10 Free Agency Winners and Losers (2019 Fantasy Football)

Mar 14, 2019

Latavius Murray should receive plenty of work on the Saints’ prolific, run-heavy offense

After big transactions involving some of the sport’s biggest names (Antonio Brown, Odell Beckham, and Le’Veon Bell), fantasy football has again made it to the forefront of many NFL fans’ minds. Dynasty players can tell you that there is no offseason, as plenty of owners take this opportunity in between free agency and the NFL Draft to wheel and deal with their leaguemates to further their championship hopes. However, knowing how each player fits in with their new home can help give redraft leaguers an edge over the competition. With that being said, we’ve asked our featured pundits to give their opinions on which players have seen their values impacted the most due to free agency. While some are new faces in new places and others have a new surrounding cast, all of these players are worth remembering.

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Q1. What player has seen his fantasy value increase the most as a result of free agency?

Latavius Murray (RB – NO) 
“What happens when you take someone who’s produced in every role he’s had and place him into the Saints offense? Money. In each of the last five years, the Saints backfield has produced at least 14 rushing touchdowns, including at least 20 of them in each of the last two seasons. During that time, they’ve also not dipped below 358 carries, which bodes well for Murray, as Alvin Kamara isn’t someone the Saints want to give 200-plus carries to. Despite Mark Ingram missing the first four games to suspension, Kamara tallied just 194 carries in 2018. His price may not reach it, but Murray should provide low-end RB2 value.”
– Mike Tagliere (FantasyPros)

Devin Funchess (WR – IND) 
“Fantasy owners soured on Funchess in Carolina even though he posted 840 yards and eight touchdowns in 2017 and was on pace for 997 yards and another eight scores through the first seven weeks last season. The 24-year-old still has room to develop, and now joins an offense with a more accurate quarterback who desperately needed a second playmaker in the receiving corps behind the speedy T.Y. Hilton. The 6-foot-4, 225-pound Funchess offers the size and skill set to thrive in Indy, where he’ll win back the fantasy community as a WR3 thanks to his red-zone upside.”
– Justin Boone (theScore)

Chris Godwin (WR – TB) 
“There are always players whose value will get a bump due to a former teammate leaving town to sign with a new team. However, Godwin struck gold with two former Bucs (DeSean Jackson & Adam Humphries) leaving Tampa Bay this offseason. With Tampa not adding much else at this point, I think Godwin can improve on his 59/842/7 stat line from 2018.”
– Kyle August (FF Fellas)

Josh Allen (QB – BUF) & Sam Darnold (QB – NYJ) 
“As much as we detest ties in the NFL, this one looks like a split decision between a pair of second-year QBs. Both Allen and Darnold suddenly find themselves surrounded by veteran pass-catchers, which is something they were lacking in their rookie year. Reliable slot receivers like Cole Beasley and Jamison Crowder are a quarterback’s best friend. Allen now has a pair of field-stretching wideouts with John Brown complementing Robert Foster on the other side. The expected signing of Le’Veon Bell not only takes pressure off the passing game, but gives Darnold an easy check-down when things break down. Both Allen and Darnold are going to be steady streaming options all year and may approach low-end QB1 fantasy value in 2019.”
– Pierre Camus (RotoBaller)

Q2. What player has seen his fantasy value decrease the most as a result of free agency?

Le’Veon Bell (RB – NYJ) & John Brown (WR – BUF) 
“Considering he was a top-three pick in years past, I’m going with Bell. Do you remember what happened to David Johnson last year? He was someone I urged readers not to draft due to the situation he was in and this situation is eerily similar for Bell. The Jets are not going to be a top-10 scoring offense, they don’t have a quarterback who continually checks down, and they don’t have an offense that’s running 65-plus plays per game in order to mask the inefficiency. He’s lost tons of upside with his move to the Jets.

Another player who lost significant value was Brown. After he was the No. 11 wide receiver through seven weeks with Joe Flacco, Brown fell off a cliff with Lamar Jackson. Moving over to Josh Allen won’t help matters, as he completed just 52.8 percent of his passes in 2018 and there’s not much volume to go around.”
– Mike Tagliere (FantasyPros)

Gus Edwards (RB – BAL)  
“Edwards benefited from circumstance as a rookie, when the Ravens wanted a more north-south runner to pair with dual-threat quarterback Lamar Jackson. The result was a stunning performance over the final six games of the fantasy season, which saw Edwards finish as the RB11 in standard and the RB18 in PPR. But his hold on the starting job was always tenuous, and now he’s lost it to Mark Ingram, a more talented and versatile version of Edwards.”
– Justin Boone (theScore)

Jarvis Landry (WR – CLE) 
“The Cleveland Browns hype train is well over 88 MPH at this point, but Jarvis Landry’s potential bounce-back season in 2019 is looking less likely to me. After an impressive rookie season from Baker Mayfield, I was hopeful for a bump to Landry’s TD share percentage after only getting four of Baker’s 27 TD passes last season. However, with the addition of Odell Beckham Jr., I think a generic 950 yards and four-to-five TDs is more likely.”
– Kyle August (FF Fellas)

Jerick McKinnon (RB – SF) 
“The McKinnon truthers may finally have to find a new workout warrior to hold out hope for. The 49ers signed Tevin Coleman, one of the top free agent running backs available, which means McKinnon is, at best, part of a three-man committee with Coleman and Matt Breida. That would relegate him to backup duty with 10-12 touches per game like in Minnesota. Worst case, he is released and must seek a new job elsewhere, likely in a RBBC as well.”
– Pierre Camus (RotoBaller)

Thank you to the experts for sharing their thoughts on free agency. Be sure to give them a follow on Twitter and for more great advice, subscribe to our podcast below.

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