  • FPPG: Fantasy points per game in 2017, based on PPR formats.
  • Strength of Schedule (SOS): Strength of Schedule rankings from Weeks 1-16. The lower the rankings, the easier the matchups are. SOS data is taken from FF Toolbox.

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Best Use of the Super Chart

The best way to utilize this super chart is to spend some time studying it before your draft. Print a copy and use it as your cheat sheet on draft day, so you still have access to all of the numbers, as well as the ECR and ADP from respected individuals in the fantasy football industry. For updated ECRs and ADPs follow @1ststopfantasy on Twitter.

There is so much information that we simply cannot fit it onto one page. Here is a sample of the Running Back Super Chart. To view the chart in its entirety, please click here.

* = Player missed at least six games that season, thus potentially affecting that particular category.

ECR Player Bye  ADP LY RK 2016 RK 2015 RK 15+pt gm 20+ pt gm FPPG SOS 2017 REC
1 Le’Veon Bell 7 2.5 RB 2 RB 1 RB 2 80% 56% 22.8 14th 85
2 Todd Gurley 12 1.5 RB 1 RB 23 RB 7 80% 67% 25.6 31st 64
3 David Johnson 9 3.7 N/A RB 2 RB 15 N/A N/A N/A 10th 6*
4 Ezekiel Elliott 8 3.7 RB 3 RB 3 N/A 80% 30% 20.3 22nd 26*
5 Alvin Kamara 6 6.2 RB 4 N/A N/A 69% 50% 19.7 8th 81
6 Saquon Barkley 9 6.9 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 28th N/A
7 Kareem Hunt 12 10.5 RB 5 N/A N/A 56% 38% 18.5 15th 53
8 Melvin Gordon 8 9 RB 6 RB 5 RB 56 56% 38% 18 25th 58
9 Dalvin Cook 10 13.1 N/A N/A N/A 50% 25% 16.4 1st 11*
10 Leonard Fournette 9 11.6 RB 7 N/A N/A 69% 38% 17.7 18th 36
11 Christian McCaffrey 4 19 RB 12 N/A N/A 38% 31% 14.3 5th 80
12 Jerick McKinnon 11 21.1 RB 23 RB 37 RB 72 31% 25% 11.1 30th 51
13 Devonta Freeman 8 17.3 RB 13 RB 7 RB 1 43% 29% 14.3 13th 36
14 Jordan Howard 5 24.7 RB 16 RB 9 N/A 44% 13% 12.5 6th 23
15 Joe Mixon 9 23.9 RB 28 N/A N/A 7% 7% 10.1 11th 30
16 LeSean McCoy 11 28.7 RB 9 RB 4 RB 9 44% 38% 16.5 20th 59
17 Kenyan Drake 11 44 RB 41 RB 88 N/A 36% 21% 8.9 21st 32
18 Alex Collins 10 38.5 RB 21 RB 80 N/A 31% 13% 11.4 7th 23
19 Derrius Guice 4 33.5 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 32nd N/A
20 Jay Ajayi 9 41.9 RB 33 RB 16 RB 77 0% 0% 9.7 26th 10
21 Rashaad Penny 7 41.9 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 19th N/A
22 Dion Lewis 8 58.9 RB 17 RB 55 RB 3 31% 13% 12.3 12th 32
23 Lamar Miller 10 53.9 RB 18 RB 18 RB 12 19% 13% 12.1 17th 36
24 Mark Ingram 6 51.5 RB 8 RB 10 RB 4 50% 38% 17.4 8th 58
25 Derrick Henry 8 34.8 RB 45 RB 56 N/A 44% 6% 8.4 12th 11
26 Royce Freeman 10 53.2 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 4th N/A
27 Sony Michel 11 50 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3rd N/A
28 Ronald Jones 5 55.7 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 24th N/A
29 Duke Johnson 11 93.4 RB 14 RB 43 RB 35 44% 13% 13.5 2nd 74
30 Chris Thompson 4 82.3 RB 10 RB 41 RB 62 60% 20% 15.1 32nd 39*
31 Tevin Coleman 8 69.8 RB 22 RB 13 RB 85 25% 6% 11.2 13th 27
32 Tarik Cohen 5 64.1 RB 39 N/A N/A 13% 6% 9 6th 53
33 Rex Burkhead 11 78.3 RB 15 RB 70 N/A 50% 10% 13 3rd 30*
34 Marshawn Lynch 7 76 RB 24 N/A RB 25 20% 20% 11 23rd 20
35 Marlon Mack 9 69.8 RB 54 N/A N/A 14% 0% 7.4 16th 21
36 Kerryon Johnson 6 71.8 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 27th N/A
37 Jamaal Williams 7 83.7 RB 37 N/A N/A 21% 21% 9.5 29th 25
38 Isaiah Crowell 11 92.1 RB 40 RB 21 RB 52 19% 0% 9 9th 28
39 C.J. Anderson 4 89.6 RB 25 RB 15 RB 43 16% 13% 10.9 5th 28
40 Carlos Hyde 11 85.9 RB 11 RB 12 RB 26 38% 25% 14.6 2nd 59
41 Theo Riddick 6 141.8 RB 34 RB 8 RB 30 13% 6% 9.6 27th 53
42 Ty Montgomery 7 101.1 RB 19 N/A N/A 25% 13% 11.5 29th 23*
43 Giovani Bernard 9 128.3 RB 36 RB 25 RB 27 19% 6% 9.5 11th 43
44 James White 11 158.3 RB 35 RB 36 RB 36 21% 0% 9.6 3rd 56
45 Nick Chubb 11 100.5 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 2nd N/A
46 Aaron Jones 7 97.1 RB 49 N/A N/A 20% 20% 8 29th 9*
47 Devontae Booker 10 130.1 RB 57 RB 46 N/A 0% 0% 7 4th 30
48 Bilal Powell 11 N/A RB 32 RB 24 RB 20 13% 13% 9.7 9th 23
49 Nyheim Hines 9 114.6 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 16th N/A
50 Corey Clement 9 111.2 RB 64 N/A N/A N/A N/A 6.2 26th 10
51 D’Onta Foreman 10 119.9 RB 63 N/A N/A N/A N/A 6.3 17th 6*
52 Chris Carson 7 116.3 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 9.9 19th 7*
53 Kenneth Dixon 10 155 N/A RB 49 N/A N/A N/A N/A 7th N/A
54 Austin Ekeler 8 N/A RB 53 N/A N/A N/A N/A 7.6 25th 27
55 LeGarrette Blount 6 150.4 RB 59 RB 14 RB 37 N/A N/A 6.7 27th 8
56 Doug Martin 7 128.9 RB 58 RB 32 RB 11 N/A N/A 6.9 23rd 9*
57 Matt Breida 11 151.5 RB 61 N/A N/A N/A N/A 6.5 30th 21
58 Chris Ivory 11 148.6 RB 66 RB 47 RB 14 N/A N/A 6.1 20th 21
59 Latavius Murray 10 145.5 RB 31 RB 11 RB 17 25% 13% 9.8 1st 15
60 T.J. Yeldon 9 161.7 RB 43 RB 42 RB 16 N/A N/A 8.8 18th 30*
61 Frank Gore 11 N/A RB 26 RB 19 RB 24 N/A N/A 10.9 21st 29
62 DeMarco Murray N/A N/A RB 20 RB 6 RB 19 N/A N/A 11.4 N/A 39
62 Samaje Perine 4 N/A RB 45 N/A N/A N/A N/A 8.3 32nd 22
63 Peyton Barber 5 N/A RB 60 RB 85 N/A N/A N/A 6.6 24th 16
64 Javorius Allen 10 N/A RB 27 N/A RB 47 25% 6% 10.4 7th 46
65 Wayne Gallman 9 N/A RB 46 N/A N/A N/A N/A 8.1 28th 34
66 Darren Sproles 9 N/A N/A RB 29 RB 45 N/A N/A N/A 26th 7*
67 Jordan Wilkins 9 161.1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 16th N/A
68 Spencer Ware 12 157.4 N/A RB 17 RB 46 N/A N/A N/A 15th N/A
69 Elijah McGuire 11 N/A RB 81 N/A N/A N/A N/A 5.1 9th 17
70 C.J. Prosise 7 N/A N/A RB 79 N/A N/A N/A 19th 6*
71 Mark Walton 9 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 11th N/A
71 Jonathan Stewart 9 N/A RB 52 RB 27 RB 18 N/A N/A 7.8 28th 8
72 Kalen Ballage 11 161.4 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 21st N/A
73 Chase Edmonds 9 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 10th N/A
74 Ameer Abdullah 6 N/A RB 42 N/A N/A N/A N/A 8.9 27th 25
75 Corey Grant 9 N/A RB 94 RB 86 N/A N/A N/A 3 18th 3
76 DeAndre Washington 7 N/A RB 70 RB 33 N/A N/A N/A 5.7 23rd 34
77 Charles Sims 5 N/A RB 78 RB 37 RB 27 N/A N/A 4.9 24th 35
78 Rod Smith 8 N/A RB 56 N/A N/A N/A N/A 7.1 22nd 19
79 Jalen Richard 7 N/A RB 71 RB 55 N/A N/A N/A 5.4 23rd 27
80 John Kelly 12 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 31st N/A
80+ Terrance West 6 N/A N/A RB 31 RB 93 N/A N/A 5.6 8th 2*
80+ Jacquizz Rodgers 5 N/A RB 96 RB 45 N/A N/A N/A 2.9 24th 9
80+ Justin Jackson 8 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 25th N/A

RB Strategy Talk

If you believe in quality over quantity, you will want to stock up on running backs early this year because there is a considerable drop off after the second or third round. There are no more than eight true workhorses, and they will all likely be gone by the end of the first round.

The recent success of rookie running backs has made the third to fifth round a very popular destination for them this year. The unknown can be intriguing for the likes of Derrius Guice, Rashaad Penny, Ronald Jones, and Sony Michel as they are all oozing with potential and have the upside to reach the mountaintop. Although, keep in mind that they also carry more risk than your typical steady veteran. The aforementioned rookies are fine RB2 targets; nevertheless, it is a good idea to have a backup plan in case they don’t produce out of the gate.

The sixth round and beyond consists mostly of either pass-catching backs like Duke Johnson and Tarik Cohen, or running backs that appear to be in a committee situation, such as Jamaal Williams, Marlon Mack, and Carlos Hyde to name a few.

The best strategy varies and can depend greatly on where you are positioned in the draft. My general approach to the running back position this season is to try and stockpile them early on in the draft. It’s mostly a shot in the dark after about the eighth round, and many of the RBs with any sort of fantasy relevance are gone after the 11th. That is why it’s essential to select at least three, but preferably four running backs before the end of the eighth round.

Here is an example of a solid fantasy football backfield when selecting from the six spot in PPR drafts:

  • Alvin Kamara (Round 1)
  • Rashaad Penny (Round 4)
  • Lamar Miller (Round 5)
  • Duke Johnson (Round 8)
  • Jordan Wilkins (Round 14)

In an ideal situation, I would take my RB2 before Round 4, but this is a great scenario to use as an example, especially if you want to grab a couple of top receivers to balance out your roster. Kamara provides the elite production; meanwhile, Penny is the rookie with high-risk/high-reward. Lamar Miller is the steady veteran that can produce RB2 numbers if Penny starts out slow or fails to live up to expectations this season. Duke Johnson is the PPR-specialist that is more than capable to fill in as a flex or RB2 when needed. Johnson’s upside is limited in a crowded backfield, although he also has a very safe floor due to his elite pass-catching ability. Lastly, Wilkins is a deep sleeper who may have a chance of winning the starting job in training camp or the preseason. He’s worth the late round gamble as an RB5.

Quick Hits

  • Only three RBs totaled 10+ touches in all 16 games last season: Todd Gurley, LeSean McCoy, and Mark Ingram.
  • Duke Johnson has recorded the most receptions over the past three seasons with a total of 188.
  • Jay Ajayi was the only starting running back not to record a single game of 15 or more points last season.
  • Le’Veon Bell, Todd Gurley, and Ezekiel Elliott were the only players to record 20 or more fantasy points in at least 50-percent of their matchups.
  • Joe Mixon has a second-round ADP despite ranking 28th in fantasy points per game at the running back position in 2017.

Best Values

1) Lamar Miller (HOU)
With three straight seasons of top-20 finishes, Miller has proven his worth as an RB2 for fantasy owners. The seven-year pro is in line for a heavy workload in 2018 with D’Onta Foreman still working his way back from a torn Achilles injury suffered in Week 11 of last year. The Houston offense is one of the most explosive units in the league with Deshaun Watson behind center and DeAndre Hopkins at wideout. Their presence should open up running lanes for Miller out of the backfield and should result in more goal-line opportunities as well. His current ADP of the fifth round is an exceptional value for a proven RB2 with RB1 capability.

2) Mark Ingram (NO)
If you can overcome the four-game suspension for Ingram, you are getting a top-10 running back at a near RB3 cost. Overshadowed by teammate Alvin Kamara, Ingram has quietly strung together three-successive years of top-10 performances, including ranking fourth in fantasy points per game in 2015. For those wondering, the Saints offense can sustain two top-end fantasy talents at running back, which was evident last year as Kamara and Ingram both posted top-six numbers.

3) Rex Burkhead (NE)
Yes, the Patriots used a first-round draft pick on Sony Michel. Yes, James White has caught 40 or more passes in three consecutive seasons. No, I’m not crazy. Let’s assume that Michel comes in and replaces Dion Lewis, and let’s assume that White catches another 40 or 50 balls. Where does that leave Rex Burkhead? In the same situation and role as last season. The same role that saw him score 13 fantasy points per game, good enough for 15th in the NFL.

Additionally, Burkhead is a popular candidate to be the goal line back for a team that has ranked in the top four of scoring offenses since 2010. With Julian Edelman suspended for the first four games of the season, along with the departure of Brandin Cooks, expect the Nebraska product to be more involved in the passing game in 2018. Therefore, Burkhead is in a prime position to surpass his ECR of RB33.

4) Theo Riddick (DET)
Despite his lack of efficiency in the running game, Riddick can still be a significant factor in PPR formats. The Detroit running back was eighth in fantasy production per game just two years ago and has ranked inside the top 35 in each of the past three years. He is also second among all running backs with 186 catches during that span as well, that’s ahead of some pretty noteworthy names like Le’Veon Bell, Melvin Gordon, and Devonta Freeman.

The additions of Kerryon Johnson and LeGarrette Blount may seem like obstacles standing in the way of Riddick’s fantasy success, but neither player should have much of an effect on his fantasy value in 2018. Riddick is one of the premier pass-catching backs in the NFL, thus making him one of the more underrated value picks in PPR formats with an ADP of the 11th round.

5) Giovani Bernard (CIN)
Speaking of PPR values, how about Bernard? Joe Mixon has been receiving more hype than the Cleveland Browns offseason, causing people to overlook another one of the league’s premier receiving backs. Bernard has an ECR of RB43, a number he has out-produced comfortably in the past three years with finishes of RB36, RB25, and RB27, respectively. He’s another player whose role should remain the same, so a dropoff in production seems unlikely. While others buy the hype and pay a premium price for Mixon, sit back, relax, and take the proven PPR performer eight rounds later.

The Quarterback Super Chart 


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Mike Dente is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @1ststopfantasy.

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