Dynasty Players to Sell (2019 Fantasy Football)
The New England Patriots are known for showing players the door when they still seem to be talented and productive athletes in their prime. The idea of moving on from a player one year early versus one year late seems to be a mantra that has worked well for this franchise, so today we’ll look at some names you may want to consider moving on from in your dynasty leagues.
Matt Ryan (ATL)
Ryan hasn’t been looked upon as a great fantasy QB typically, but he has posted top-six numbers in three of the last five years (second in 2018), depending upon the format. At 34 years of age, he has complete command of a very potent offense, but he’s shown an alarming tendency to follow a very strong campaign with a weak one. As a Julio Jones owner in multiple leagues, I can also attest that he had the accuracy of an average punter on many of his deep balls last year, and defensive coordinators will undoubtedly start to capitalize on this weakness. You may not get much for him, but I would recommend an upgrade if he is your starting quarterback.
Aaron Jones (GB)
While I respect his talent, I can’t see his value being any higher than it presently is. At 5’9″ tall and 205 pounds, Jones is simply not built like a typical feature back and has had injuries and a suspension in his recent past. Most will point to the gaudy 5.5 yards per carry average, while discreetly omitting the average of only 107 carries per year. If that average dips to 4.1 this season, his trade value will drop proportionately, and if the Packers draft or sign a true feature back, his value will be strapped to a lemming running off a cliff.
Marlon Mack (IND)
Mack’s situation reminds me of Jones, in that he’s a modestly built mid-round draft pick holding the fort until the team can invest in a true stud at the position. I also think he’s a talented back in another great offense, but I’ll be surprised if he carries the load through an entire season. In redraft leagues and best ball I am loading up on this guy, but if you are strong at RB and weak in another area in your dynasty league, he’s the guy I’d be offering.
Michael Thomas (NO)
Hear me out, hear me out. I would expect nothing short of a king’s ransom in return, but my concern with Thomas is the future QB situation in New Orleans. You cannot be pumped about the thought of Teddy Bridgewater being his QB at this point, and it’s anyone’s guess what the Saints will do if this is indeed Brees’ last year in the Big Easy. Much like DeAndre Hopkins, I believe Thomas has the ability to adapt and produce with just about anyone throwing the rock, but look at Hopkins’ 2016 stats if you want to see the effect of poor QB play on a stud wide receiver.
Keenan Allen (LAC)
Maybe it’s the beard, but I cannot believe Allen is only 27 years of age. By my count, he’s suffered at least nine serious injuries (including a lacerated kidney and an ACL tear), but has started 16 games each of the last two years. Is this a new trend or is he on borrowed time?
Recency bias is a thing, and many owners may no longer think of him as fragile, so if you’ve held onto him through the rough years, you may want to reward yourself by avoiding devastating injury news regarding your stud wide receiver in the future. He’s extremely talented and plays in a sneaky good offense, so his value should be fairly high right now. The possible emergence of Mike Williams is another ticking clock you should not ignore.
David Njoku (CLE)
Njoku brushed up against relevance last year, placing ninth in half-PPR formats, but I feel that may be his ceiling as Cleveland continues to add weapons to a suddenly potent offense. Credited with six drops in 2018, Njoku will have to fight that image going forward after an unfortunate segment with Hard Knocks where he seemed to drop pass after pass in practice. Baker Mayfield has many options now and Njoku may end up being the third or fourth target on many of his progressions this year. I will admit he’s also a breakout candidate, but he may soon be overtaken in value by some of the young stud tight ends drafted this year.