The regular season is over, but there is plenty of exciting action projected to be on tap for this weekend. The only game with a spread over three points currently involves the defending Super Bowl champs as an underdog, a position they’re very familiar with during the postseason.
While we at FantasyPros have you covered on the fantasy front, our new site BettingPros has you covered on everything sports betting. Ahead of the weekend slate, here are consensus picks from the most accurate experts at BettingPros.
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Saturday Games
ATS – 68% Colts
O/U – 78% Over
Although Houston is 11-5, I’ve spent much of the season believing the team is overrated. Despite the Texans’ nine-game winning streak, it was hard to get past the fact that they didn’t really beat anybody impressive during that stretch (the victories vs. the Cowboys and the Colts look much better in hindsight). Meanwhile, Indianapolis-which beat the Texans four weeks ago-is on a tear, winning nine of their last 10 with quarterback Andrew Luck playing outstanding football. Here’s what bothers me about Houston. It has a difficult time protecting quarterback Deshaun Watson, who has been sacked a league-high 62 times this season (Luck, for comparison, was brought to the ground just 18 times). Indianapolis sacked him 11 times in two games this year. The Colts will sack him more on Saturday, and that pressure will be the difference in Indianapolis moving on in the postseason. ~ Josh Katzowitz (NFL Pick Watch)
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ATS – 52% Cowboys
O/U – 56% Over
The Seahawks stormed into the postseason winning six of their last seven games, but four of the past five were at home. They have not been very good on the road (4-4), allowing an average of 25.8 points per game in their past four away games. Meantime, the Cowboys are 7-1 at home but lost the regular-season meeting to the Seahawks in Seattle in Week 3 (24-13). They were a different team then. ~ Gerry Dulac (Pittsburgh Post-Gazette)
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Sunday Games
ATS – 50% Ravens
O/U – 53% Under
It was only two weeks ago when Baltimore went on the road and beat Los Angeles 22-10. The Ravens have won four straight games at home with the NFL’s No.1 ranked defense. As well as Philip Rivers played in the regular season, he’s still prone to making mistakes with two interceptions in each of his last three games. Lamar Jackson had his best passing game of the season against the Chargers when he had 9.27 yards per attempt and no picks. A similar performance could be more than enough for a Baltimore defense that held three of the NFL’s best offenses to 16 points per game in Weeks 14-16. ~ Anthony Riccobono (IB Times)
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ATS – 58% Bears
O/U – 53% Under
On December 9, the Eagles fell to 6-7 on the year after an overtime loss to the Cowboys where they were outgained by more than 300 yards. At the same time many were writing off the defending Super Bowl champions off, they were anointing the Bears as a bona fide contenders after a 15-6 home victory over the Rams. If this game had happened then, the Bears would be (conservatively) 7.5-point favorites. A lot has changed since then, but not enough to merit this large of a shift. The Eagles haven’t lost either straight-up or against the spread, but neither have the Bears. Much of Philadelphia’s emergence has happened behind Nick Foles, but despite last year’s Super Bowl victory, he’s notoriously inconsistent. That’s not a trait that bettors should take lightly going into a game against the NFL’s best defense. Oddsmakers have struggled to price the Bears all year, as they’re an NFL-best 12-4 against the spread including covering in eight of their last nine games, and it doesn’t appear that anything has changed going into the postseason. ~ Case Keefer (Las Vegas Sun)
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