10 Bold Predictions for Week 3 Fantasy Football
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Last year in Week 3, Jordy Nelson exploded for 26 fantasy points while Amari Cooper ended up as the WR #89 on the week. Javorius Allen, Wendell Smallwood, Giovani Bernard and Isaiah Crowell all finished in the top 12 running backs while Derrick Henry, Aaron Jones and Sony Michel all finished outside the top 40.
The point is that while everything you are about to read may seem crazy, this is a league where crazy things happen every week. I am merely trying to forecast which scenarios are possible in advance like last week when we hyped up Cooper Kupp and Raheem Mostert while we were much lower on Aaron Rodgers and Robby Anderson.
I’ll be posting this article every Saturday, and while these are all players I feel strongly about for the week, these are not my projections by any means. Rather, a bold prediction is something that most people would say has less than 10% chance of happening, but I’ll give it two or even three times better odds. So perhaps use one of these guys in a DFS GPP or if you need help breaking a tie on a start/sit decision. By the way, here is my new weekly article called Quick Grades. It has all my start/sit recommendations in a quick-hitting format.
#1 Randall Cobb will outscore Amari Cooper this week
You may find it difficult to believe, but the Dolphins still do have a good player on their team. In fact, he is a star. It’s cornerback, Xavien Howard, and he just so happens to be shadowing Cooper this week. Granted, Cooper is still good enough that he makes for a solid fantasy start, but Cobb is likely to see a seriously expanded role with Michael Gallup out for the week. Don’t be surprised if he explodes for a giant game in Week 3.
Final Prediction: Cobb (6 rec, 88 yds, 1 TD), Cooper (4 rec, 45 yds)
#2 Joe Mixon will end the week as a top 5 fantasy back
The Bengals offensive line has been so lousy in the first two weeks that Mixon has just 44 yards on the ground and through the air combined. This week’s matchup isn’t much easier as they travel into Buffalo, but the Bills are more vulnerable on the ground than they are through the air and more vulnerable to pass-catching backs than they are flankers and split-ends. Regardless of the game script, Mixon may end up with 20+ touches and we know he can always break a big play or three.
Final Prediction: 15 carries, 89 yards, 1 TD, 6 receptions, 122 yards, 1 TD
#3 The Chiefs D/ST will finish in the top 10 this week
As of right now, the expert consensus has Kansas City listed as the 24th best D/ST option this week and while there is a possibility Lamar Jackson runs up 30 points on them, it seems more likely that they register multiple turnovers. Don’t hear me wrong, because Jackson has been great so far, but it was against the Dolphins and Cardinals and while he had a positive game script. Assuming Kansas City gets out to a lead, they’ll be sitting back in nickle and dime coverages versus the weak-armed Jackson. We haven’t seen that so far this season so don’t be surprised when he looks like a different QB this time around.
Final Prediction: 20 points allowed, 2 INTs, 1 Fumble, 2 Sacks, 1 TD
#4 Matthew Stafford will be a top 5 fantasy QB this week
The Lions likely won’t be able to get anything going on the ground this weekend versus the Eagles who might have the best front seven in all of football. That, paired with the game script, should lead to Stafford slinging the ball all over the yard in Week 3 and while the Eagles have a great team, there is a reason they are the frontrunners for Jalen Ramsey. Their secondary is the lone weak spot on their roster. And let’s keep in mind that prior to last year’s rough season, when Stafford played with a fractured back, he was a top 10 fantasy QB in three straight years.
Final Prediction: 31 for 46, 366 yards, 4 TDs, 0 INT
#5 JuJu Smith-Schuster finishes in the top 5 WRs
Yes, Ben Roethlisberger is out for the season and sure, he had an awesome career, but last year’s numbers were purely volume-driven, as he led the league in interceptions and had the same yards per pass attempt as Marcus Mariota. Yeah, I’m not joking. Mason Rudolph may already be better than the 2018 version of Big Ben we saw so if he gets similar volume, which is entirely possible this week with the game script setting him up for it, JuJu should have a big day. After all, Rudolph seemed to lock onto him last week after Ben left the field.
Final Prediction: 13 targets, 10 receptions, 147 yards, 2 TDs
The Other Half
#6 Carlos Hyde will finish as a top 15 RB (Had 20 carries last week)
Final Prediction: 18 carries, 102 yards, 1 TD, 1 reception, 11 yards
#7 Kyle Rudolph will be a top 6 TE this week
Final Prediction: 6 targets, 5 receptions, 80 yards, 1 TD
#8 Darwin Thompson will end up in the top 20 RBs (likely committee in KC again with D. Williams out)
Final Prediction: 11 carries, 76 yards, 1 TD, 2 receptions, 34 yards
#9 Marquez Valdes-Scantling will be a top 20 fantasy receiver (Best matchup with Harris traveling with D Adams)
Final Prediction: 8 targets, 6 receptions, 108 yards, 1 TD
#10 Justice Hill will be the top waiver wire pickup next week (Ideal game script for Hill to shine vs KC)
Final Prediction: 6 carries, 58 yards, 1 TD, 6 receptions, 76 yards
Thanks for reading and happy football season!