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FanDuel NFL Lineup Advice: Week 16 (Full Slate)

by Elliott Baas | @ElliottBaasBB | Featured Writer
Dec 19, 2018

JuJu Smith-Schuster is expected to rack up the targets in a shootout against the Saints

There are no more Thursday games this season, which means the full slate starts on Saturday with WAS @ TEN and BAL @ LAC. With the all-week slates, players in the prime time games can often have higher than expected ownership percentages, meaning we can sometimes get Sunday chalk at better ownership rates.

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Quarterback

Dak Prescott (DAL vs. TB): $7,300
Prescott has been maddeningly inconsistent this season, but his low price point and high-ceiling make him the perfect GPP quarterback. Over his last six games, Prescott has scored either 21 points or more, or fewer than 15 points. He gets a Tampa Bay defense that has allowed the fourth-most points to opposing quarterbacks this season.

Tampa Bay’s defense has been playing better lately. However, they just placed their best defensive Justin Evans on injured reserve. This game has the third-highest expected total on the entire slate with a 47.5 O/U, and with Dallas a -7 point favorite expect them to rack up points in this one.

Running Back

Joe Mixon (CIN @ CLE): $8,200
It’s clear from their last few games that the Cincinnati coaching staff wants to limit Jeff Driskel’s exposure as much as possible. That means the offense will be centered around Mixon, who has 60 touches over his last two games. Cleveland’s defense has allowed the eighth-most FanDuel points per game to opposing running backs and gave up 155 total yards to Mixon back in Week 12. Mixon isn’t priced in the same tier as the high-end guys like Todd Gurley and Christian McCaffery, but between his talent, volume, and matchup Mixon is as capable as any of them to have a monster game.

Derrick Henry (TEN @ WAS): $7,200
Henry’s price is surprisingly low after the last two games he’s had. Sure, the matchup isn’t great on paper; Washington has allowed the 19th-most FanDuel points per game to opposing running backs, but Henry’s played well enough where matchup isn’t a concern at this price point. He shredded Jacksonville, which is supposed to be one of the league’s best rush defenses. He also decimated the New York Giants, who have allowed fewer yards per carry than Washington this season. Tennessee is a -10 point favorite in this game, and if last week was any indication, Henry will get plenty of work when the team is ahead.

Wide Receiver

JuJu Smith-Schuster (PIT @ NO): $8,000
The PIT @ NO game is expected to be the shootout of the week, boasting a 53.5 O/U. Both Pittsburgh and New Orleans have been playing much better defense as of late, which makes me hesitant to load up on players from this game. Even so, New Orleans has struggled against receivers all season and their biggest defensive weakness is in the secondary. Cornerback Marshon Lattimore has blossomed into a shutdown corner this season, and while that shouldn’t scare anyone off Antonio Brown in season-long fantasy, in DFS I’d rather attack Eli Apple on the other side.

Smith-Schuster isn’t your average WR2 either. He’s gotten eight or more targets in all but three games this season. That’s more volume than some WR1s get, and that justifies the WR1 price tag.

Amari Cooper (DAL vs. TB): $7,000
Like Derrick Henry, Cooper’s price tag hasn’t risen much despite recent performance. Last week was a down week for him, as it was for the entire Dallas offense, but Cooper could certainly bounce back against Tampa Bay this week. Neither Brent Grimes or Carlton Davis is a match for Cooper. He and Prescott provide a high-ceiling duo against a bad defense at a low price tag. It’s the perfect combo for a GPP lineup.

Robby Anderson (NYJ vs. GB): $5,900
Rookie quarterback Sam Darnold has played much better in the two games since returning from injury, and Robby Anderson has certainly benefited from Darnold’s performance. Anderson has averaged 17.35 FanDuel points per game since Darnold’s return. He takes on a Green Bay defense that has allowed the third-most FanDuel points per game to opposing wide receivers. For a WR3 under $6,000, Anderson provides solid upside and a decent floor based on target volume.

Tight End

Austin Hooper (ATL @ CAR): $5,300
Hooper put up a bagel last week, but prior to that, he’d had at least five targets in each of his last five games. Every non-elite tight end is going to put up stinkers, but Hooper is relatively safe for a tight end of this price range. Carolina has allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season, and Hooper put up 14.4 FanDuel points the first time these teams met back in Week 2.

Flex

Damien Williams (KC @ SEA): $6,700
Williams has inherited the bell-cow role in the NFL’s most potent offense, and if Spencer Ware is inactive or limited Williams is in line for another big game. Seattle’s biggest weakness on defense has been against the run. They’ve allowed 4.9 yards per carry to rushers this season, tied for fourth-most in the league. They haven’t allowed as many points to running backs since Seattle has seen the fourth-fewest rush attempts this season, but Kansas City is road favorite in this one, meaning they should have no problem establishing the run.

If Ware is active and expected to play a big role in the offense, then Seattle’s Chris Carson ($6,400) could be swapped in instead of Williams. That way we can wait until an official announcement is made, and Carson draws a good matchup against a weak Kansas City rush defense as well.

Defense

New England Patriots D/ST (NE vs. BUF): $4,300
Most defenses are in play against Buffalo, a team that scored the second-fewest points in the NFL and has committed the second-most turnovers. New England scored 20 FanDuel points last time these teams met, back in Week 8. Derek Anderson started for the Bills in that game, which will always help a defense, but this week the Patriots benefit from the fact that Buffalo is nearly out of running backs. LeSean McCoy and Chris Ivory are both questionable coming into this game and they have two other running backs on injured reserve, leaving Keith Ford as their only fully healthy running back. Even if McCoy or Ivory plays, this is a great spot for New England.

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Elliott Baas is a correspondent at FantasyPros. For more from Elliott, check out his archive and follow him @elliottbaasbb.

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