Here’s a look at 10-team DRAFT lineup advice for Week 16 NFL contests. I provide my rankings per position, a list of injuries to keep an eye on, and I conclude the article with a sample draft to give you a sense of how to approach your DRAFT contests.
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Quarterback
Player | Team | Opponent |
1. Patrick Mahomes | KC | at SEA |
2. Russell Wilson | SEA | vs KC |
3. Deshaun Watson | HOU | at PHI |
4. Drew Brees | NO | vs PIT |
5. Matt Ryan | ATL | at CAR |
6. Kirk Cousins | MIN | at DET |
7. Andrew Luck | IND | vs NYG |
8. Aaron Rodgers | GB | at NYJ |
9. Josh Allen | BUF | at NE |
10. Ben Roethlisberger | PIT | at NO |
Russell Wilson once again had an abysmally slow start to the fantasy season. He averaged 15 fantasy PPG over the first four weeks of the season, which is surprisingly above his career average for the month of September. Looking back now his schedule over the first four games was no cakewalk, but this has been an ongoing theme in Russell’s career. He starts out slow and every year we question if he has enough weapons, or if his offensive line is too weak for him to have success. In PFF’s latest offensive line rankings, the Seahawks come in at 18th. This doesn’t sound good, but it is an improvement from the bottom five unit the team has rostered the prior couple of years. As Russell gets deeper into the season he really seems to turn it on. Here is a look at his career numbers by month for the regular season (thanks to Pro-Football-Reference).
Month | Cmp | Pass Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | Int | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Y/A | Rush TD | Fmb | FP | FPPG |
September | 456 | 721 | 5096 | 34 | 14 | 133 | 610 | 4.59 | 0 | 19 | 348.84 | 14.535 |
October | 517 | 786 | 6532 | 44 | 16 | 140 | 805 | 5.75 | 4 | 17 | 491.78 | 18.214 |
November | 515 | 796 | 6399 | 50 | 13 | 177 | 1090 | 6.16 | 5 | 16 | 549.96 | 20.369 |
December | 539 | 848 | 6719 | 60 | 19 | 178 | 1074 | 6.03 | 7 | 13 | 613.16 | 20.439 |
As defenses are figuring out how to stop some of the flashier offenses in the league, Wilson and the Seahawks sport a ground and pound type of offense that is rare in today’s NFL. On top of this, they have been much more efficient in the red zone with the passing game. Seattle should be able to move the ball on the Chiefs defense. In those December primetime lights, with the playoffs in the balance, I am betting on Russell Wilson.
Injury Watch
None
Running Back
Player | Team | Opponent |
1. Ezekiel Elliott | DAL | vs TB |
2. Christian McCaffrey | CAR | vs ATL |
3. Saquon Barkley | NYG | at IND |
4. Nick Chubb | CLE | vs CIN |
5. Alvin Kamara | NO | vs PIT |
6. Joe Mixon | CIN | at CLE |
7. Chris Carson | SEA | vs KC |
8. Phillip Lindsay | DEN | at OAK |
9. Todd Gurley | LAR | at ARI |
10. Marlon Mack | IND | vs NYG |
11. Dalvin Cook | MIN | at DET |
12. David Johnson | ARI | vs LAR |
13. Jaylen Samuels | PIT | at NO |
14. Tevin Coleman | ATL | at CAR |
15. Tarik Cohen | CHI | at SF |
16. Elijah McGuire | NYJ | vs GB |
17. Jamaal Williams | GB | at NYJ |
18. Sony Michel | NE | vs BUF |
19. Mark Ingram | NO | vs PIT |
20. James White | NE | vs BUF |
Over the last three weeks Nick Chubb has averaged the 14th most fantasy PPG. This alone doesn’t seem impressive, but when you factor in his opponents this is a pretty respectable standing. These games were against the Texans, Panthers and Broncos. They rank 7th, 8th and 13th on the season in defense versus RBs. The Broncos are the lowest ranked team on the season of these three but have defended the RB much better in the second half of the season. Over the last five games the Broncos rank 6th in defense versus RBs. Now Chubb gets to face the Bengals who are ranked dead last in defense versus RBs on the season. Chubb faced them in Cincy back in week 12. While he didn’t have his most efficient day, he did get 31 touches and two TDs to propel him to 26.3 fantasy points on the week. At home this week Chubb should feast on the pitiful Bengals run defense.
Injury Watch
Todd Gurley is looking questionable for his game Sunday against the Cardinals. In a game where Gurley might not be needed to win, the Rams may choose to be cautious even if Gurley gets the green light to go.
James Conner is looking doubtful to play this weekend as he hasn’t practiced Wednesday or Thursday. If he is able to play replace Samuels with Conner in the rankings.
Wide Receiver/ Tight End
Player | Team | Opponent |
1. Tyreek Hill | KC | at SEA |
2. DeAndre Hopkins | HOU | at PHI |
3. Michael Thomas | NO | vs PIT |
4. Julio Jones | ATL | at CAR |
5. Davante Adams | GB | at NYJ |
6. Antonio Brown | PIT | at NO |
7. Juju Smith-Schuster | PIT | at NO |
8. Adam Thielen | MIN | at DET |
9. Travis Kelce | KC | at SEA |
10. Stefon Diggs | MIN | at DET |
11. T.Y. Hilton | IND | vs NYG |
12. Amari Cooper | DAL | vs TB |
13. Mike Evans | TB | at DAL |
14. Julian Edelman | NE | vs BUF |
15. Alshon Jeffery | PHI | vs HOU |
16. Robert Woods | LAR | at ARI |
17. Brandin Cooks | LAR | at ARI |
18. Zach Ertz | PHI | vs HOU |
19. Jarvis Landry | CLE | vs CIN |
20. Kenny Golladay | DET | vs MIN |
The Seattle Seahawks rank 17th in defense versus WRs on the season. This is mostly due to the fact that they control the ball as well as any team in the league. Efficiency-wise Seattle hasn’t fared quite as well against WRs. They allow the 10th most yards per target to WRs on the season. With Kansas City now fighting for the division this is a must win-game for them. The difference between winning and losing the division could be home field through the playoffs or the fifth seed and likely no home games in the playoffs. The Seahawks are beatable deep this year and are tied for the 6th most passes allowed of 20+ yards on the season. This game has the highest over/under on the slate and Tyreek Hill has narrowly missed some long balls the last few weeks that would have drastically altered his fantasy points in those games. I am looking for Tyreek to get back on track this week and expect fireworks against the Seahawks.
Injury Watch
Julio Jones is on the injury report every week, but almost always plays. Check his status this weekend, as he now appears to be a game-time decision.
Juju Smith-Schuster was downgraded to limited practice on Thursday and couldn’t finish practice due to an injury he picked up on the day. Check his status. If he sits Antonio Brown should get all of the targets he can handle. Move AB up to #3 on the week and replace Big Ben with Baker Mayfield on the QB ranks.
Sample Draft
My pick: 9th
1st round – Nick Chubb (RB – CLE)
Nick Chubb was my top ranked RB left on the board, and I am thrilled to take him with the No. 9 pick.
2nd round – Tyreek Hill (WR – KC)
I was able to get my top ranked WR in the beginning of the 2nd round. I will take any of my RBs ranked 1-6 before I would take Tyreek, but the highest RB left on the board was my No. 7 RB Chris Carson.
3rd round – Adam Thielen (WR – MIN)
Thielen was my top ranked WR left on the board and Coleman was my top ranked RB. Thielen is ranked much higher amongst my WRs, and I am okay taking any of my bottom-end RBs in the 5th round this week.
4th round – Russell Wilson (QB – SEA)
With RBs flying off the board in the first three rounds of this draft I decided to wait until the 5th round to take my 2nd RB. I took my highest QB still on the board here.
5th round – Jamaal Williams (RB – GB)
Jamaal Williams was my top ranked RB still on the board.
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Steven Roy is a correspondent for FantasyPros. For more from Steve, follow him on Twitter @Rockhead_Roy.