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Fantasy Football Buy/Sell Picks (Week 7)

by Mike Tagliere | @MikeTagliereNFL | Featured Writer
Oct 17, 2018

Whether you’re buying or selling, here’s a list of players to consider making a move on before it’s too late.

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Players to Buy

Russell Wilson (QB – SEA)
The efficiency of the offense has been off the charts over the last few weeks, and while some will say it’s not going to continue, Wilson has had a history of success over the second half of the season. In 2017, he scored 190.1 points from Week 9 through Week 17 while no other quarterback scored more than 166.4 points. In 2016, he was the No. 2 quarterback in the second half of the season. The offense has started to click and we have a proven history with Wilson that should demand respect.

Baker Mayfield (QB – CLE)
It hasn’t been the greatest of performances over the last few weeks, but while watching Mayfield, everything is going to click. Knowing his upcoming schedule, it’s going to very soon. His upcoming schedule includes the Bucs, Steelers, Chiefs, and Falcons, who might be four of the worst pass defenses in the league. He’s going to be a fantasy starter in each of those games.

Alvin Kamara (RB – NO)
If the Kamara owner is tilting after the Monday night meltdown, you need to go and offer them a trade right now. Even with Ingram in the lineup last year, Kamara finished outside the top-15 running backs just once (he finished as the RB22 that week) when he played the whole game. With Drew Brees setting the record and Ingram having fresh legs, the cards fell just right so that Kamara would have a down game. Buy, buy, buy. It also helps to know that he’s got his bye week out of the way, which allows you to stash a high-upside handcuff on your bench.

Marlon Mack (RB – IND)
The numbers at the end of the game looked solid (12 carries, 89 yards), but if you’ve watched the Colts running backs this year, you know that Mack looked like the best running back, and it’s not all that close. He showed burst in his runs, and his athleticism allows him to create his own space, something Jordan Wilkins and Robert Turbin are unable to do. If he remains healthy, he’s likely to be a top-30 running back for the rest of the season.

Royce Freeman (RB – DEN)
Judging from the questions I see on my Twitter account every week, Freeman is someone you should be able to buy-low. He’s arguably the most talented running back on the Broncos and offers flex-type numbers even with Phillip Lindsay in the lineup. Should anything happen to Lindsay, Freeman would be an every-week RB1/2 option. On top of that, Freeman may have a bigger role if ownership decides to move on from head coach Vance Joseph. who is reportedly on the hot seat.

Corey Clement (RB – PHI)
Judging by how many people went to the waiver wire to spend all their money on Wendell Smallwood, I’m guessing you can get Clement a tad cheaper. While Smallwood might have the edge on early-down work, Clement will get the touches that matter most… receptions. He’s the more versatile back and knowing Darren Sproles has been out for quite some time, his career may be over. Clement should offer flex numbers most of the time, provided they don’t trade for a running back.

Odell Beckham (WR – NYG)
Knowing the Giants paid him more money than any wide receiver in the history of NFL, they need to find a way to make things right. Beckham is far too talented to not produce, as the first four years of his career have shown. The crazy part is that despite a horrid start to the season, he’s still a top-15 receiver. If you find someone who watched Thursday night football and is fed up, now is the time to jump in and try to acquire him.

Jarvis Landry (WR – CLE)
Most will look at Landry as a buy-low and think, “yeah right, his owner knows it’s been just a few bad weeks,” but when a fantasy owner sees less than 10 fantasy points in three straight weeks, they start to wonder what that player’s actual worth is. With the Bucs, Steelers, Chiefs, and Falcons on deck, his worth is going to be in the top-12 wide receiver territory. If you can get him for someone like Allen Robinson, you should.

Doug Baldwin (WR – SEA)
He didn’t find the end zone in Week 6, but he did see 8-of-23 pass attempts for Russell Wilson, a rather-high 34.8 percent target share. He turned those targets into 6/91/0, so there’s little reason they should end, especially when you consider he’ll often have the best matchup on the field in the slot. Prior to hurting his knee, Baldwin was universally considered a top-36 pick in fantasy drafts, so you’d still be buying him at a massive discount.

Mohamed Sanu (WR – ATL)
You always want to get a part of the Rams offense, right? The issue is that each of their wide receivers is viewed as a top-20 option nearly every week and they would cost a lot to acquire. So instead of going for them, go for the Rams-lite version in Atlanta, and snag the guy who everyone continually overlooks. Sanu has now scored at least 10.6 fantasy points in each of his last four games, and if Calvin Ridley is forced to miss any time with his ankle injury, his target share will only go up. He’s seen at least six targets in 4-of-6 games this year, putting him in WR3/4 territory most weeks.

Chris Godwin (WR – TB)
In their first game back off the bye week, Godwin led the team in targets (9). It was his first game of the year with Jameis Winston, so this is big for his rest of the season outlook. He actually played more snaps than DeSean Jackson last week, so we’re moving in the right direction. He may not be an every-week start just yet, but with the Bucs defense looking as bad as they do, the pass attempts should continue to be on the rise, providing opportunity.

David Njoku (TE – CLE)
Sure, he scored a touchdown last week, which could potentially make his owner want to hold onto him, but this is one of those cases where you should be buying-high on a player. Njoku has been in the buy column for weeks now, and will now play these defenses with their rank against tight ends through five weeks: Bucs (32nd), Steelers (31st), Chiefs (30th), and Falcons (7th) the next four weeks. He’s likely going to be a top-five tight end over the next month.

Players to Sell

Drew Brees (QB – NO)
Now with his bye week out of the way, make other owners aware of that in trade talks. It’s definitely a plus because he’s viewed as a plug-and-play quarterback every week, making an owner tempted to trade for him and not stream quarterbacks anymore. Truth be told, Brees’ best numbers of 2018 are behind him. With the defense playing much better and the combination of Mark Ingram/Alvin Kamara in the backfield, we’re likely to return to more of the 2017 version where he was a low-end QB1/high-end QB2 most weeks.

Mitch Trubisky (QB – CHI)
Trust me when I say that the overall numbers might look good, but Trubisky has been anything but good this season. He’ll flash at times, but falter at others, leaving you extremely vulnerable in fantasy football from week-to-week. If there’s someone who just looks at the box scores, they may see someone who is a solid fantasy starter as of late. He’s going to lose you some weeks with his inconsistency.

Carlos Hyde (RB – CLE)
After totaling 285 rushing yards and five rushing scores over the first four games, Hyde has now totaled just 97 rushing yards without a single touchdown over the last two games. His struggles aren’t likely to be fixed against the Bucs next week, a team who’s yet to allow more than 61 yards on the ground. The Browns could decide to see what they have in second-round pick Nick Chubb before long.

Wendell Smallwood (RB – PHI)
He’s not a game-changer, guys. The only reason he got on the field in the first place was due to injuries to Jay Ajayi, Corey Clement, and Darren Sproles. While Ajayi is out for the year, Clement is back in a full capacity and is the better all-around running back. Smallwood will be a touchdown-or-bust running back most weeks, and knowing he’ll be splitting goal-line work puts him outside my top-40 for the rest of the year. If you find someone who’s buying, you should be selling.

Nyheim Hines (RB – IND)
You may have missed your window, but if you can sell Hines for a buy-low player, you should. He’s been a lot more heavily involved than the Colts would have liked recently, but that’s due to injuries to Mack (who is back), Hilton, and Doyle. The more that return, the more his role will decline. On top of that, Andrew Luck is on a record pace for attempts, something that can only go down.

Allen Robinson (WR – CHI)
Robinson is a phenomenal wide receiver and I’m not sure that many realize how good he can be. With that being said, his quarterback isn’t playing very well right now. The stat sheet may say one thing, but he’s been ultra-inconsistent and it’ll pass down to Robinson when he doesn’t score a touchdown. He’s scored in each of the last two games salvaging his fantasy day, but it’s not sustainable when he’s seen seven or less targets in 4-of-5 games.

Sterling Shepard (WR – NYG)
The Giants are struggling to do much through Eli Manning, they have an unhappy Odell Beckham, and they’re about to get Evan Engram back into the lineup. What does that amount to? Less production for Shepard, unless, of course, Manning starts to play a heck of a lot more efficiently. It’s gotten to the point where you should try to move him for a wide receiver who may be more risky, but one that comes with more upside on a weekly basis. Shepard has the talent, but he’s going to start losing opportunity.

Tyrell Williams (WR – LAC)
Someone is bound to look at box scores and see Williams with 118/2 last week, leading them to believe he’s someone who must be owned. You need to take advantage of that, because it could’ve just as easily been Mike Williams who posted those numbers, but he was covered by Denzel Ward most of the game. Despite Rivers’ decent volume on the season, Williams has still yet to eclipse five targets in one game. He’s totaled 48 yards or less in 4-of-6 games this year.

Evan Engram (TE – NYG)
Outside of Odell Beckham, the Giants pass-catchers are likely in trouble. If we have Saquon Barkley heavily involved and need to involve Beckham more, it’s going to create less opportunity for Sterling Shepard and Engram. Fewer targets in an inefficient offense isn’t exactly a great formula for success. If you can find someone to give you David Njoku for Engram, you should be accepting that offer.

Greg Olsen (TE – CAR)
It seems there are just a whole bunch of complimentary options in the Panthers passing game, and Olsen is just one of them at this point in his career. It’s been said that Olsen will require foot surgery in the offseason, which tells us that whatever is wrong, isn’t going to magically go away. Foot issues for pass-catchers is a big no-no, so feel free to trade Olsen on name value.

Austin Hooper (TE – ATL)
Some will believe they’ve hit a goldmine with Hooper and have an every-week tight end, but if he’s on your team, I suggest you sell-high. He’s played against the Steelers and Bucs the last two weeks, the two teams who are literally the worst in the league at defending tight ends. While Hooper won’t fall completely off the map, the gameplan the last two weeks likely featured him for a reason. They play the Saints and the Ravens in their next two games, two top-10 teams against fantasy tight ends.

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Mike Tagliere is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @MikeTagliereNFL.

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