FanDuel NFL Lineup Advice: Week 6 (Full Slate)

by Elliott Baas
Oct 10, 2018

Matt Ryan draws a porous Tampa Bay defense in Week 6

We’re looking at the Thursday NFL slate on FanDuel in this article. Every game from Thursday to Monday is on the slate we’re playing, starting tomorrow with PHI @ NYG. One important thing to note when playing the all-week slate is how the Thursday and Monday games affect ownership. Often when fantasy players choose to play the all-week slate, it’s because they like a player or players in the Thursday or Monday game. That can make Thursday or Monday players a little more chalky than they usually would be if the game occurred on a Sunday. As a result, sometimes we can get more favorable ownership on Sunday chalk.

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Quarterback

Matt Ryan (ATL vs. TB): $8,300
Ryan and the Falcons turned in a disappointing performance Week 5 against Pittsburgh, but can confidently go back to them in a home matchup with Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay has allowed the fourth-most passing yards in the league despite playing one fewer game than the majority of the NFL because of their Week 5 bye. They are currently allowing the most passing yards per game, highest net yards per attempt, and the most fantasy points per game to quarterbacks.

Last time out Mitchell Trubisky hung 43 points on them after scoring a combined 37.01 points in the first three weeks. Neither one of these teams can stop anyone from scoring, and Ryan should be in the thick of a shootout in Atlanta. TB @ ATL currently has a 57.5 O/U, and that number seems a little conservative considering both teams allow a combined 67.35 points per game.

Running Back

Sony Michel (NE vs. KC): $7,100
Michel has averaged 4.88 yards per carry over his last two games, along with 17.35 FanDuel points. He has taken well to the starting role in New England, and with Rex Burkhead and Jeremy Hill both on injured reserve, we don’t have to worry about any Bill Belichick shenanigans. Kansas City has allowed the highest yards per carry in the NFL along with the second highest fantasy points per game for running backs.

Chris Carson (SEA @ OAK): $6,400
Carson is coming off back-to-back 100-yard games for Seattle and led all running backs in snaps last week against the Rams. He has won the lead back role and draws a great matchup this week against Oakland. The Raiders have allowed the fifth-most yards and yards per carry to running backs this season and are starting two rookies at defensive tackle in a 4-3 defense. They are soft up the middle and sorely missing Khalil Mack and Denico Autry against the run. Carson should see the most opportunities and has taken advantage of those opportunities for 16.4 FanDuel points per game over the last two weeks.

Wide Receiver

Julio Jones (ATL vs. TB): $8,500
Jones has somehow not scored a touchdown yet this season despite the fact that Matt Ryan has already tossed 11 touchdown passes in five games. Even without the touchdowns Jones is an elite receiver, averaging 11 targets per game, 112.8 yards per game, and 14.9 FanDuel points. Jones is either going to matchup against 35-year-old veteran Brent Grimes or 21-year-old rookie Carlton Davis. Either way, Jones is in for a favorable matchup in this game.

A.J. Green (CIN vs. PIT): $8,800
Pittsburgh has allowed the fourth-most FanDuel points per game to wide receivers this season along with 296.2 passing yards per game. This game has a 53.0 O/U, and Green should dominate targets for Cincinnati in what looks like a high-scoring, back and forth matchup between AFC North rivals. Green and Joe Haden used to have an intense, evenly matched rivalry when Haden was in Cleveland. That rivalry will not be the same now that Haden is over-the-hill and unable to keep up with a receiver of Green’s caliber.

Julian Edelman (NE vs. KC): $6,900
Edelman saw nine targets in his return last week against Indianapolis, and he’ll look to be even more involved this week against Kansas City. The Chiefs have allowed by far the most passing yards in the league at 1,715 through five games (Tampa Bay has allowed more on a per game basis) and are allowing 343 yards through the air per game. Edelman should get the most consistent targets of any Patriots wide receiver in this game.

Tight End

Cameron Brate (TB @ ATL): $4,500
With O.J. Howard almost certainly sitting out for this game, we get a bargain at tight end with Brate. At 6’5, Brate is a red zone monster, having scored 14 touchdowns between 2016-2017 with Jameis Winston. Brate has always been a favorite target of Winston and even caught a touchdown from him last week. In a game where plenty of scoring should occur, Brate is quite a value at $4,500.

Flex

Latavius Murray (MIN vs. ARI): $5,600
This play is contingent up whether Dalvin Cook plays and how much he’s used. Even if Cook plays, he won’t be 100% healthy and Murray would see work in a favorable situation. Minnesota is a -10.5 point favorite and will likely be up big and need to kill the clock. Arizona has allowed the most points per game to running backs this season, and a big reason for that is the amount of rushing attempts they’ve faced. Teams have run the ball 174 times against the Cardinals, or 34.8 attempts per game. The next highest is the Miami Dolphins, who have seen 146 rushing attempts, or 29.2 attempts per game. Minnesota hopefully learned their lesson from the Buffalo upset and shouldn’t let an inferior opponent get the better of them at home.

Defense

Titans D/ST (TEN vs. BAL): $3,800
Tennessee is tied for third-fewest points allowed this season and per game at 17.2. They’ve been even better over the last three games, allowing just 14 points per game to opponents. The Titans are going to be locked up in one of the few defensive struggles on the slate this week against the Baltimore Ravens. This game has a 41.0 O/U, which is the second lowest of the week after JAC @ DAL. Baltimore has also had a case of fumblitis through the first five games as well, coughing up the ball 10 times so far, though they’ve been fortunate enough only to lose four of them.

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Elliott Baas is a correspondent at FantasyPros. For more from Elliott, check out his archive and follow him @elliottbaasbb.

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