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Fantasy Football Buy/Sell Picks (Week 5)

Fantasy Football Buy/Sell Picks (Week 5)

Whether you’re buying or selling, here’s a list of players to consider making a move on before it’s too late.

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Players to Buy

Matt Ryan (QB – ATL)
Some may think that it’s time to sell high on Ryan, but no… His defense without its top three players is now one to target for opposing offenses, meaning you’re going to see increased pass attempts out of Ryan in shootouts. If his owner doesn’t realize this, buy him before they play the Steelers next week and we witness another top-five finish.

Jameis Winston (QB – TB)
You can wait until after the bye week if you’d like, but you can probably get him cheaper right now. When he comes out of the bye week, he’ll play against the pinball machine that is the Falcons defense that’s now allowed 104 points over the last three weeks. Winston is likely to be a QB1 the remainder of the season with his defense struggling as much as they are.

Mark Ingram (RB – NO)
If you didn’t listen to the advice to buy him last week, you can still likely buy him for cheaper than his actual worth. There are just six running backs in the NFL who you should rather have going forward: Gurley, Gordon, Barkley, Elliott, Kamara, and maybe McCaffrey. The Saints have been throwing the ball a lot more without Ingram, but don’t think that continues with their defensive struggles. Ingram will return RB1 value for the remainder of the season.

Sony Michel (RB – NE)
With Rex Burkhead on injured reserve, it’s Sony Michel time for the Patriots. After most panicked about him to start the season, the Patriots now have Julian Edelman coming back to the offense and they also have Josh Gordon help stretch the field. While James White has played well, they don’t want him carrying the ball more than 5-10 times a game, which leaves Michel with 15-plus touches per week in a high-scoring offense. He’s a rock-solid RB2 going forward.

Kerryon Johnson (RB – DET)
There are a lot of fantasy players out there who don’t get to see every game and rely on the box score to tell them the story, though that doesn’t cut it with Johnson. He’s outplayed both Blount and Riddick over the last two weeks en route to a much bigger role going forward. This might be the last time you see him below 10 carries this season. He’s now got 156 yards and two touchdowns on his last 24 carries.

Aaron Jones (RB – GB)
After nudging out Jamaal Williams in Week 3 for carries when he had six carries for 42 yards while Williams had five carries for 29 yards, we saw more of the same in Week 4. After Aaron Rodgers talked-up Jones in interviews, he tallied 11 carries for 65 yards and a touchdown versus the Bills. It’s still somewhat of a timeshare, but the Packers can only live with Williams’ struggles so long. It’s possible that Jones is an RB2 from here on out, though you only have to pay a fraction of the cost.

Geronimo Allison (WR – GB)
I’m not going to rank him as a top-24 wide receiver for the remainder of the season, but if someone told me that’s how they valued him, I wouldn’t argue with them. Through four games, Allison is now on pace for 118 targets, 76 receptions, 1,156 yards, and 8 touchdowns. Randall Cobb is now dealing with a hamstring injury, which only piques the interest in Allison who saw 11 targets in Week 4. Allison did also suffer a concussion, so there’s risk involved with him for Week 5, but he’s definitely on the WR3 radar throughout the remainder of the season.

Robby Anderson (WR – NYJ)
It hasn’t been a great start to the Anderson/Darnold connection, though there will be better days ahead. Over the first four weeks of the season, he’s faced Darius Slay, Xavien Howard, Denzel Ward, and Jalen Ramsey in coverage. Those may be four top-10 cornerbacks in the NFL. He’ll play the Broncos and Colts over the next two weeks, which could lead to a breakout game. He may be on the waiver wire right now, but I’m buying him at the absolute floor price.

Ryan Grant (WR – IND)
Now that we know T.Y. Hilton is dealing with a hamstring injury, it’s time for Grant to step-up as the team’s No. 1 option at wide receiver. The Colts aren’t moving the ball on the ground and their defense isn’t going to put them in a position to kill the clock, so Grant will see six-plus targets by default. He’s definitely usable during bye weeks.

Rob Gronkowski (TE – NE)
If someone is willing to sell Gronkowski after a slow start, you should be there to take advantage. In seasons where he’s played at least 13 games, he’s never finished outside the top-three at tight end. With Julian Edelman coming back, it should help Gronkowski avoid the double- and triple-coverage he’s been seeing.

Jordan Reed (TE – WAS)
Reed now has his bye week out of the way, which clears up a roster spot that you don’t need to occupy with a backup tight end. If you do, just snag Vernon Davis, who already has experience with Alex Smith. But the reason you’re buying is because most don’t realize how very few every-week tight ends there are. It’s Kelce, Gronkowski, Ertz, Reed, Graham, and maybe Burton. Outside of them, it’s slim pickings of players who’ll be up-and-down. If you’re able to buy Reed for a WR3, it should be atop your priority list.

Players to Sell

Andy Dalton (QB – CIN)
Look, Dalton is a fine quarterback, but he’s not going to be a top-five quarterback. The way he’s been performing, you’ll be able to get better value than you will if you wait. This is his eighth NFL season and he’s finished inside the top-10 just once. With Joe Mixon and Vontaze Burfict returning, their defense should be better and their run-game should step-up a bit more. Dalton is a fine top-18 guy, but don’t believe in the current top-12 numbers.

Leonard Fournette (RB – JAC)
When dealing with a hamstring injury, it’s a touchy thing. As we’ve already learned with Fournette, it’s not a great one to predict future success. After missing two full weeks with his hamstring injury (that was called “mild”), he returned to game action, only to re-aggravate the injury. It’s likely he’ll miss another two weeks, putting him outside RB1 territory for the remainder of the season. At this point, you may consider selling him for someone like James Conner.

Tevin Coleman (RB – ATL)
Coleman didn’t look quite as explosive last week when he was asked to carry the big workload with Devonta Freeman out of the lineup. It seems like Freeman is likely to come back in Week 5, putting Coleman back into a timeshare that requires a touchdown to be more than a RB3 in any given week. He’s still going to be in the high-end RB3 range, but you may be able to sell for more than that.

Peyton Barber (RB – TB)
It hasn’t been a pretty start to the season for Barber, though it’s not really his fault. The offensive line for the Bucs simply hasn’t played well enough, though it’s going to lead to Barber getting benched for their second-round pick Ronald Jones. He’s likely to struggle with that line as well, but the Bucs have too much invested in Jones not to give him an extended look.

Giovani Bernard (RB – CIN)
There will be some who expect Bernard to be a big part of the offense going forward, but you shouldn’t be one of them. Mixon was getting 90 percent of the touches prior to his injury, but it goes beyond that. The Bengals have drafted three running backs in the top four rounds while Bernard has been on the team – they know he’s not the one. If you can get someone like Aaron Jones or Tarik Cohen for him, do it.

Golden Tate (WR – DET)
It’s clear that Tate has taken full advantage of his easy early-season schedule, though it’s time to capitalize on your asset. Tate has been with the Lions for the last four seasons and has never finished better than the WR13. In fact, he’s finished as a top-22 wide receiver just twice. Seeing that he’s a top-10 receiver should make you confident when selling high. Knowing that Kenny Golladay and Marvin Jones will get theirs, he’s not finishing top-12 this year.

Calvin Ridley (WR – ATL)
The reason Ridley’s here is due to a poll I saw on Twitter that had over 3,000 votes. 56 percent of people said they’d rather have Ridley than his teammate Julio Jones going forward. If that’s what Ridley’s stock is worth right now, it’s time to sell, and that’s coming from someone who’s a bigger Ridley fan than anyone I know. He’s most definitely a must-play right now with the Falcons offense throwing as much as they are, but he’s not inside my top-24 wide receivers for the remainder of the season.

Larry Fitzgerald (WR – ARI)
If it weren’t for the name on the back of his jersey, he’d be on the waiver wire of many leagues. While he deserves some forgiveness, it’s time to cut the name value from your fantasy team and trade him for whatever you can. Not only did he have just 113 scoreless yards through three weeks, but he’s also trying to play through a hamstring injury.

Eric Ebron (TE – IND)
It’s clear that Ebron has benefited from Jack Doyle being out the last two weeks, seeing 21 targets in the process. Still, he totaled just 73 yards on those targets, though a late-game touchdown salvaged his fantasy day in Week 4. He’s going to have value while Doyle is out, but if you can maximize your value, you should consider it.

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Mike Tagliere is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @MikeTagliereNFL.

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