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10 Things to Know for Week 13 (Fantasy Baseball)

10 Things to Know for Week 13 (Fantasy Baseball)

As Week 12 finishes up, everyone is raving about Ketel Marte’s unforeseen season and Lance Lynn’s breakout. We are looking forward to next week, however, and I’ve got 10 things to keep in mind including a few players you should be selling on the trade market.

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#1 Brendan McKay is going to qualify as a hitter and pitcher
If you need to replace Frankie Montas, you will be better off grabbing McKay now and waiting two or three weeks rather than rolling out Mike Fiers or Tanner Roark just because they are the most competent pitchers on the waiver wire. As things stand now, you should either be picking up a streamer or the next hot rookie pickup before it costs you a load of FAAB. Assuming you already added Jesus Luzardo and have, like me, moved on from the Alex Reyes fantasy, the next man up should be two-way talent, McKay of the Rays. He is terrorizing minor league hitters and while his bat isn’t MLB ready, he should get thrown into the rotation soon if Tampa is serious about winning the AL East. A bonus about McKay is that you can use him at 1B when he is pitching if you need to.

#2 Ramon Laureano is what we hoped he would be
It took a while for him to get there, and as a result, he is currently available in 66% of leagues, but that won’t last for long. He is my priority pickup of the week, unless you are playing in a shallow league and the likes of Franmil Reyes and Jeff McNeil are still on waivers. Forget the defensive highlights, of which there are countless. Laureano can hit too! After opening the year with a .222/.281/.346 line through 43 games, Ramon has kicked it into gear batting .309 with 6 homers and 5 steals over the past month. Folks, that’s a 30/25 pace to go with 100 RBIs and 100 runs. Granted, that won’t keep up, but the point is that he is a legitimate source of both power and speed.

#3 Now is the time to sell Scott Kingery
This is going to sound funny coming from me since three weeks ago I got down on my knees and begged you all to pick him up. I am the Kingery truther, after all. Even so, there comes a point when the hype has gone far enough that you can get more value on the trade market and that time is right now. Kingery is batting .338/.380/.654/1.034 with nine homers in just 133 at-bats. Trust me, everyone in your league is aware. They think he is the next Alex Bregman. While I wish it were true, the underlying stats tell a different story. Kingery’s quality of contact suggests that he ought to be hitting .289 with a .521 slugging percentage. While that is still quite good, he has essentially been the luckiest hitter in baseball this season besides Fernando Tatis. Kingery is going to come crashing back down to earth so you better cash him in while you can.

#4 Likewise, you’ll want to dump Brad Hand before he is traded
Unlike Kingery, this isn’t a performance issue. It really is possible that Hand keeps up his absurd clip of a 0.86 ERA, 0.73 WHIP and 47 Ks in 31 innings. The problem is that without the 20 saves, he would be no better than 35% owned Ryan Pressly. Chances are that the nine-game back Indians will be selling soon and you’d better believe Hand will be the first one on the block. Some team will pay a premium to add him and as good as he has been, if it is the Dodgers (most likely), the Astros, Brewers or Yankees, he’ll be the setup man much like David Robertson when he was dealt in the height of his career.

#5 On the flip side, you should be buying Matt Olson
The very opposite of Kingery is happening with Olson. He is obliterating baseballs, posting an xBA of .260 and xSLG of .574 (higher than Pete Alonso!). Meanwhile, he is batting just .231 with a .352 wOBA which is lower than Roberto Perez and Jordan Luplow. Yuck! Chances are, his owner is furious at the on-paper numbers, and if he hasn’t dropped him, would sell him for pennies. Please take advantage of this situation and acquire yourself a top 80 fantasy baseball player before you miss your opportunity.

#6 Wednesday is your last chance to sell Madison Bumgarner
Well, this is oddly specific, no? Here is what it comes down to: Mad-Bum is ruined. Sorry, but you are here for analysis and it is true. He is nowhere close to the same pitcher as he once was. In fact, he is no different than his teammate, Jeff Samardzija, who is only 10% owned. The difference, of course, is name value. You can still sell name value after one more good start and it just so happens to be coming Tuesday night at home against the Rockies who get massacred by lefties. Write it down: 8 innings, 10 Ks, 1 run and your final selling window before he returns to his struggles then gets traded to the AL East and Yankee Stadium.

#7 There isn’t a two-start pitcher worth picking up
I’ve given you at least one two-start streamer to add to your roster every single week this season. That ends this week. Frankly, it would be bad advice to continue just for the sake of expectation. Chances are high that we will be talking about some random guy (it was Lance Lynn last week, so maybe not so random) next week, but sometimes the best analysis is that you just need to stand pat rather than signing up to take one on the chin. If you are in a points league, feel free to use Drew Pomeranz in two home starts, but for roto and head to head, stay far away.

#8 If you need a deep league pitcher, I’ve got the guy
It’s starting pitcher, Jalen Beeks. Well, kind of. Technically, he isn’t a starter and he doesn’t even have the eligibility, but for all intents and purposes, he is the primary team pitcher on days he throws, getting 3 to 5 innings each outing. The Rays use him with a shadow righty to ensure teams don’t stack lefty-mashers in Beeks’ outings. This has allowed him to flourish to a tune of a 2.73 ERA with 49 Ks in 56 innings. The WHIP won’t be great but it will get the job done, and since he is pitching innings 2, 3, 4 and 5, Beeks is much more likely to get the win this way than he would otherwise.

#9 Dylan Bundy is going to be a hot pickup in three weeks
So you know what to do; grab him now. At just 21% ownership, you won’t have anyone driving up your FAAB bid for his services. You can bet your bottom dollar that it changes, however, the moment he is traded away from Camden Yards and to a much more manageable situation that also provides run support. Bundy has been cruising since the start of May with a 3.46 ERA and .697 OPS against with 52 Ks in 9 starts. The fact of the matter is that Bundy is quite talented but can’t keep the ball in the (Camden) yard(s). When that changes, he will be worthy of ownership in every league and worth starting 80+% of his outings.

#10 Bobby Bradley is a beastly man
Now that Yordan Alvarez is in the majors, Bradley has surpassed his 23 homers for the Triple-A lead. Sure, he has 89 Ks in 66 games but that doesn’t matter for fantasy baseball and he is still batting .295. The 23-year-old slugging first baseman should get the call for the Cleveland Indians any week now and when he does, I’m certain everyone will be clamoring to scoop him up. Or, once again, you can do it now for free.


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