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FanDuel NFL Lineup Advice: Week 11 (Full Slate)

by Elliott Baas | @ElliottBaasBB | Featured Writer
Nov 14, 2018

Alshon Jeffery can break his slump against the league’s worst defense against opposing WRs, the New Orleans Saints

We’re looking at the Thursday NFL slate on FanDuel in this article. Every game from Thursday to Monday is on the slate we’re playing, starting tomorrow with GB @ SEA.  One important thing to note when playing the all-week slate is how the Thursday and Monday games affect ownership.

Often when fantasy players choose to play the all-week slate, it’s because they like a player or players in the Thursday or Monday game. That can make Thursday or Monday players a little more chalky than they usually would be if the game occurred on a Sunday. As a result, sometimes we can get more favorable ownership on Sunday chalk.

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Quarterback

Carson Wentz (PHI @ NO): $7,700
Wentz has scored at least 20 points in all but two games this season, and has done so while facing tough competition. Wentz has only gone against one bottom-10 pass defense this season, and that was Indianapolis back in Week 3. He finally gets a porous secondary this week against New Orleans, who have been the worst defense against quarterbacks this season. Wentz has proven to have a solid floor against good defenses, and he’s underpriced given his past production and matchup.

Running Back

Ezekiel Elliott (DAL @ ATL): $8,400
Atlanta has been the worst team against running backs this season, and they let Nick Chubb to run all over them last week for 199 total yards. The Falcons are allowing 31.5 FanDuel points per game to opposing running backs along with 5.2 yards per carry. Elliott is one of the game’s elite backs and yet is only the seventh-most expensive running back in such a favorable matchup. He could be in for another huge game this week against Atlanta.

Aaron Jones (GB @ SEA): $6,700
Jones piled up 145 yards and two touchdowns on 15 carries last week, and yet he is still just $6,700 on FanDuel. Seattle has been the number 12 defense against running backs in terms of points allowed, but they are allowing 5.0 yards per carry, which is tied for fourth highest. Seattle has seen the eighth fewest rushing attempts in 2018, which inflates their ranking against running backs. Based on last week, it looks like Mike McCarthy has finally come around and will make Jones the primary ballcarrier, which means rushing attempts shouldn’t be an issue.

Wide Receivers

Brandin Cooks (LAR vs. KC): $7,800
This game opened with a whopping 63.5 O/U, and the opening total hasn’t budged since. Most are expecting a back-and-forth shootout between these two teams, and most of the players are priced accordingly. Cooks has been targeted heavily as of late, receiving at least eight targets over the Rams’ last three games. With Cooper Kupp out for the season Cooks could see his production increase even more, or at least has one less receiver siphoning off targets. With a potentially fast-paced game script, Cooks’ ability as a field stretcher could come up big in this one.

Alshon Jeffery (PHI @ NO): $7,300
Jeffery’s production hasn’t been great the last two weeks, as he hasn’t topped 48 yards or scored in either of his last two games. The targets are still there for Jeffery; he’s averaging 8.67 targets per game this season. He has been a victim of bad matchups this season and has scored over 18 FanDuel points in three of his six games, and under seven points in the other three games. Those three bad games came against three of the four best defenses against wide receivers.

Jeffery gets a reprieve from the lockdown cornerbacks this week against the Saints, who have allowed the most FanDuel points per game to opposing receivers by a significant margin. New Orleans has allowed 39.5 points per game to opposing receivers and the next-highest team (TB) has allowed 36.7 points. That’s an enormous gap. It’s about as big as the gap between the number two team and the number six team (NYJ) against receivers.

Corey Davis (TEN @ IND): $6,200
Davis exploded last week for 125 yards and a touchdown in the Titans’ upset win over the Patriots, and now that Marcus Mariota has feeling in his throwing hand, he and Davis should have a solid connection. Davis is Tennessee’s clear number one receiver, and takes on a Colts team that has allowed the ninth-most passing yards per game this season. Davis has gotten double-digit targets in his last two games and should get plenty of opportunities in this game.

Tight End

Evan Engram (NYG vs. TB): $5,800
Last week the Buccaneers defense allowed fewer than 20 points for the first time all year. That doesn’t change how undermanned and undertalented this unit has been. They have allowed the second-most points to tight ends this season, and Engram is both talented enough and involved enough to take advantage of this matchup.

Flex

Kerryon Johnson (DET vs. CAR): $6,200
While Johnson hasn’t been quite able to match his week seven performance where he shredded the Dolphins for 158 yards on 19 carries, he is still the lead back in Detroit. LeGarrette Blount has averaged fewer than two yards per carry in six of the Lions’ nine games this season. If he touches the ball again it would grounds for a Matt Patricia firing. Carolina has been middle of the road against running backs this season, allowing 4.4 yards per carry and 99 rushing yards per game. This play is more about value and player skill than matchup, and Johnson should get between 15-20 touches at a great price point.

Defense

Pittsburgh Steelers (PIT @ JAX): $3,800
The Bills, Jets, Dolphins, and 49ers are all on bye this week, taking away some of our usual targets making defense a little thin this week. Jacksonville has committed the fifth-most turnovers in the NFL, and three of the four teams ahead of them are on bye. The maligned Steelers defense has turned things around since their rocky start, allowing 18.6 points per game over their last five games. They are also tied for the most sacks in the NFL, and have had multiple sacks in all but one game this season. They should be able to put Blake Bortles under duress, and Bortles isn’t exactly known to be poised under pressure. Pittsburgh should serve well as a cheaper option on defense.

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Elliott Baas is a correspondent at FantasyPros. For more from Elliott, check out his archive and follow him @elliottbaasbb.

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