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Fantasy Football Buy/Sell Picks (Week 3)

Fantasy Football Buy/Sell Picks (Week 3)

Whether you’re buying or selling, here’s a list of players to consider making a move on before it’s too late.

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Players to Buy

Alex Smith (QB – WAS)
It may have been a game where Washington just took it for granted, but their gameplan wasn’t very good against the Colts. Smith wasn’t extremely impressive, but he wasn’t bad, either. Expect him to bounce back against the Packers this week, making him a decent buy-low.

Saquon Barkley (RB – NYG)
Some will be looking to sell after watching the game on primetime television, but I’ll tell you this… Despite the Giants offense looking like garbage and playing against two solid run defenses, Barkley sits tight as the No. 5 running back in fantasy scoring. His ceiling is much higher than most realize and he’s one of the running backs who is gamescript proof. If you can find someone who doesn’t appreciate him, capitalize on it as there are maybe two or three players I’d rather have in fantasy football.

Kareem Hunt (RB – KC)
He hasn’t gotten off to a blazing start, but if you take a look at the landscape of running backs, not many have. The area you want to look at is touches, and Hunt has now received 35 of their 43 running back touches. With it being an explosive Andy Reid offense, points will come his way soon.

David Johnson (RB – ARI)
What did we expect Johnson to do against the Rams last week? Seriously, did we expect him to have a top-10 game? While the offensive line is a problem, you cannot find a three-down back with his job stability for as cheap as he comes, not to mention the talent. I’m buying the stock at its low point.

James Conner (RB – PIT)
He’ll be here every week until everyone realizes his value as an RB1 for 10 weeks. If Le’Veon Bell hasn’t shown up for Weeks 1 and 2, what makes anyone believe he’s going to show up before it’s completely necessary? Conner will continue to rack up 20-plus touches every game until then. If you can acquire him for someone like Jay Ajayi or T.Y. Hilton, I’d do it.

Derrick Henry (RB – TEN)
Look, I’m not saying to sell the farm to get Henry, but he’s being considered as a drop by some fantasy owners. That’s a mistake, as he’s simply struggled out of the gate. This is the same Derrick Henry who’s been a boom-or-bust running back his entire pro career. He’s still going to be startable at least half the time, which is more value than you have to give in order to acquire him. It also didn’t help that two of his best offensive lineman were out of the lineup.

Marquise Goodwin (WR – SF)
I’m not going to forget about the reports from this summer talking about Garoppolo and the connection he has with Goodwin. He was hurt in Week 1 and missed Week 2, so his owners are already furious. Knowing that, you’ll want to take advantage and get the player who should be a WR3 more often than not, with week-winning potential. His injury is nothing serious and he’s likely going to return this week.

Mike Williams (WR – LAC)
This is just the beginning for Williams, as he’s set to be the primary red zone target for Philip Rivers this season. He’s already started competing in snap counts with Tyrell Williams, and he’s outproduced him in both games. Knowing that Antonio Gates is not even playing many snaps and not an impact player at this point in his career, you need to act now on Williams.

James Washington (WR – PIT)
You can likely grab him off the waiver wire right now, but if you have to acquire him, put together a package deal with him included. Washington was a full-time player with Justin Hunter out of the lineup, and while he did score a touchdown, he could have had much more if Ben Roethlisberger hadn’t overthrown him on a deep ball to start the game.

O.J. Howard (TE – TB)
I’ve been concerned about Howard ever since they signed Cameron Brate to his extension, but those concerns are long gone after looking at the snap counts between the two. Howard has played 88 snaps, while Brate has now played just 38 snaps through two games. The defense will never be able to commit to stopping Howard with so many weapons at receiver.

David Njoku (TE – CLE)
He’s a full-time player in an offense that now lacks a true No. 1 wide receiver. I mean, do you think Jarvis Landry and Antonio Callaway are going to become guys who score eight touchdowns a year? Take the slow start as a buying opportunity, as the situation is much different than it was just one week ago. He’s an every-down player who is dominant in the red zone.

Players to Sell

Patrick Mahomes (QB – KC)
Look, I’m not going to sit here and tell you Mahomes hasn’t surprised me and shot up in my rest of season rankings. He has. The key thing to remember here is selling high on a replaceable position. There’s a reason we say to wait at quarterback. He may have another good game in Week 3 but plays the Broncos and Jaguars in Weeks 4 and 5.

Carson Wentz (QB – PHI)
If you’ve been holding onto Wentz waiting for him to return, it’s time to see what you can get in return. The truth is that he doesn’t have wide receivers to throw to, as Alshon Jeffery is still coming back from shoulder surgery and could re-injure that at any time, while it seems that Mike Wallace is now out for the year. His touchdown percentage was always going to regress and the injuries don’t help.

Andy Dalton (QB – CIN)
We’ve been here before with Dalton, right? He was severely undervalued in 2QB drafts, as he’s never finished worse than the QB18 in fantasy, but he’s had just one season inside the top-10. As far as I know, he still plays for the same head coach and the same coordinator as last year. He’s going to come back down to earth, so if you can sell for high-end QB2 value, do it.

James White (RB – NE)
I was leading the charge for playing James White over the last two weeks, but now is your chance to sell. We have Sony Michel and Rex Burkhead relatively healthy heading into Week 3, and then we have Julian Edelman returning to the lineup in Week 5. All of the above means less of a role for White, who will see his targets dip and he’ll become a touchdown-dependent flex player most weeks.

Giovani Bernard (RB – CIN)
This is the ultimate sell-high move. Yes, Bernard is going to have 15 touches per game while Mixon’s out, but from what we’re hearing, it may only be one game. Best case scenario for Bernard, it’s three games. Did we forget how bad the Bengals offensive line was? While he’s going to be a top-24 play with Mixon out, he’s going back to the bench once Mixon returns. They’ve drafted three running backs in the top four rounds with Bernard on the roster – they know he’s not “the guy.”

Austin Ekeler (RB – LAC)
It was kind of the perfect storm for Ekeler in Weeks 1 and 2, as the Chargers fell behind early in Week 1 leading Philip Rivers to target the running backs 18 times. Then, you had the Bills in Week 2 where they jumped out into an early lead, Gordon tweaked his knee, and Ekeler came in to clean up garbage time. Look, Ekeler is going to have some weeks like this, but he’s played just 22 snaps and 23 snaps in the first two weeks when the gamescript was perfectly in his favor. He’s a fine bench player to have, but he’s not a top-36 running back in fantasy without an injury to Gordon.

Marvin Jones (WR – DET)
It’s becoming more and more apparent that Marvin Jones is going to lose significant production to Kenny Golladay. While I still feel as if Jones will be a top-25 wide receiver the rest of the season, he may be a bit more boom/bust than you’d like.

Michael Crabtree (WR – BAL)
This isn’t to say that Crabtree will be a major disappointment to fantasy owners, but rather he’s not someone who’ll win you a fantasy championship. Through two games, John Brown has three red zone targets compared to just one for Crabtree. Joe Flacco has never had a “throw it up and let him win” type of wide receiver, so he’s unlikely to develop that trait now. Crabtree is solid, but he’s a boring fantasy player on this particular team.

DeSean Jackson (WR – TB)
There may be someone willing to believe that Jackson’s performances will continue, but you shouldn’t be one of them. Look, 75-yard touchdowns don’t fall from trees and players are lucky to have a couple of them a year. He played just 20 snaps in Week 1 and will be splitting snaps with Chris Godwin and Adam Humphries the remainder of the season. When Ryan Fitzpatrick cools off, so will Jackson.

Evan Engram (TE – NYG)
In a crowded receiver corps, Engram is going to be a bit up and down regardless. When you consider that Eli Manning has looked brutal, it’s hard to be optimistic. While you don’t want to give Engram away, you should explore how high his value is after a big game.

Eric Ebron (TE – IND)
Yes, Ebron scored another touchdown in Week 2. Yes, I’m still selling him. He played a total of just 16 snaps in Week 2, which ranked 58th among tight ends. If he doesn’t catch that touchdown, you’re left with a two-catch, 19-yard performance. I’m selling the touchdown per-game pace.

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Mike Tagliere is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @MikeTagliereNFL.

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