Fantasy Baseball Trade Chart (Week 14)

by Dan Harris | @danharris80 | Featured Writer
Jul 4, 2019

Josh Bell is heating up again before the All-Star break.

With the All-Star Break right around the corner, it’s the perfect time to reassess your fantasy team’s needs and strengths. What looked to be a problem area yesterday may be a position of excess today. Evaluating and re-evaluating the standings and your rest-of-season projections is critical to maximizing any trade.

The same holds true for the trade chart. Through revisiting players’ Statcast data, advanced metrics, and plain old actual statistics, it becomes evident that changes are warranted.

This week, more than ever, you’ll see major risers and fallers as we look to tighten up the trade values. So before you consider making any deal, make sure to weigh both sides of the trade using our updated trade chart.

Import your team to My Playbook for season-long advice >>

Player Current Value Previous Value +/-
Mike Trout 68 68
Christian Yelich 68 68
Mookie Betts 63 63
Cody Bellinger 63 63
Nolan Arenado 59 59
Francisco Lindor 59 59
Adalberto Mondesi 57 57
Ronald Acuna Jr. 57 57
Max Scherzer 57 55 +2
Javier Baez 55 55
Alex Bregman 55 55
Trevor Story 55 15 +40
J.D. Martinez 55 55
Trea Turner 55 55
Justin Verlander 54 54
Gerrit Cole 54 54
Jacob deGrom 53 53
Charlie Blackmon 53 53
Freddie Freeman 53 53
Manny Machado 50 48 +2
Walker Buehler 49 49
Whit Merrifield 49 49
Chris Sale 47 55 -8
Anthony Rendon 45 45
Hyun-Jin Ryu 45 45
Blake Snell 45 45
Jose Altuve 45 45
Anthony Rizzo 45 45
Aaron Judge 45 39 +6
Kris Bryant 42 45 -3
Starling Marte 42 37 +5
Joey Gallo 40 30 +10
Zack Greinke 39 39
Clayton Kershaw 38 39 -1
Pete Alonso 38 29 +9
Josh Bell 38 19 +19
Juan Soto 37 36 +1
Stephen Strasburg 35 36 -1
Aaron Nola 35 21 +14
Gary Sanchez 34 34
Bryce Harper 34 39 -5
Khris Davis 34 36 -2
Xander Bogaerts 30 30
George Springer 29 26 +3
Paul Goldschmidt 29 37 -8
Rhys Hoskins 29 30 -1
Luis Castillo 28 28
Patrick Corbin 28 28
Shane Bieber 28 27 +1
Charlie Morton 28 26 +2
Trevor Bauer 28 36 -8
Mike Moustakas 27 26 +1
Tommy Pham 26 26
Yordan Alvarez 26 21 +5
Nelson Cruz 26 24 +2
Jose Ramirez 26 37 -11
Ketel Marte 26 26
Mike Clevinger 26 26
Andrew Benintendi 25 30 -5
J.T. Realmuto 25 26 -1
David Price 24 22 +2
Jose Berrios 23 21 +2
Lucas Giolito 23 19 +4
Max Muncy 23 21 +2
Eddie Rosario 21 23 -2
Yasiel Puig 20 15 +5
Noah Syndergaard 20 20
Brandon Woodruff 20 19 +1
Marcell Ozuna 19 26 -7
Kenley Jansen 19 19
Aroldis Chapman 19 19
Kirby Yates 19 19
Matt Chapman 19 19
Jose Abreu 19 19
Elvis Andrus 19 18 +1
Fernando Tatis Jr. 19 19
Yasmani Grandal 18 18
Rafael Devers 18 10 +8
Eugenio Suarez 18 18
Austin Meadows 17 16 +1
Jonathan Villar 17 17
Ozzie Albies 17 17
Gleyber Torres 17 17
Michael Brantley 16 16
Roberto Osuna 16 16
Brad Hand 16 15 +1
Willson Contreras 15 17 -2
James Paxton 15 15
Mike Soroka 15 15
Josh Hader 15 15
Victor Robles 15 15
Edwin Encarnacion 15 15
Matthew Boyd 14 15 -1
Masahiro Tanaka 14 15 -1
Edwin Diaz 14 14
Zack Wheeler 14 12 +2
Michael Conforto 13 13
Eloy Jimenez 13 13
Craig Kimbrel 13 13
Yoan Moncada 13 13
Carlos Correa 13 13
David Dahl 13 13
Matt Olson 13 6 +7
Austin Riley 13 12 +1
Madison Bumgarner 12 11 +1
Jack Flaherty 12 14 -2
Caleb Smith 12 10 +2
Byron Buxton 12 11 +1
Mike Minor 12 13 -1
Nick Senzel 11 10 +1
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 11 17 -6
Chris Paddack 11 9 +2
Jorge Polanco 10 9 +1
Kyle Hendricks 10 8 +2
Felipe Vazquez 10 9 +1
Sean Doolittle 10 9 +1
Hector Neris 10 8 +2
Eduardo Escobar 10 11 -1
Corey Seager 9 2 +7
German Marquez 9 11 -2
Max Kepler 9 7 +2
Mallex Smith 9 10 -1
Lorenzo Cain 9 9
DJ LeMahieu 9 9
Justin Upton 9 9
Paul DeJong 9 9
Josh Donaldson 8 8
Lance Lynn 8 4 +4
Domingo German 8 4 +4
Luke Voit 8 10 -2
Justin Turner 8 9 -1
Domingo Santana 8 8
Cole Hamels 7 11 -4
Jake Odorizzi 7 8 -1
Corey Kluber 7 7
Franmil Reyes 7 10 -3
Eric Hosmer 7 5 +2
Joey Votto 7 7
Hunter Dozier 7 7
Shohei Ohtani 7 5 +2
Blake Treinen 7 7
Jean Segura 7 8 -1
Scooter Gennett 6 12 -6
Carlos Carrasco 6 6
Ken Giles 6 7 -1
Carlos Santana 6 5 +1
Mitch Haniger 6 5 +1
Trey Mancini 6 5 +1
Giancarlo Stanton 6 18 -12
Nicholas Castellanos 5 6 -1
Will Smith 5 5
Dansby Swanson 5 2 +3
David Peralta 5 5
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 5 2 +3
Jeff McNeil 5 N/A +5
Sonny Gray 5 5
Yu Darvish 5 5
Dallas Keuchel 5 5
Kyle Gibson 4 4
Miles Mikolas 4 4
Alex Colome 4 4
Max Fried 4 4
Carlos Martinez 4 4
Wade Davis 4 4
Greg Holland 4 4
Andrew Heaney 4 4
Eduardo Rodriguez 4 4
Dee Gordon 4 2 +2
Joe Musgrove 4 3 +1
Daniel Murphy 4 5 -1
Miguel Sano 4 N/A +4
Cavan Biggio 4 N/A +4
Aaron Hicks 4 4
Keston Hiura 4 N/A +4
Shin-Soo Choo 4 4
Nomar Mazara 4 4
Shane Greene 4 4
Nick Pivetta 3 3
Hunter Renfroe 3 4 -1
Robbie Ray 3 3
Chris Taylor 3 N/A +3
Kenta Maeda 3 2 +1
Jon Lester 3 2 +1
Scott Kingery 3 4 -1
Jonathan Schoop 3 4 -1
Brad Peacock 2 4 -2
Zach Eflin 2 3 -1
Ryan McMahon 2 2
Chris Archer 2 2
Griffin Canning 2 2
Zac Gallen 2 N/A +2
Matt Carpenter 2 7 -5
Ramon Laureano 2 2
Anibal Sanchez 2 N/A +2
C.J. Cron 2 3 -1
Jackie Bradley Jr. 2 N/A +2
Hansel Robles 2 2
Tim Anderson 2 6 -4
Luke Jackson 2 N/A +2
Ian Desmond 2 N/A +2

 
Preseason projections are built on an enormous amount of data, so early performances that are drastically out of line with those projections should be looked at with some skepticism.

But at some point, there’s more than enough of a sample size to warrant significant changes in value. Such is the case with Josh Bell, Paul Goldschmidt, Trevor Bauer, Jose Ramirez, and Rafael Devers.

Bell’s early-season breakout looked utterly legitimate, but a slump for most of June (.221/.319/.429 from June 1-25) made it seem like perhaps the breakout wasn’t quite as legitimate as it seemed for the first two months. Since June 26, however, all Bell has done is smash six homers and drive in 14, tallying better than a 1.300 OPS. The Statcast data loves everything he is doing, and he’s likely to challenge the record for most extra-base hits in a season. His value should likely be even higher, and it will continue to rise to the extent he avoids another lengthy slump. For now, however, his value puts him among a handful of elite hitters.

Trending in the other direction, however, is Goldschmidt. His numbers this season (.250/.340/.408) warrant a significantly lower placement on the trade chart. His strikeout rate is up, his walk rate is down, his speed is non-existent, and his counting stats are at career-worst levels. Yet Goldschmidt is only 31 years old, and he looked absolutely done last year after a May in which he had a .531 OPS and a 31.5% strikeout rate. He came roaring back with an enormous finish. Given his age, it’s not inconceivable that he could do the same here, even with such an extended slump. His quality of contact remains poor, however, and Goldschmidt will continue to drop significantly unless he shows signs of turning it around.

Bauer’s inconsistency has been maddening this season. Since April, he has allowed the following earned runs in his starts: 7, 0, 7, 4, 3, 2, 5, 1, 0, 5, 1, and 5. Five starts allowing two earned runs or fewer. Five starts allowing five earned runs or more. To the extent there’s optimism with Bauer, it’s that he has greatly reduced his troubling walk rate in recent starts, walking just three over his last four outings. But Bauer’s inability to string together more than one or two quality outings in a row, unlike Aaron Nola is doing now, leads to his drop in value.

I have been incredibly reluctant to drop Ramirez too far in value because, quite frankly, his season makes no sense. Putting aside the metrics or Statcast data, how in the world does a 26-year-old who hit 68 home runs the past two seasons suddenly drop to five at the midway point? Ramirez has at least salvaged his season somewhat with 18 steals, and his expected numbers are much better than his actual numbers. And that is the reason why he still retains fairly significant value, probably more than deserved. Absent learning of an injury, this will have been one of the strangest bust seasons in recent memory.

Devers is quietly having a prolific season, contributing heartily in all five categories. He ranks in the top four percent in the league in exit velocity and the top eight percent in hard-hit rate. With Andrew Benintendi’s struggles, Devers is now batting second in a strong Red Sox lineup. There should be no concerns going forward.

The majority of the remaining significant movers are because of injury concerns, but constantly reviewing players’ numbers and advanced metrics always result in tweaking here or there. That will continue to be the case each week, as the best deal for you today may not be the best deal for you tomorrow.

Import your team to My Playbook for custom advice all season >>


SubscribeApple Podcasts | Google Play | SoundCloud | Stitcher | TuneIn

Dan Harris is a featured writer for FantasyPros. For more from Dan, check out his archive or follow him on Twitter @danharris80.

What's your take? Leave a comment

1Saquon Barkley (NYG)RB
2Alvin Kamara (NO)RB
3Christian McCaffrey (CAR)RB
4Ezekiel Elliott (DAL)RB
5David Johnson (ARI)RB
6Nick Chubb (CLE)RB
7DeAndre Hopkins (HOU)WR
8James Conner (PIT)RB
9Davante Adams (GB)WR
10Julio Jones (ATL)WR
 View All Rankings 
11Le'Veon Bell (NYJ)RB
12Odell Beckham Jr. (CLE)WR
13Joe Mixon (CIN)RB
14Travis Kelce (KC)TE
15Tyreek Hill (KC)WR
16Todd Gurley (LAR)RB
17Dalvin Cook (MIN)RB
18JuJu Smith-Schuster (PIT)WR
19Michael Thomas (NO)WR
20Mike Evans (TB)WR
21T.Y. Hilton (IND)WR
22Keenan Allen (LAC)WR
23Marlon Mack (IND)RB
24Antonio Brown (OAK)WR
25Aaron Jones (GB)RB
26Kerryon Johnson (DET)RB
27Damien Williams (KC)RB
28Derrick Henry (TEN)RB
29Leonard Fournette (JAC)RB
30Adam Thielen (MIN)WR
1Mike Trout (LAA)CF,DH
2Christian Yelich (MIL)LF,CF
3Ronald Acuna Jr. (ATL)LF,CF
4Cody Bellinger (LAD)1B,CF
5Nolan Arenado (COL)3B
6Mookie Betts (BOS)CF,RF
7J.D. Martinez (BOS)LF,RF
8Francisco Lindor (CLE)SS
9Trevor Story (COL)SS
10Javier Baez (CHC)2B,3B
 View All Rankings 
11Justin Verlander (HOU)SP
12Alex Bregman (HOU)3B,SS
13Gerrit Cole (HOU)SP
14Jacob deGrom (NYM)SP
15Freddie Freeman (ATL)1B
16Trea Turner (WSH)SS
17Anthony Rendon (WSH)3B
18Jose Ramirez (CLE)2B,3B
19Charlie Blackmon (COL)CF
20Xander Bogaerts (BOS)SS
21Starling Marte (PIT)CF
22Walker Buehler (LAD)SP
23Juan Soto (WSH)LF
24Jose Altuve (HOU)2B
25Whit Merrifield (KC)1B,2B
26Pete Alonso (NYM)1B,DH
27George Springer (HOU)CF,RF
28Manny Machado (SD)3B,SS
29Anthony Rizzo (CHC)1B
30Aaron Judge (NYY)RF,DH
1Anthony Davis (LAL)PF,C
2James Harden (HOU)PG,SG
3Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL)SF,PF
4Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN)C
5Kevin Durant (BKN)SF,PF
6LeBron James (LAL)SF,PF
7Stephen Curry (GSW)PG,SG
8Nikola Jokic (DEN)PF,C
9Damian Lillard (POR)PG
10Russell Westbrook (HOU)PG
 View All Rankings 
11Victor Oladipo (IND)PG,SG
12Paul George (LAC)SG,SF
13Joel Embiid (PHI)PF,C
14Kawhi Leonard (LAC)SG,SF
15Chris Paul (OKC)PG
16Jimmy Butler (MIA)SG,SF
17Kemba Walker (BOS)PG
18Ben Simmons (PHI)PG,SF
19Kyrie Irving (BKN)PG,SG
20Jrue Holiday (NOR)PG,SG
21Rudy Gobert (UTH)C
22Andre Drummond (DET)PF,C
23John Wall (WAS)PG
24Kyle Lowry (TOR)PG
25Donovan Mitchell (UTH)PG,SG
26Khris Middleton (MIL)SG,SF
27Bradley Beal (WAS)SG
28Kevin Love (CLE)PF,C
29Draymond Green (GSW)PF,C
30LaMarcus Aldridge (SAS)PF,C
Follow the Pros!

Follow us on Twitter @FantasyPros for exclusive advice and contests