FanDuel NFL Lineup Advice: Week 10 (Full Slate)

by Elliott Baas
Nov 7, 2018

Ryan Fitzpatrick gets an exploitable Washington pass defense in Week 10

We’re looking at the Thursday NFL slate on FanDuel in this article. Every game from Thursday to Monday is on the slate we’re playing, starting tomorrow with CAR @ PIT.  One important thing to note when playing the all-week slate is how the Thursday and Monday games affect ownership.

Often when fantasy players choose to play the all-week slate, it’s because they like a player or players in the Thursday or Monday game. That can make Thursday or Monday players a little more chalky than they usually would be if the game occurred on a Sunday. As a result, sometimes we can get more favorable ownership on Sunday chalk.

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Quarterback

Ryan Fitzpatrick (TB vs. WAS): $7,600
Fitzpatrick regained the starting job and rolled for four touchdown passes last week against Carolina. He draws an even better matchup this week against Washington. Washington has been getting shredded through the air as of late, and since their Week 4 bye Washington has allowed at least 250 yards passing in every game. In every game Fitzpatrick has started and finished he is averaging 31.86 FanDuel points per game, which would be the highest among quarterbacks by a significant margin. Even including the two partial games, Fitzpatrick has the second-highest points per game average after only Patrick Mahomes. He’s a great value in what should be a high-scoring game.

Running Back

Melvin Gordon (LAC @ OAK): $8,900
This is a big week for top-tier running backs, as several have great matchups that should create favorable game scripts for the player. I fear too many people will be on Kareem Hunt ($9,000 vs. ARI) after his three-touchdown game, and Todd Gurley ($10,800 vs. SEA) is always mega-owned, so hopefully Gordon flies a bit under the radar in GPP games. The Oakland Raiders are just putrid on defense in all facets and have allowed the fourth-most rushing yards and 4.8 yards per carry to opposing ballcarriers. This game has a 50.0 O/U with Los Angeles as a -10 road favorite. The Chargers could ride Gordon to an easy victory in this matchup, possibly with multiple scores and plenty of yardage along the way.

Saquon Barkley (NYG @ SF): $8,600
The Giants actually have a winnable game this week against San Francisco, and to stay competitive they’ll need to rely on Barkley against a bad team. Barkley has been getting immense work over the last few weeks, with a minimum of 22 touches in his last three games, including exactly nine catches per game. This is perhaps a symptom of the Giants’ horrible offensive line or a strategy employed by the Giants’ coaching staff to get the ball out quicker. Either way, it’s resulting in lots of volume for Barkley, who’ll certainly shoulder a big load against San Francisco.

Wide Receivers

Mike Evans (TB vs. WAS): $7,500
Despite four touchdowns from Ryan Fitzpatrick, Mike Evans put up a dud last week against Carolina, catching just one of 10 targets for 16 yards. It was the worst catch rate of his career in games which Evans caught a pass, and only the third time he’s had one or zero receptions in a game. That dropped his price pretty significantly, and we can get a nice pairing between Fitzpatrick and Evans for about 25% of our total budget. Washington has been abused by elite wide receivers lately as well, giving up a combined 15 catches for 257 yards and a touchdown to Julio Jones and Odell Beckham over the last two weeks.

Maurice Harris (WAS @ TB): $5,900
With Paul Richardson out for the season, Jamison Crowder’s status iffy, and Josh Doctson continuing to disappoint, Harris emerged as a top target for Alex Smith last week. Harris racked up 124 yards on ten catches in Week 9 against Atlanta and draws a similarly favorable matchup against Tampa Bay this week. A receiver under $6,000 that could get double-digit targets against the Bucs is too enticing to pass up.

John Ross (CIN vs. NO): $5,600
Ross is practicing in full this week, and with A.J. Green out and Tyler Boyd‘s $7,800 exorbitant price tag Ross presents a nice WR3 option in a great matchup against New Orleans. The Saints have allowed the most FanDuel points to wide receivers this season. They have also allowed 334.3 passing yards per game since their bye in Week 6, a number that would be even higher had they not faced Joe Flacco in Week 7. If active, Ross will probably be overlooked since he hasn’t played much this season, but Cincinnati’s receiving corps is thin and Ross has arguably the most raw talent of the bunch.

Tight End

Vance McDonald (PIT vs. CAR): $5,300
Carolina has allowed a touchdown to a tight end in each of their last five games, including two to O.J. Howard last week. They have been atrocious against tight ends this season, so much so that the Panthers are tied with the Buccaneers for most points allowed to opposing tight ends. That’s pretty remarkable when you consider that Carolina has been middle-of-the-road against other positions this season while Tampa Bay is either first or second in points allowed to all three positions heavily involved in the passing game (QB, WR, TE). Tight ends have been a huge weakness for Carolina and look for Pittsburgh to capitalize this week by incorporating McDonald.

Flex

David Johnson (ARI @ KC): $6,900
Trying to extract value fantasy value from Johnson has been similar to the Cardinals’ season, an exercise in futility. However, this week Johnson gets the best matchup for running backs in the NFL and has seen his price tumble to depths we never thought imaginable. As maligned as their pass defense is, Kansas City’s rush defense is just as bad. They have allowed the most fantasy points per game to opposing running backs along with the highest yards per carry at 5.2. Arizona is a heavy underdog in this one, but Johnson should still be in for 15 touches minimum and can take advantage of a bad defense.

Defense

Buffalo Bills D/ST (BUF @ NYJ): $3,700
Owners will probably be all over the Jets ($4,900) in this one, but the Bills are a good counterplay to them in the same game. This game has the lowest total of the week with a 37.0 O/U, and there is a good chance it doesn’t hit the over. Sam Darnold threw four interceptions last week and has seven interceptions over his last three games. The Jets are averaging just 11 points per game during that stretch and look just as inept on offense as Buffalo. This game seems similar to the Week 9 matchup between the Jets and Dolphins, which the Dolphins won 13-6 in sloppy fashion. The Dolphins defense got 25 FanDuel points thanks to Darnold’s carelessness with the ball, and while 25 points is a lofty expectation for any defense, Buffalo should have a decent opportunity to reach value this week.

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Elliott Baas is a correspondent at FantasyPros. For more from Elliott, check out his archive and follow him @elliottbaasbb.

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1Melvin Gordon (LAC)RB
2Alvin Kamara (NO)RB
3Ezekiel Elliott (DAL)RB
4Saquon Barkley (NYG)RB
5James Conner (PIT)RB
6Nick Chubb (CLE)RB
7David Johnson (ARI)RB
8Christian McCaffrey (CAR)RB
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16Davante Adams (GB)WR
17Mike Evans (TB)WR
18Keenan Allen (LAC)WR
19Zach Ertz (PHI)TE
20Stefon Diggs (MIN)WR
21George Kittle (SF)TE
22Mark Ingram (NO)RB
23Joe Mixon (CIN)RB
24JuJu Smith-Schuster (PIT)WR
25T.Y. Hilton (IND)WR
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29Aaron Jones (GB)RB
30Matt Breida (SF)RB
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6Bryce Harper (FA)CF,RF
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17Carlos Correa (HOU)SS
18Justin Verlander (HOU)SP
19Joey Votto (CIN)1B
20Anthony Rizzo (CHC)1B,2B
21Jacob deGrom (NYM)SP
22Chris Sale (BOS)SP
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28Aaron Judge (NYY)RF,DH
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