Late-Round WR Targets (2019 Fantasy Football)

by Jason Katz | @jasonkatz13 | Featured Writer
Jul 19, 2019

Tyrell Williams should get enough targets in Oakland to be a viable fantasy receiver

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They say leagues are not won in the early rounds, but they certainly can be lost. The opposite is true for the later rounds. Leagues cannot be lost with these end-of-draft picks, but they certainly can be won. In 2018, we saw names like Calvin Ridley, Kenny Golladay, and Tyler Lockett, being selected at the latter stages of fantasy drafts. While those weren’t necessarily league-winning picks, they presented substantial value for their costs.

When I think “late rounds,” I’m thinking double-digits, so that is where these players are typically being drafted if they are even being drafted at all. Let’s take a look at some late-round wide receivers to target that have the potential to make a significant impact on your fantasy team.

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Keke Coutee (HOU)
It may be a blessing in disguise that Coutee barely played as a rookie. He just couldn’t stay on the field. He made his debut in Week 4 and immediately saw 15 targets. While he saw exactly 15 targets over his next three games before going down, the fact that he was peppered with a high target count instantly is a huge green flag for Coutee. After he returned from injury in Week 11, he saw nine targets. In the Texans’ lone playoff game, Coutee saw 14 targets. These things aren’t accidents.

Coutee is a deliberate part of the Texans’ offensive plans. Even though Coutee is clearly the third WR, the Texans do not have a tight end of consequence and their running backs are nothing special. Coutee is a real shot at 100 targets this season and is one Will Fuller injury away from being a WR2. While Coutee’s health is also a concern, he is basically free and a near-lock to provide positive value for the games he plays.

Curtis Samuel (CAR)
I love Samuel. I think he has the tools to be a WR1 in this league. While he certainly won’t be that in Carolina and has to share a field with the also talented D.J. Moore, Samuel is largely overlooked for reasons I cannot understand. Samuel was a second-round pick and averaged 6.7 targets per game over his final seven games in 2018. He has a great shot at seeing 100-110 targets this season. I cannot understand why his ADP is five rounds lower than Moore’s.

They should be much closer. I realize Cam Newton has never produced a viable WR2, but I look at it more like he won’t have a WR1, but both Moore and Samuel can be WR2s. I would be shocked if Samuel finished outside the top 36 and he has serious top-24 upside.

DaeSean Hamilton (DEN)
Out of all the guys on this list, I do think Hamilton has the lowest ceiling. He just doesn’t have a WR1 profile. He will always be “the other guy.” With that being said, “the other guy” can still be a really productive guy. The Emmanuel Sanders workout videos are great for Hamilton’s ADP because a healthy Sanders means Hamilton doesn’t really have a role. Sure, he will likely be the starting slot WR, but a Joe Flacco offense is not supporting three WRs and Sanders is the WR1 when healthy.

I just don’t believe Sanders is healthy or that he will stay healthy. He’s 32 years old, coming off one of the most debilitating injuries a professional athlete can sustain, with a long history of ankle problems as well. Hamilton closed out 2018 with target counts of nine, 12, nine, and eight over his final four games. He can be like a poor man’s Jarvis Landry (the Miami version); a very useful and high-floor WR3.

Tyrell Williams (OAK)
I am far less confident in these last two than the first three, but when we’re talking about late-round dart throws, the focus needs to be entirely on ceiling. We know Williams is incredibly athletic. He is an excellent downfield threat with his 81st percentile speed and 98th percentile catch radius. He averaged 2.15 fantasy points per target last season, good for 14th in the league. The problem for Williams is he only saw 64 targets.

Now in Oakland, he is the clear WR2 alongside Antonio Brown and there really isn’t anyone else to target. Sure, AB is a lock for at least 160 targets, but Derek Carr is going to attempt around 550 passes. I would be surprised if at least 100 of them weren’t sent in Williams’ direction.

If he can catch 60 balls with his usual 15+ yards per reception, he has a shot at pushing 1,000 yards receiving. Given his splash-play ability, four to six touchdowns is within his range of outcomes. Perhaps his efficiency is much lower than I expect and Carr is just bad. In that case, you probably drop Williams in the first quarter of the season. But if I’m right, you’ve got a legitimate WR3 at the cost of nothing.

Andy Isabella (ARI)
Rookie WRs rarely produce (seriously, it’s not 2014 anymore), but Isabella is uniquely situated to break the mold if anyone is to do it. He projects to be the WR3 in an offense that wants to attempt 650+ passes. Whether the Cardinals can actually do that remains to be seen, but the allure based on the potential is there. Isabella has second-round draft capital and posted a 52.2% college dominator rating. His 4.31 speed is an ideal complement to Larry Fitzgerald and Christian Kirk being professional WRs. Isabella can stretch the field as well as be a nightmare underneath. He’s probably fourth on the target totem pole behind Fitz, Kirk, and David Johnson, but if the Cardinals really are trying to break the record for plays run in a season, all four can have fantasy value. There is always risk with a rookie, but that risk is mitigated when it costs your last-round pick.

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Jason Katz is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Jason, check out his archive or follow him @jasonkatz13.

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