Fantasy Football Trade Value Chart (Week 10)
Congratulations! If you’re reading this article it means, at the very least, that your team has not been eliminated from playoff contention heading into Week 10. Or you lost a bet. Or you’re my grandfather. Either way, welcome!
As you surely know if you’ve been playing fantasy football for awhile, the trade value chart is a helpful guide, but it’s far from a one-size-fits-all blueprint. If you should make a given trade is much more about whether it helps your team in light of your specific roster and situation.
And this is never more true than at this point in the season. If you’ve essentially guaranteed yourself a playoff spot, then it’s time to start consolidating your depth to go for more high-end players, even if that means losing a trade in a vacuum and potentially sacrificing a win or two in the short term. If you’re on the fringes of relevancy, maybe it’s time to fill multiple roster spots in exchange for a stud, even if you can’t quite get back perfect value.
Take realistic stock of where your fantasy team sits and act accordingly. Don’t be a slave to the trade values, particularly at this point in this season. Do you.
The usual reminder: these values are based off of 12-team, 0.5 PPR leagues. If your league is another size/format, you’ll need to adjust accordingly.
|Player||Current Value||Previous Value||+/-|
If this year doesn’t teach you to wait on quarterback during your draft, nothing will. Yes, Patrick Mahomes is incredible, but you likely drafted him in the late rounds. You can win a championship with any of the quarterbacks on this chart. And, frankly, you can win a championship with quarterbacks not on this chart. Make a move to upgrade if you have tons of depth elsewhere or if you’re really in a pinch, but otherwise, just hang tight.
Some running backs make their long-awaited returns from injuries this week and see a corresponding bump in value. Leonard Fournette looks to be a full-go after missing several weeks with a hamstring injury. The addition of Carlos Hyde may muddy the water a bit. But the Jaguars will surely try to rely heavily on their run game after watching Blake Bortles . . . well, Bortles his way into some losses, and there should be plenty of room for Fournette to perform well despite ceding some work to both Hyde and T.J. Yeldon.
Dalvin Cook also made an earlier than expected return, and emerged healthy from last week’s game against the Lions. Cook’s situation is even more murky, as Latavius Murray performed adequately in Cook’s absence and has perhaps earned a more significant piece of the workload than both Hyde and Yeldon combined. Cook’s talent is electric, however, as he showed on that 70-yard run last week, and he should do more than enough to earn a guaranteed spot in your lineup. But it seems unlikely that he will ever return to pre-injury value.
Adrian Peterson had an awful game last week in what should have been an outstanding matchup with the Falcons. He gets an equally good one against the Bucs this week and doesn’t have a prohibitive remaining schedule. But there are these huge dudes that people who work in football call “offensive linemen” and who block for running backs, and the Redskins don’t really have any of them anymore. Seriously. Trent Williams will miss another two games after thumb surgery, Brandon Scherff and Shaun Lauvao are done for the season, and Morgan Moses may not play this week. Peterson should still have plenty of value this week and beyond both because he’s running well and anyone getting his volume of carries needs to be played. But the bloom is off the rose a bit.
Other movers include Duke Johnson (hooray for targets), Elijah McGuire (hooray for health and a slow Isaiah Crowell), and Dion Lewis (hooray for game-script-proof workload). At this point in the game, all of them can be started this week and probably beyond in 0.5 PPR leagues.
I’ve seen a lot of questions on how to value A.J. Green going forward, and in the end, it really depends on how you’re situated. If you are looking dicey to get into the playoffs, then I’d feel more than comfortable to swap him for any WR2 or a decent WR3 in this format. If you’re looking closer to a lock for the playoffs, I’d hold out for much more. All we know is he’ll miss at least two games, but it sounds like it could be more, and with the Bengals’ season going nowhere, there’s little reason for the team to push him. Deal for him at your risk. Tyler Boyd takes a corresponding move up with the likely increase in targets.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling wants you to know that he pronounces his name with the “qu” sound, not the “k” sound. And that’s important because he’s going to be a household fantasy name for the remainder of the season. With Geronimo Allison out and Randall Cobb still Randall Cobb, the WR2 spot in an Aaron Rodgers-led offense is wide open. Valdes-Scantling has seen 28 targets over his last four games and continues to mature as a receiver. Don’t hesitate to target him in a trade.
I still don’t think Amari Cooper will be a reliable option every week. But the fact that he got eight targets in his first game with the Cowboys certainly moves the needle. Forget the touchdown (though it was encouraging for him to see multiple end zone looks). His target share (26%) is enough to make you optimistic that he’ll be involved every game going forward. Whether that translates into steady fantasy points is uncertain, but he’s worth the gamble.
|Player||Current Value||Previous Value||+/-|
What could possibly be the point of the Patriots pushing Rob Gronkowski? They’re well on their way to another bye and they’re scoring points at will. As with A.J. Green, if you’re nearly a lock for the playoffs, go ahead and make a move. Otherwise, I wouldn’t look to buy low.
Also, George Kittle is good. Regardless of who is under center. But you know that.