DraftKings NFL Cash Game Lineup Advice: Week 5
Offenses are out of control this season and Week 5 appears to be no different with six games coming in with a Vegas total over 50 points, including four on Sunday’s main slate plus a couple more in the high 40s. So, it should come as no surprise that many of this week’s DraftKings cash game recommendations come from players in those matchups. The problem with the offensive explosion is that most of the production is coming from the passing game so finding RBs that get a high volume of touches (including targets) is imperative to succeeding this season. Don’t be afraid to pay up at running back to lock in that production.
Blake Bortles (JAC): $5,500 @ KC
When Leonard Fournette is out, the Jaguars offense typically runs more through Bortles. Over the last season-plus since Fournette has been in the league, Bortles has averaged 287.8 passing yards and 1.8 TD passes in five games that Fournette has missed compared to just 222.4 passing yards and 1.27 TD passes in the 15 games Fournette has played. This week with Fournette out, Bortles also draws the best possible matchup against the Chiefs, who have allowed the most fantasy points to opposing QBs this season. Add in that the Jaguars are a small road underdog that will potentially need to air it out to keep up with the Chiefs’ high-flying offense and you have a recipe for success at a very reasonable cost. The chance of rain in Kansas City may cause some to pivot off of Bortles, but with very little wind, I’m not concerned.
Todd Gurley (LAR): $9,400 @ SEA
Last week I omitted Alvin Kamara from my cash game recommendations and followed through by not putting him in my cash game lineup. The omission was working out fine until he exploded in the second half against the Giants for three touchdowns. While I still feel it was the right call, his high ownership and the results say otherwise.
This week’s high-priced RB to lock in is Gurley. Sure, he has the highest salary on the slate, but he has such a high floor and ceiling that is it probably a mistake not to roster him in cash games. Note that I am also considering finding a way to fit in Melvin Gordon against a Raiders run defense that was just shredded by the Browns.
David Johnson (ARI): $6,300 @ SF
Sure, the Cardinals have been bad this season as they sit at 0-4, but they have some hope this week with a matchup against the Jimmy Garoppolo-less 49ers. Johnson finally saw his workload increase in Week 4 with 25 touches in a close game against the Seahawks. He should get a similar game script in Week 5 against the 49ers in a game with just a four-point Vegas point spread. The matchup is solid as well with the 49ers allowing the 10th-most fantasy points to opposing RBs this season. This is probably the lowest you will find Johnson priced, so take advantage.
- Melvin Gordon (LAC): $8,600 vs. OAK
- James Conner (PIT): $7,500 vs. ATL
- T.J. Yeldon (JAC): $5,600 @ KC
Antonio Brown (PIT): $9,100 vs. ATL
While I am not locked into using Brown in cash games, I have a hunch that he is due for one of those blow-up games at home against the Falcons. Brown has played second fiddle to fellow wideout JuJu Smith-Schuster this season, but Brown is still averaging over 13 targets per game and has scored in three of four contests. He is just lacking the big plays that could come this week against a Falcons defense that has allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing WRs this year. The lineup decision will likely come down to using Brown or cramming in Melvin Gordon as my flex.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling (GB): $3,300 @ DET
The Packers WR corps is potentially very thin for their Week 5 matchup with the Lions in Detroit. Randall Cobb (hamstring) missed the Week 4 game and is questionable to play this week. Geronimo Allison suffered a concussion in Week 4 and still hasn’t passed through concussion protocol to see the field, and even Davante Adams has missed a couple practices this week and is questionable with a calf injury. Marquez Valdes-Scantling got some extra run in place of Cobb in Week 4, and while he had just one reception for 38 yards on three targets, he was on the field for 71 percent of the Packers offensive snaps. He is a strong value option if at least two of the three starters are out. Fellow rookie WR J’Mon Moore ($3,000) would also benefit if all three starters are ruled out.
- Adam Thielen (MIN): $7,700 @ PHI
- JuJu Smith-Schuster (PIT): $7,500 vs. ATL
- Kenny Golladay (DET): $6,000 vs. GB
- Tyler Boyd (CIN): $5,700 vs. MIA
- Doug Baldwin (SEA): $5,000 vs. LAR
- Keelan Cole (JAC): $4,900 @ KC
- Dede Westbrook (JAC): $4,700 @ KC
- J’Mon Moore (GB): $3,000 @ DET
Vance McDonald (PIT): $3,700 vs. ATL
McDonald has been a battering ram the last two weeks plowing through the defense on his way to nine receptions for 174 yards and a score. With a matchup against the Falcons in the game with the highest Vegas total of the week, you’ll want exposure to the Steelers’ offense, and McDonald gives you some cheap exposure while filling a tough position. McDonald has a good individual matchup and should stay involved in the offense after back-to-back games with five targets and inspirational play.
Ravens D/ST (BAL): $2,800 @ CLE
This looks like a week to go cheap at D/ST. The Ravens get defensive back Jimmy Smith back this week, adding to an already formidable defense to face rookie QB Baker Mayfield. Mayfield has looked pretty good through one and a half games but will face his stiffest test in Week 5 against the Ravens. If you want to go even cheaper, consider the Lions D/ST, especially if all three of the Packers starting WRs are out, leaving a trio of rookies to fill in, which could cause trouble for Aaron Rodgers and their offensive rhythm.
- Panthers D/ST (CAR): $3,300 vs. NYG
- Lions D/ST (DET): $2,200 vs. GB