A trio of pitchers get the nod as my favorite plays on tonight’s slate. One of them barely cracks the five-figure salary threshold, another falls just short of that plateau, and the third is a cost-effective SP2. They’re joined by a three-man stack and some high-upside one-off plays among the hitters.
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Pitchers
Zack Wheeler (NYM): $10,100 @ Marlins
Wheeler’s finally priced in the fantasy ace territory, and he’s earned it. In four starts spanning 27.2 innings over the last 30 days, he has a 1.95 ERA (2.28 FIP, 3.12 xFIP, and 3.45 SIERA), 0.90 WHIP, 4.8% BB%, 25.0% K%, and 10.9% SwStr%, per FanGraphs. Expanding the sample size a bit (while admittedly cherry picking a tiny bit), in nine starts spanning 58.2 innings since getting touched up for six runs by the Braves on May 12, Wheeler’s delivered a pristine 2.61 ERA (2.66 FIP, 3.37 xFIP, and 3.56 SIERA), 1.02 WHIP, 7.5% BB%, 26.8% K%, and 12.2% SwStr%. He’s dealing, and he gets a cupcake to feast on tonight. The Marlins rank 26th in wRC+ (85) versus right-handed pitchers, 29th in wRC+ (81) at home, and 29th in wRC+ (65) over the last 30 days. Wheeler and the Mets are -114 favorites and the Marlins have a team over/under total of just 3.5 runs, according to Pinnacle.
