Best Dynasty Value Player on Each NFL Team (2019 Fantasy Football)
We’ve now entered the heart of the offseason for the NFL, as both the draft and free agency have wrapped up, meaning just one thing – it’s prime dynasty season. You’ll have rookie drafts over the next few months, and who knows, maybe even a startup draft to get you into the exciting format.
Because of that, we thought it would be fun to go through each of the 32 teams and give you the best dynasty value on each one. No, I’m not talking about the best player on the team, but rather the best bang for your buck, which might be someone who’s a top-50 player, but still may not be getting enough love from the dynasty crowd. It could also be someone who isn’t a current starter but may walk into high volume somewhere in the near future. Whatever the case, this guide should give you a good idea as to who you should be targeting in trades or drafts.
*All ADP data used in this article was pulled from dynastyleaguefootball.com’s May data, which included six drafts.
Andy Isabella (WR) Current ADP: WR51
I didn’t expect to have Isabella here, but rather his teammate Hakeem Butler. That was until I saw that Butler was being drafted nearly 20 spots higher than him in startup dynasty leagues. While Butler has the higher ceiling, Isabella was drafted two rounds earlier, highlighting just how much more the Cardinals wanted him on their roster. He reminds me of Tyler Lockett, so if Kyler Murray can be anything close to Russell Wilson, Isabella is a steal at his current ADP.
Matt Ryan (QB) Current ADP: QB11
It’s not common you’ll see a quarterback in the “best value” category, but Ryan has finished as a top-eight quarterback in six of the last nine years, including two No. 2 finishes over the last three years. He’s also just 33 years old, so there’s plenty of years remaining. The addition of Calvin Ridley gave him another weapon opposite Julio Jones and it’s not like Dirk Koetter knows how to run the ball. I could’ve gone with Ridley as the best value at WR25, but I went with the guy who’s throwing him the ball instead.
Marquise Brown (WR) Current ADP: WR49
The craziest part about this is that I was not super-high on Brown pre-draft, as I felt he was going to be a solid fantasy player but have plenty of ups and downs. I don’t know why everyone hates the landing spot, as he’s the clear-cut No. 1 receiver in the Ravens offense. Sure, they don’t throw as much as some other teams, but do you know how many teams in the NFL didn’t have at least one top-50 receiver on their team in 2018? Two. Brown reminds me of DeSean Jackson, so despite Lamar Jackson‘s limitations, he can buy some time which will allow Brown to break off some big plays. He’ll be a bit boom-or-bust, but he’s well worth his current cost.
Zay Jones (WR) Current ADP: WR71
Let me be clear when I say that I really don’t want to invest much in the Bills offense if I can help it, but did you know Jones finished as the No. 35 wide receiver last year? The emergence of Robert Foster combined with the signings of John Brown and Cole Beasley have many worried, but Jones is just 24 years old and saw 102 targets with the same quarterback/coaching staff last year. He’s far from a sure thing but coming off the board as the 160th overall player, he’s worth the risk.
Curtis Samuel (WR) Current ADP: WR53
He wasn’t healthy at the start of his NFL career, leading many to give up on him, but he flashed his potential in 2018. It took an average of 14.9 PPR points to finish as a WR2 in 2018. D.J. Moore hit that mark 3 times in 16 games while Samuel hit that mark 4 times in 12 games. Moore’s ADP is currently the WR17 and No. 40 overall, which is 70 spots higher than Samuel. Take the value with Samuel.
Mitch Trubisky (QB) Current ADP: QB19
He is just 24 years old and finished as the QB15 last year despite playing in just 14 games. He was playing with all new pass-catchers last year and in a brand-new offense, yet Trubisky flashed what could be top-five upside. Add another year of experience with Matt Nagy, his extremely talented wide receiver corps, and his rushing upside, it makes him an absolute steal as the No. 19 quarterback off the board. Instead of worrying about which wide receiver, running back, or tight end will score every week in the Bears offense, take the guy distributing the ball.
A.J. Green (WR) Current ADP: WR14 and John Ross (WR) Current ADP: WR82
Whenever a new offensive-minded takes over for an older, somewhat boring head coach, you want to take advantage of the situation. Remember when Robert Woods was on the waiver wire? Remember when everyone wanted nothing to do with Cooper Kupp? How quickly that changed when they saw the Sean McVay offense. Well, Zac Taylor has said the Bengals will start with the Rams playbook and build from there. Green is one of the dominant receivers of our generation who still has a few solid years in him, while Ross would be looked at a lot differently if he’d played on a team like the Rams instead of the Marvin Lewis-led Bengals. On top of that, he’s essentially free at 195th overall.
Antonio Callaway (WR) Current ADP: WR79
It was tempting to put Odell Beckham Jr. here, as he’s currently the No. 6 pick in startup dynasty leagues, which is five spots too low, but not everyone can get him, so we went with Callaway. While his stock took a massive hit when Beckham arrived, he’s still a starter on a team led by Baker Mayfield, the No. 2 dynasty quarterback. If something were to happen to Beckham (he’s had a few soft tissue injuries), Callaway would walk into five-plus targets per game and be a quality starter. He saw an increase in production once Freddie Kitchens took over the offense, too.
Michael Gallup (WR) Current ADP: WR54
He’s someone who was destined to be a No. 2 in the NFL, so while the arrival of Amari Cooper did hurt his potential in year one, you shouldn’t give up on him. In fact, Gallup averaged just 3.1 targets per game before Cooper got there and 5.1 targets per game with Cooper. Granted, he was starting to take on a bigger role, but do you know how many receivers in the league averaged more than 5.1 targets per game in 2018 (minimum 10 games played)? 54 of them, right in line with Gallup’s ADP, but that’s not accounting for the fact that he was a rookie and was being brought on slowly. He should outproduce his WR54 price-tag this year.
Phillip Lindsay (RB) Current ADP: RB25
Instead of going with DaeSean Hamilton, who is a solid value at WR60, I went with Lindsay, who doesn’t require good quarterback play in order to succeed, as evidenced by his RB12 finish last year. While I like Royce Freeman as much as the next guy, what Lindsay did in 2018 is awfully tough to overlook, and he’s a better pass-catcher than Freeman, too. At just 24 years old with a top-12 season under his belt, Lindsay shouldn’t be going after guys like Devonta Freeman and Miles Sanders. Believe me when I say that Sanders owners simply hope they get a top-12 performance out of him.
Marvin Jones (WR) Current ADP: WR47
Yes, Kenny Golladay is the No. 1 receiver on the team, but it’s not a 63-spot difference as the ADP suggests. Golladay posted WR2 or better numbers in 46.7 percent of his starts while Jones did in 33.3 percent of his in the 2018 season. Golladay is also younger, but Jones is not ancient like some are treating him. He’s 29 years old, which means he’s likely got another three years of solid production. The Lions lack depth at receiver and his contract is relatively cheap through 2020, so take the discounted production over the next few years.
Green Bay Packers
Aaron Rodgers (QB) Current ADP: QB6
I had to do a double-take when I saw him sixth among quarterbacks, as it makes zero sense. He threw just 25 touchdowns in 2018 and still finished as the No. 6 quarterback. Let me emphasize that it was a down year for Rodgers. In the eight other seasons he’s played at least 10 games, Rodgers has never finished worse than the No. 2 quarterback. He just turned 35 and if you look around, quarterbacks are playing into their 40’s. Stop trying to predict the future and take the guy who’s essentially a lock to finish top-two at his position.
Keke Coutee (WR) Current ADP: WR52
This one came down to Coutee or Will Fuller, but when you look at the fact that Fuller saw just 11 targets in the three games combined when Coutee was in the lineup, I’ll take the much-cheaper Coutee. In those same three weeks where they both played the full game, Coutee saw 27 targets. While I don’t expect that to always be the case, it’s clear that he’s a big part of their offense.
Marlon Mack (RB) Current ADP: RB21
The Colts said all along that they were happy and content with Mack as their lead running back, and their draft reflected that. Sure, Nyheim Hines and Jordan Wilkins are there, but Hines is strictly a pass-catcher, while Wilkins is Mack’s backup. He’s just 23 years old playing behind maybe the best offensive line in football with one of the best quarterbacks in football. There aren’t 20 running backs who are above him.
D.J. Chark (WR) Current ADP: WR93
To be quite honest, I wasn’t a big fan of Chark coming out of college, but the Jaguars taking him in the second-round suggest they like him an awful lot. The Jaguars don’t have the prototypical No. 1 receiver in their offense, so the production is likely going to be spread around. Knowing that they spend second-round pick on him, he’s going to be at the forefront of opportunity. This doesn’t mean you should be attacking him in a trade or anything, as I don’t think much of Nick Foles‘ ability to provide consistent production.
Kansas City Chiefs
Carlos Hyde (RB) Current ADP: RB52 and Demarcus Robinson (WR) Current ADP: WR96
There’s value in backups on a team like the Chiefs; just ask those who rostered Damien Williams prior to his breakout. Hyde was considered a top-30 running back last year until the Browns traded him away, but now that he’s behind a running back who’s still yet to carry the ball more than 13 times in a regular season game, and you drop him to the No. 52 running back? He’s an excellent bench stash, even in dynasty. Robinson would find his way into the starting lineup if Tyreek Hill gets suspended or flat-out released, making him much more valuable than the No. 96 wide receiver.
Los Angeles Chargers
Mike Williams (WR) Current ADP: WR28
This could’ve gone to fellow wide receiver Travis Benjamin, who is undervalued at WR109, but I’m going with the receiver who presents top-10 upside at his position. Despite seeing just 66 targets in 2018, Williams finished as the No. 20 receiver, yet he’s being drafted after that despite Tyrell Williams leaving via free agency? His touchdown rate of one every 6.6 targets won’t keep up, but it won’t have to considering his influx in targets. It’s rare to find a receiver with his upside this cheap.
Los Angeles Rams
Gerald Everett (TE) Current ADP: TE25
Let me start by saying there isn’t much value to be had on a team like the Rams. Almost everyone is highly valued due to the high-scoring nature of the offense, but Everett comes a tad cheaper than he should. We saw his role grow from year one to year two, as he went from 32 targets to 51 targets. The injury to Cooper Kupp certainly aided that, but tight ends typically take a few years to get going. The Rams spent a high second-round pick on Everett, so they clearly have a role mapped out, so why not snag the cheap tight end tied to Sean McVay.
Kenyan Drake (RB) Current ADP: RB31 and DeVante Parker (WR) Current ADP: WR72
Look, I get it. The Dolphins were a wreck with Adam Gase at the helm, but now that torch has been passed onto the Jets. Gase held grudges with his players and it showed in their fantasy performances. One of the first things the Dolphins did when Gase left town was extend Parker. They still believe in him and let’s not pretend that Ryan Fitzpatrick/Josh Rosen aren’t an upgrade. Parker’s startup ADP was 57th overall at the start of 2018. Drake is the most talented running back on the roster and it’s not all that close, so his current price of RB31 makes little sense, as that’s the place for running backs who are likely to lose their starting job. He’s just 25 years old with limited tread on his tires.
Alexander Mattison (RB) Current ADP: RB53
We’ve still yet to see Dalvin Cook produce consistently in the NFL, and now the Vikings have spent a third-round pick on Mattison to help fill the void left by Latavius Murray. If Cook should suffer another injury, Mattison would likely be looking at 15-plus touches per week, which is a solid player to have on your bench. The Vikings did upgrade their offensive line a bit, and it’s not like they’re a low-scoring offense, which makes Mattison an upside handcuff.
New England Patriots
James White (RB) Current ADP: RB33
Everyone thinks they’re going to outsmart the Patriots, but it never happens. This happens in fantasy, too. Remember the guys like Chris Hogan, Kenny Britt, Michael Floyd, Malcom Mitchell, and Aaron Dobson? Everyone thinks someone will walk in and steal targets from White. Well, not only does that never happen, but Rob Gronkowski is gone, clearing out 100-plus targets among the pass-catchers. Do you think it’s a coincidence that White finished as the RB7 when Gronkowski wasn’t himself last year? White is an integral part of the Patriots offense, yet the fantasy community continually undervalues him.
New Orleans Saints
Latavius Murray (RB) Current ADP: RB43
The Saints decided early-on in free agency to replace Mark Ingram and they seemingly knew just the guy, as Murray was signed within days of free agency opening. Murray has been dominant on the goal-line going back to his Raider days, as he’s scored 32 rushing touchdowns over the last four seasons despite averaging just 204.3 carries per season. Now going to the high-scoring Saints offense that had given Ingram 13.2 carries per game since Alvin Kamara arrived, which would amount to 211.2 carries over 16 games. If Murray sniffs that number, he’s going to finish as a top-24 running back for the next couple years.
New York Giants
Golden Tate (WR) Current ADP: WR56 and Daniel Jones (QB) Current ADP: QB32
I’m typically not a huge fan of Tate in fantasy, as he offered limited upside for where he was being drafted, but at WR56, he’s a value. The Giants didn’t add another wide receiver to play alongside him and Sterling Shepard, but rather drafted Daniel Jones, who’s been known to check-down quite often. Shepard hasn’t fared well on the perimeter, so it’s possible Tate leads the receivers in fantasy points this year. As for Jones, he’s going to be a starting quarterback for quite some time considering the Giants just used the No. 6 overall pick on him. He rushed for over 1,300 yards in his three years at Duke, so while you may not like him much as a passer, he offers something fantasy owners should covet – a solid floor with his legs.
New York Jets
Jamison Crowder (WR) Current ADP: WR74
Why doesn’t anyone like Crowder now that he’s gone to the Jets? Does everyone remember how good Quincy Enunwa was to start the 2018 season when he played in the slot? Or how about when they moved him outside and then we saw Sam Darnold target Jermaine Kearse 48 times over the next six games? The Jets don’t have that prototypical No. 1 receiver, so it’s not inconceivable that Crowder gets 80-100 targets a year, which is worth well more than the No. 74 receiver.
Antonio Brown (WR) Current ADP: WR11
This feels odd to put a guy like Brown as a value, but the No. 11 receiver? Yes, he’s 30 years old, but he’s not a big-bodied wide receiver whose body has taken a beating over the years. He’s a Jerry Rice-style receiver (he’s not Rice, so don’t get that twisted), so he should be able to play into at least his mid-30’s. You don’t trade for a wide receiver like Brown and not pepper him with targets, so knowing you’re getting a 150-plus target guy outside the top-10 who just happens to be one of the best receivers in the game, consider it a value. There are not really any other players who should be considered a value on the Raiders.
Alshon Jeffery (WR) Current ADP: WR39
I understand why some want to snag JJ Arcega-Whiteside, but five spots after Jeffery, the guy who’s continually proved he can get it done when on the field? Nah. The Eagles are likely to have him on the roster for at least two more years considering the amount of dead cap they’d have to eat by releasing him. His first year with the Eagles amounted him to the WR20, and then he finished as the WR26 in 2018 despite missing three full games. He’s getting towards the end of his career, but he’s a sturdy producer who should be going over guys who’ve yet to show anything in the NFL.
Vance McDonald (TE) Current ADP: TE18
It’s pretty funny that McDonald is here again, as he was here, in this article, last year when he was being taken as the TE31. He finished as the No. 12 tight end last year while missing a game and watching Antonio Brown and Jesse James collect over 200 targets. They’re gone, leaving much more opportunity for McDonald to flourish. Health has always been a concern, but when healthy, he’s a top-10 tight end for the foreseeable future.
San Francisco 49ers
Jalen Hurd (WR) Current ADP: WR81
There’s a lot of potential on the 49ers roster, but none of them are coming very cheap. That’s why I’m going to take the receiver who is coming the cheapest. Hurd is a 6-foot-5 converted running back who switched to wide receiver his senior year, only to accumulate nearly 1,000 yards. I’ve described him as a new-age version of Cordarrelle Patterson, though this time around, the NFL is ready for him, and Kyle Shanahan should be able to figure it out.
Chris Carson (RB) Current ADP: RB28 and David Moore (WR) Current ADP: WR103
The more I think about Carson’s situation, I think about Russell Wilson. Do you remember when the Seahawks signed Matt Flynn to a big contract in free agency, then drafted Russell Wilson in the third-round, then said they’d give the best man the job? Well, Carson stole the job that wasn’t supposed to be his and ran with it. He’s worth much more than the No. 28 running back. Moore is likely a starting wide receiver for Wilson, but his ADP wouldn’t tell you that.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Ronald Jones (RB) Current ADP: RB39
Why are we willing to say that someone like David Johnson will bounce-back after a disastrous 2018 season? Because we’ve seen it before, right? While we haven’t seen it with Jones on the NFL level, he played in an offense that every running back who’s played in has struggled. Even going back to Devonta Freeman in his rookie year with Dirk Koetter, he struggled and was considered one of the least efficient running backs in football. Then Koetter left and Freeman was the fantasy MVP the following season. It’s possible that Jones posts top-15 numbers under Bruce Arians, though his current ADP doesn’t suggest that.
Dion Lewis (RB) Current ADP: RB60
The Titans are another team there isn’t much value on, as they have a few very talented wide receivers, but they’re without a quarterback to make them a consistent and viable fantasy option. Because of that, Lewis gets the nod. He’s not going to finish as a top-10 running back or anything, but he’ll be semi-useful most weeks, and has shown in the past that if the starter should go down with an injury, he can fill the void.
Jordan Reed (TE) Current ADP: TE28 and Paul Richardson (WR) Current ADP: WR112
Over the course of Reed’s career, he’s posted TE1 numbers in 49.1 percent of his games. That’s over an entire career. Take a guess at how many hit that mark in 2018 alone… Travis Kelce, George Kittle, Eric Ebron, O.J. Howard, Zach Ertz, and Evan Engram. That’s the end of the list. Those guys are being drafted quite a bit higher than Reed, who likely just got an upgrade at quarterback. As the 28th tight end off the board, he’s a no-brainer. I’m not a big Richardson guy, but as the 112th receiver off the board? He saw at least five targets in 6-of-7 games before going down with a season-ending injury. There’s no way a starting receiver who gets that many targets should be available this late in dynasty drafts.