5 Things to Know for Week 15 (Fantasy Baseball)

by Bobby Sylvester | @bobbyfantasypro | Featured Writer
Jul 12, 2019

Miguel Sano is obliterating baseballs since his return from the IL

We roll into this week having nailed the last four streamers and inevitable MLB call-ups. This week, though, is the All-Star break so there isn’t much in the way of two-start pitchers or streamers with two series worth of killer matchups. Rather, we will cut the list down from 10 to 5 useful nuggets to help you in the coming week.

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#1 Want a league-winning catcher?
Don’t we all? I might have just the guy for you and he is just 7% owned. It seems as though the Orioles are finally committed to starting their prospect, Chance Sisco behind the dish every day in the second half. He has simply been en fuego all season, posting a .292/.388/.530/918 line in Triple-A with 20 extra-base hits in 168 at-bats, then a .283/.394/.667/1.061 line in the majors with 11 extra-base hits in just 60 at-bats. Think Austin Riley but at catcher. I have 100% exposure, if nothing else, so I can trade him when everyone wakes up to how great he is.

#2 My two-start pitcher of the week is…
Dinelson Lamet, who I highlighted just two weeks ago as an inevitable call-up for the Padres. He struck out 7 in 5.2 innings which should be no surprise considering he had 11 K/9 (8th in baseball) in 114 rookie innings with an eye-popping .210 batting average against (9th in baseball). Lamet is just 14% owned and has bonkers potential. This week, it couldn’t get much better with a home-start in pitcher’s haven San Diego versus the Braves, followed by an outing against the lowly Marlins in Miami’s pitcher-friendly park. The Braves are great, but when Josh Donaldson, Ronald Acuna, Dansby Swanson and Austin Riley go up against a pitcher with a career .150/.241/.286/.527 line against righties, it might not be pretty.

#3 What if I told you Freddie Freeman was on waivers
Well sort of. You can only use this replica 75% of the time. Still good? Yeah, I thought so. Over a full season’s worth of career plate appearances from Jesse Winker, we’ve learned that he is #good against right-handed pitchers and #awful against lefties. When taking on southpaws, we are looking at .179/.289/.256/.545 but against righties it transforms to .302/.389./505/.894 with 25 HR in 537 at-bats. Freeman hit .309/.388/505/.893 with 23 homers in 618 at-bats last year. So actually a little better than Freeman–whoops. Winker is available in 71% of leagues as a write this.

#4 What’s that you say? Josh Hader is a free agent too?
Last season, Hader struck out 143 batters, or 15.8 per 9 innings. My guy has 15.8 per 9 innings this season to go with a sparkling 1.03 WHIP, and at 23 innings, it isn’t a small sample size. With that being said, Austin Adams (of the Mariners, not the Tigers) is currently on the IL, but when he returns, I see no reason why he won’t take over the closer job from mediocre-at-best, Roenis Elias. Now, you may not have to pick him up this minute, but please register this name in your mind and keep him on waiver wire speed dial so you don’t have to pay dearly when he takes over the job.

#5 Here, take 20 second-half homers for free
When you look at the Statcast Leaderboard on Baseball Savant, you can sort by Hard Hit percentage, which is how often a batted ball is struck at 95 MPH or higher. You’ll notice that no one who has as many batted balls as Miguel Sano (just 148 at-bats so that’s a lot of platers), has a higher hard-hit rate. His sits at 55.3% (Bellinger 51.0, Yelich 50.8, Trout 44.8). Granted, Sano has to hit the ball to create stats and his rolling K-rate has plummeted from (gulp!) 60% to 2o over the last month. With it has come a tremendous .896 OPS and .328 ISO which would have led baseball last season. Sano is somehow still available in 70% of leagues but don’t wait!

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Bobby Sylvester is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Bobby, check out his archive and follow him @BobbyFantasyPro.

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