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Fantasy Football Trade Value Chart (Week 9)

Fantasy Football Trade Value Chart (Week 9)

A trade deadline edition of the trade chart? What could be better?

Over the last few seasons, the NFL trade deadline has really become a thing.  Executives no longer seem concerned with messing with team chemistry or figuring out how to get players involved in their team’s offense with only a week or two to learn a new system. For the most part, teams are accurately assessing the state of their franchises and acting accordingly. Except for the Packers and the Lions. In which case:

The trade deadline had a significant impact on the trade chart, so we’ll talk about each one of the major moves. And, as always, a reminder that the chart is based on 12-team, 0.5 PPR leagues. You’ll need to adjust accordingly if you play in a different format.

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Quarterbacks

Player Current Value Previous Value +/-
Patrick Mahomes 24 23 +1
Cam Newton 21 21
Aaron Rodgers 21 21
Drew Brees 20 21 -1
Matt Ryan 15 15
Andrew Luck 15 15
Tom Brady 15 18 -3
Jared Goff 11 11
Russell Wilson 11 9 +2
Philip Rivers 11 11
Deshaun Watson 11 7 +4
Carson Wentz 11 9 +2
Kirk Cousins 11 11
Mitch Trubisky 9 N/A +9
Ben Roethlisberger 9 9

 
Quarterback values were not significantly affected by the trade deadline. Demaryius Thomas helps to offset Deshaun Watson’s loss of Will Fuller, while Carson Wentz adds another reliable target in Golden Tate. But, as usual, we pretty much are where we are with quarterbacks. You can stream your way to a championship this season, without question.

Running Backs

Player Current Value Previous Value +/-
Todd Gurley 80 74 +6
Kareem Hunt 65 65
Saquon Barkley 65 65
Alvin Kamara 65 65
Ezekiel Elliott 65 65
Melvin Gordon 65 65
Joe Mixon 48 42 +6
James White 46 38 +8
Christian McCaffrey 41 39 +2
James Conner 41 38 +3
David Johnson 41 41
Adrian Peterson 32 22 +10
Mark Ingram 29 35 -6
Phillip Lindsay 27 22 +5
Marlon Mack 23 22 +1
Tarik Cohen 23 24 -1
Sony Michel 23 19 +4
Kerryon Johnson 20 20
Tevin Coleman 20 22 -2
Chris Carson 18 12 +6
Nick Chubb 17 22 -5
Aaron Jones 17 7 +10
Alex Collins 16 16
Kenyan Drake 16 13 +3
Lamar Miller 15 11 +4
Jordan Howard 15 15
LeSean McCoy 13 9 +4
Isaiah Crowell 12 17 -5
Leonard Fournette 12 10 +2
Dalvin Cook 11 13 -2
Le’Veon Bell 11 12 -1
Matt Breida 11 15 -4
Latavius Murray 11 11
Dion Lewis 10 12 -2
Austin Ekeler 10 10
Peyton Barber 10 6 +4
Doug Martin 9 9
Wendell Smallwood 9 7 +2
Jalen Richard 9 9
Jamaal Williams 9 5 +4
Nyheim Hines 8 3 +5
T.J. Yeldon 7 7
Chris Thompson 7 16 -9
Ito Smith 7 8 -1
Carlos Hyde 5 6 -1
Duke Johnson 5 4 +1
Derrick Henry 5 4 +1
Corey Clement 4 9 -5
Mike Davis 4 5 -1
Raheem Mostert 3 7 -4
Javorius Allen 3 5 -2
Frank Gore 3 3
Royce Freeman 3 5 -2
Josh Adams 3 N/A +3

 
The biggest trade deadline riser for running backs is Aaron Jones, who now has one fewer competitor for carries after the Packers dumped . . . er, traded Ty Montgomery to the Ravens for a 2020 seventh-round pick. After his performance against the Rams, Jones was moving up anyway, as Mike McCarthy finally seemed to be realizing what every fantasy owner in the world has known for weeks — Jones is the best running back on his roster. Still, Montgomery’s departure should mean a continued increase in Jones’s snap count, which had only passed 40% for the first time in his career on Sunday. Jamaal Williams also sees a slight bump, but for the sake of everything decent, this should be Jones’s backfield going forward.

Briefly, I’ll note that I do not believe Montgomery’s addition to the Ravens has any significant impact on Alex Collins. I’d still expect him to be the guy and please check out his schedule from Weeks 11 – 15. It is tasty. To the extent you were relying on Javorius Allen – first, I’m sorry you’re in last place, but second, he will likely cede some passing-down work.

Finally, the Eagles’ decision not to add a running back enhances the value of both Wendell Smallwood and Josh Adams (Corey Clement still loses value from last week considering he was essentially phased out of the offense). Knowing Doug Pederson, all three backs will factor in, and although I am bullish on Adams’s chances of eventually having the most value, for now, Smallwood remains the back to own in Philadelphia. But the fact that the Eagles are content to roll with the trio positively affects their value, of course.

One final minor note on running backs: Adrian Peterson’s value continues to climb because of his outstanding performance. But he sees a little extra spike in value with the Redskins defense getting even stronger with the addition of Ha Ha Clinton-Dix. That should lead to continued close games/positive game-scripts for Peterson, which is exactly what he needs to continue his upward trend. Chris Thompson’s mounting injuries don’t hurt Peterson’s value, either.

Wide Receivers

Player Current Value Previous Value +/-
Antonio Brown 65 65
Adam Thielen 65 65
DeAndre Hopkins 62 62
Davante Adams 62 62
Michael Thomas 59 59
Julio Jones 59 59
Tyreek Hill 59 62 -3
A.J. Green 57 59 -2
Odell Beckham Jr. 57 54 +3
Mike Evans 51 49 +2
Robert Woods 45 40 +5
Emmanuel Sanders 43 40 +3
JuJu Smith-Schuster 43 48 -5
Alshon Jeffery 43 48 -5
Stefon Diggs 40 33 +7
Brandin Cooks 36 36
Keenan Allen 35 39 -4
Tyler Boyd 33 19 +14
T.Y. Hilton 28 29 -1
Cooper Kupp 28 19 +9
Kenny Golladay 28 25 +3
Julian Edelman 27 20 +7
John Brown 25 25
Marvin Jones 20 9 +11
DeSean Jackson 19 17 +2
Tyler Lockett 19 15 +4
Jarvis Landry 18 25 -7
Courtland Sutton 18 3 +15
Josh Gordon 17 20 -3
Golden Tate 17 28 -11
Devin Funchess 17 13 +4
Larry Fitzgerald 16 4 +12
Sammy Watkins 14 7 +7
Taylor Gabriel 13 11 +2
Michael Crabtree 13 13
Calvin Ridley 13 16 -3
Demaryius Thomas 11 13 -2
Doug Baldwin 11 18 -7
Chris Godwin 10 11 -1
Marquez Valdes-Scantling 10 3 +7
Sterling Shepard 9 19 -10
Allen Robinson 7 17 -10
Marquise Goodwin 7 10 -3
Geronimo Allison 6 18 -12
Amari Cooper 6 5 +1
Jordy Nelson 5 5
Corey Davis 5 7 -2
Mohamed Sanu 5 5
Tyrell Williams 5 5
Randall Cobb 4 4
Christian Kirk 4 4
David Moore 4 N/A +4
Keke Coutee 4 N/A +4
Mike Williams 4 4
Dede Westbrook 4 4
Devante Parker 4 N/A +4
Kenny Stills 3 2 +1
Nelson Agholor 3 5 -2
Robby Anderson 2 4 -2
Donte Moncrief 2 N/A +2

 
As discussed, we saw two prominent wide receivers, Tate and Thomas, dealt at the deadline. There are some pretty big fantasy ramifications for each of the four teams involved in those deals, so let’s discuss.

The most obvious impact is that it’s Courtland Sutton time in Denver. We’ve been hearing for weeks that the Broncos want to get Sutton more involved, and he’s generally had more of a fantasy impact in recent weeks in any event. With Thomas out of the way, you can expect Sutton’s target share to jump (he had seen just 11 targets in his last three games). Considering he has a 19.1 yards-per-catch average, he should do some major fantasy damage for the remainder of the season.  He immediately jumps into borderline WR2 status in my opinion, with room to grow. As for Emmanuel Sanders, he’ll likely see a small target bump, but it does not move the needle much.

As for Thomas, well, I’m generally not excited about wide receivers moving to a new team mid-season. Not only do they need to immediately get up to speed on the playbook, they need to find a way to quickly establish a rapport with their new quarterback. Thomas’s situation is roughly as good as you could hope for in a trade. With Will Fuller’s season-ending knee injury, there are plenty of targets available, and the team has a fine offensive scheme and a decent quarterback. Overall, Thomas’s value drops slightly, as the offsetting factors make it largely a neutral, but still slightly negative, move. As for the other Texans receivers, DeAndre Hopkins sees no change, of course, because the only thing that can change Hopkins’s value is Brock Osweiler at quarterback. Keke Coutee, however, loses most of the value he would have gained with the Fuller injury (Note: Coutee’s value is actually up from last week because his injury had eliminated any previous trade value. He would have moved up significantly absent the Thomas trade).

As for Tate, it’s just hard to see this as good news. If you want to be optimistic, he goes to an outstanding offensive scheme with a quarterback who throws quite a bit more than his former one did. That is the end of the optimism. On the other side of the coin, Tate owners now have to deal with an unexpected second bye week, and it’s nearly impossible to see him approaching the almost 10 targets per game he was seeing from Matthew Stafford. All the negatives about changing teams that I mentioned with Thomas apply to Tate, too, so it’s concerning. I’d consider him a mid-WR3 in trade value in 0.5 PPR formats. As for other Eagles receivers, they all take a minor hit, as Tate should siphon off some targets from everyone.

On the Lions side of the ball, however, it’s good news for the receivers. T.J. Jones and Brandon Powell are not going to replicate Tate’s production, so there should be more targets for both Marvin Jones and Kenny Golladay. It’s really as simple as that. Although the Lions offense could, theoretically, support three receivers, it’s a whole lot easier to support two.

Tight Ends

Player Current Value Previous Value +/-
Travis Kelce 35 35
Zach Ertz 31 35 -4
Rob Gronkowski 17 25 -8
Jared Cook 8 7 +1
George Kittle 8 8
O.J. Howard 7 5 +2
Trey Burton 7 7
Greg Olsen 7 3 +4
David Njoku 5 7 -2
Jimmy Graham 5 7 -2
Jack Doyle 5 N/A +5
Eric Ebron 5 7 -2
Austin Hooper 3 N/A +3
Jordan Reed 3 3
Evan Engram 3 4 -1

Although it feels like you should buy low on Rob Gronkowski, I just can’t see how owners should value him anywhere close to the big two. The Patriots don’t need him to earn a bye, and if his back continues to be an issue, there would be no reason to push him. I’d be wary about dealing for him.

Other than that, Zach Ertz loses just a tiny bit of value with the addition of Tate, O.J. Howard and Greg Olsen looked healthy, and Jack Doyle returned. The tight end position is rarely exciting.

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Dan Harris is a featured writer for FantasyPros. For more from Dan, check out his archive or follow him on Twitter @danharris80.

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