FantasyDraft PGA: BMW Championship
If you haven’t played on FantasyDraft you should check it out. They have a unique PGA format where you draft 7 with the top 6 scores counting, and more importantly, they offer 100% rake-free contests. We guarantee you won’t find rake-free contests anywhere else. For this week’s tournament…
The top 70 in the FedExCup Standings will advance to this week’s BMW Championship in Chicago. Last week we saw Patrick Reed win his first PGA event since his Master’s title in 2018, and by doing so he catapulted all the way up to number two in the FedExCup standings. FedExCup points are quadrupled in the first two playoff stages, so be ready to see some major movement after this week as well. The top-30 golfers will advance to the Tour Championship next week at East Lake.
The BMW Championship will be played at Medinah Country Club (Course No. 3) just outside of Chicago, Illinois. It has not hosted an event since the 2012 Ryder Cup and 2006 PGA Championship — where we saw none other than Tiger Woods take home the hardware. It is a massively long golf course with some of the longest par 5s golfers will ever see on Tour. Two of the par 5s are over 600 yards in length and will be next to impossible to eagle for even the game’s longest players. The fairways are wide and golfers will once again be putting on bentgrass greens.
- Course: Medinah Country Club (course no.3)
- Par: 72
- Yardage: 7,613
- Greens: Bentgrass (Poa blend)
With only 70 of the world’s best golfers competing this week in a non-cut event, it will be crucial to look at some key stats to help us narrow down our favorite golfers. The first thing that stands out is how long this golf course is (7,613 yards!), so we will be targeting elite ball strikers who also are excellent with their long irons (proximity >175 yards). Par 5 scoring will be key, as there are four enormous ones on the course, and players must beat the field on them in order to gain strokes and put themselves in a position to win.
- Strokes Gained: Off-The-Tee (OTT)
- Long Course Specialists
- Proximity Gained: 175-200 yards, 200+
- Par 4 scoring: 450-500 yards
- Performance on bentgrass greens
Roster construction will be different this week with only 70 golfers in the field and every one guaranteed to play four rounds. This week allows you to take more high-risk, high-reward players and be more bold with your lineups. You should definitely consider some golfers in the lower-price range and construct some stars-and-scrubs lineups. Rory McIlroy ($18,200) and Brooks Koepka ($18,100) are the highest-priced golfers, followed by Jon Rahm ($17,500), who is the only priced golfer in the $17k range. There is a plethora of talent in the $13k-to-$15k range, and this is where I will focus the most attention when selecting my golfers.
Favorite $15,000+ Plays
Justin Thomas ($16,700)
Thomas is one nice putting week away from winning his first PGA event of the year. His ball-striking and approach games have remained consistently solid, but he cannot find any momentum with the flat-stick. Coming off a T-12 finish last week in which he finished fourth in strokes gained: approach, and eighth in strokes gained: tee-to-green, I like Thomas’ chances at a similar course. He is first in par 5 scoring, first in birdies-or-better, 12th in proximity from 175-200 yards, and 22nd in strokes gained: off-the-tee. According to FutureofFantasy.com, since 2014, Thomas is the ninth-best performer on bentgrass greens and the fourth-best performer on long courses.
Patrick Cantlay ($15,900)
Cantlay finished with the most birdies in the field last week at the Northern Trust Open. He has the tendency to rack up some serious fantasy points and with a guaranteed four rounds this is a no-brainer play. Known for his elite iron play, Cantlay is top 10 in approach and one of the best in proximity greater than 175 yards. He has very few holes in his game and often shows up in strong-field events. Currently sixth in the FedExCup standings, He will want a big finish here to put himself into strong contention for the $15 million prize next week.
Adam Scott ($15,800)
Scott finished T-3 at the PGA championship way back in 2006 when this course hosted the event. He will have an advantage on others, as the vast majority of golfers have never played here. Coming in with excellent form, Scott finished fifth last week and gained strokes in every facet of his game. Scott was especially elite on Sunday — gaining a whopping 4.66 strokes on the field tee-to-green and 2.39 strokes on approach. Third in par 5 scoring average, Scott should have little trouble on these long, challenging holes. He brought the long putter back out last week and it paid dividends, so expect him to keep rolling them in this week.
Tony Finau ($15,100)
When you get a guaranteed four rounds from a supreme birdie maker at a good price, you play him. Very long off the tee (9th in driving distance) and accurate with his long irons, Medinah Country Club sets up well for his game. Finau was eighth in total driving, 12th in greens-in-regulation, and fifth in ball-striking last week at the Northern Trust. He does well on long golf courses that feature bentgrass greens, as he has performed well at Augusta, Colonial, and the Open Championship this year.
Favorite $13,000+ Plays
Ian Poulter ($14,300)
Poulter is coming in with great form after a T-10 performance at the Northern Trust Open last week. He finished fourth in strokes gained: approach and fifth in strokes gained: tee-to-green. This is the time of season Poulter turns it on and he is well known for his FedExCup playoff performances. Poulter also played this course during the Ryder Cup in 2012 and went 4-0-0 against the U.S. team. Sneakily ranking ninth in Par 5 scoring this year, the long course set-up shouldn’t pose a problem. An accurate ball-striker who has a pit bull mentality on the course, expect Poulter to find fairways and put himself into contention once again.
Brandt Snedeker ($14,200)
Snedeker shot a 63 on Saturday en-route to a solid T-6 finish at Liberty National. He has proven that despite his lackluster off-the-tee game, he can go low on long courses and put himself into contention. He has two wins at Torrey Pines South, one of the longer courses on tours. Snedeker had a nice 2019 campaign that featured ten top-25 performances and he is trending at the right time. Currently 22nd in FedExCup points, expect Sneds to have his A-game and go low this week to remain in the top-30.
Sungjae Im ($13,200)
The young South Korean had a very impressive 2019 season, finishing 26th in the FedExCup Standings. He turned a lot of heads in the golf industry with his solid all-around game, and a win appears imminent. Im has 14 top-25 finishes this year. If it wasn’t for a bad Saturday last week, he would have finished much higher than 38th. He is tied for seventh in PGA scoring and does very well on long courses. According to FutureofFantasy.com, Im is the 20th best golfer in the PGA on long courses, gaining 2.136 strokes on the field. A very elite ball-striker, Im ranks 26th in strokes gained: off-the-tee. He is 11th in bogey avoidance which will be valuable on a challenging track.
Favorite $10,000+ Plays
Lucas Glover ($12,500)
Known for his ability to go low on longer courses, this track should suit Glover well. He has one at Bethpage Black before, one of the longest ever courses played on Tour. This is simply too good of a price tag for a golfer who is ranked 32nd in strokes gained: off-the-tee, 33rd in strokes gained: approach, sixth in bogey avoidance, fifth in par 4 scoring, and fifth in scrambling. It is also worth noting that Glover was leading after round one when the course hosted the PGA Championship in 2006.
Corey Conners ($12,000)
Conners put in a solid outing at the Northern Trust last week, finishing T-21. This is impressive considering he didn’t gain any strokes off-the-tee. He is normally one of the best golfers off-the-tee, as he ranks seventh in the PGA. If this regresses positively as it should, Conners could finish even higher. Bentgrass surfaces suit him best as he got his first win on bentgrass earlier this year. He is 13th in strokes gained: approach, first in greens-in-regulation, and seventh in proximity from 175-200 yards. Look for the young Canadian to turn in another strong performance this week.