DraftKings MLB Lineup Advice: Friday (8/10) PREMIUM
A trio of pitchers get the nod as my favorite plays on tonight’s slate. One of them barely cracks the five-figure salary threshold, another falls just short of that plateau, and the third is a cost-effective SP2. They’re joined by a three-man stack and some high-upside one-off plays among the hitters.
Zack Wheeler (NYM): $10,100 @ Marlins
Wheeler’s finally priced in the fantasy ace territory, and he’s earned it. In four starts spanning 27.2 innings over the last 30 days, he has a 1.95 ERA (2.28 FIP, 3.12 xFIP, and 3.45 SIERA), 0.90 WHIP, 4.8% BB%, 25.0% K%, and 10.9% SwStr%, per FanGraphs. Expanding the sample size a bit (while admittedly cherry picking a tiny bit), in nine starts spanning 58.2 innings since getting touched up for six runs by the Braves on May 12, Wheeler’s delivered a pristine 2.61 ERA (2.66 FIP, 3.37 xFIP, and 3.56 SIERA), 1.02 WHIP, 7.5% BB%, 26.8% K%, and 12.2% SwStr%. He’s dealing, and he gets a cupcake to feast on tonight. The Marlins rank 26th in wRC+ (85) versus right-handed pitchers, 29th in wRC+ (81) at home, and 29th in wRC+ (65) over the last 30 days. Wheeler and the Mets are -114 favorites and the Marlins have a team over/under total of just 3.5 runs, according to Pinnacle.
Nathan Eovaldi (BOS): $9,700 @ Orioles
Eovaldi has been damn near perfect since joining the Red Sox. He’s made back-to-back scoreless starts of seven innings and eight innings, respectively. During his two starts spanning 15 innings for Boston, he’s ceded just seven hits and one walk while striking out nine batters. I last touted Eovaldi in advance of his worst start of the year. The Twins hammered him for eight runs in 2.2 innings. He made one more start for the Rays after that messy turn and threw six innings of one-run ball on six hits, zero walks, and eight strikeouts. Bringing it all together, in three starts spanning 21 innings since the Twins lit him up, he’s totaled a 0.43 ERA (2.29 FIP, 3.71 xFIP, and 3.60 SIERA), 0.67 WHIP, 1.4% BB%, 23.0% K%, and 11.4% SwStr%. The righty is locked in, but, honestly, he’s pitched quite well all year. Backed by Boston’s loaded offense, he and the Red Sox are -178 favorites. The Orioles have a non-threatening over/under total of 3.5 runs, and they’ve been a pushover for right-handed pitchers this year ranking 24th in wRC+ (90) and racking up a fantasy-friendly 24.1% K% against them.