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14 Players the Top Experts Like/Dislike: Week 1 (2019 Fantasy Football)

Sep 6, 2019
Matt Breida

Matt Breida should get plenty of opportunity to prove that 2018 wasn’t a fluke

Thursday’s game between the Packers and Bears certainly didn’t leave fantasy owners in jubilation (unless you started either team’s D/ST and/or Jimmy Graham). With that game out of the way and some fantasy owners surely hoping for better results on Sunday, we’re giving the lowdown on which players the most accurate experts like more and less than the consensus this week. Whether you’re deciding between a FLEX spot or have stacked team with multiple options, the answers below can help you with your decision making.

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Likes More:

Matt Breida (RB – SF) at TB
Kevin’s Rank: RB20 | Consensus: RB29
“I honestly believe I have Breida too low. He finished last season as the RB25 despite only playing 13 games and being the unknown part of a committee coming into the season. Shanahan has hinted that he plans on using a 55/45 split with he and Coleman, with Breida having the pass-catching role. He had 153 carries and 27 receptions last year, while his carries may drop some, his receptions should double and with less pounding, he should be able to stay healthier this year.”
– Kevin Wheeler (DraftWize)

Latavius Murray (RB – NO) vs. HOU
Dylan’s Rank: RB25 | Consensus: RB32
“With Jadeveon Clowney now in Seattle, the Texans may struggle against the run-particularly early in the season-and Murray is a big-bodied slasher that can take advantage of a crease and go. I have Alvin Kamara as my top overall play this week, but there should be enough work for Murray (and enough points scored in a Monday Night Football shootout) to start him with confidence.”
– Dylan Chappine (White Wolf Sports)

Larry Fitzgerald (WR – ARI) vs. DET
Mike’s Rank: WR24 | Consensus: WR38
“There are a lot of questions surrounding the Cardinals offense after the preseason struggles everyone witnessed. The odd part is that it should have been expected given Kliff Kingsbury told us they’d be very vanilla and not give away anything. The Lions suddenly have one of the better run-stopping defenses in the league after acquiring Damon Harrison from the Giants, and then adding both Mike Daniels and Trey Flowers this offseason. The Cardinals defense is sure to allow points, as they’re down to backup cornerbacks, and had just three healthy ones on the active roster a few days ago. The Cardinals will have to move the ball through the air, so it’d be wise to look for Fitzgerald as a safety net for the rookie Kyler Murray. While many believe the rookies they drafted will make an impact, the signing of Michael Crabtree throws ice-cold water on that. Fitzgerald may not have the upside he once did, but he offers a stable floor.”
– Mike Tagliere (FantasyPros)

Sammy Watkins (WR – KC) at JAC
Jared’s Rank: WR26 | Consensus: WR39
“Jalen Ramsey is expected to shadow Tyreek Hill on Sunday. That figures to push some more volume Watkins’ way. That’s exactly what we saw when these teams met last year. Watkins tied for the team lead with 8 targets and posted a 6-78 line in that one.”
– Jared Smola (Draft Sharks)

Marvin Jones (WR – DET) at ARI
Dan’s Rank: WR21| Consensus: WR30
“This is probably the highest I will be on Jones all season, and it has everything to do with the Arizona secondary. With Patrick Peterson suspended and Robert Alford on injured reserve, the Lions should be able to move the ball through the air with ease. I expect the Cardinals to score here in their first “real” game with Kyler Murray, and I think the Lions will go to the air more than most people expect. Jones was essentially as good as Kenny Golladay when both played last year, and I expect them to both put up solid WR2 numbers in the opening week.”
– Dan Harris (FantasyPros)

Tom Brady (QB – NE) vs. PIT
Matthew’s Rank: QB7 | Consensus: QB15
“I understand that the Patriots are expected to be more run-heavy this season and that there are concerns about what a Gronkless passing attack will look like, but that matters little this week. Brady has been dominant in his career vs the Steelers. Brady is a perfect 5-0 at home against Pittsburgh, with a TD/INT ratio of 18/0. I see that dominance continuing under the Prime Time Lights making Brady firmly entrenched as an opening weekend QB1.”
– Matthew Hill (DataForce Fantasy Football)

Kyle Rudolph (TE – MIN) vs. ATL
Sean’s Rank: TE11 | Consensus: TE14
“To be honest, I am not expecting some massive 7/80/1 type game from Rudolph. Once you get past the top 10 at TE the position becomes very TD dependent. No TE outside of the top 10 has better odds to score in my model this week than Rudolph, hence why he’s coming in pretty high.”
– Sean Koerner (The Action Network)

Likes Less:

Sony Michel (RB – NE) vs. PIT
Mauricio’s Rank: RB26 | Consensus: RB16
“Expecting a shootout between Patriots and Steelers. Although it seems odd to say, New England is going to rely on Brady’s arm to win this one. Michel is (for now) the main back for the early-down role but I am not expecting high enough volume to rank him higher than a borderline RB2/RB3. The Steelers defense was the sixth-best last year in yards per game vs runners (96.1).”
– Mauricio Gutierrez (Estadio Fantasy)

James White (RB – NE) vs. PIT
Kevin’s Rank: RB36 | Consensus: RB28
“White had a fantastic year last year, but Michel appears to be healthier coming into the season and Edelman will be there from the start. White recorded 10 total TDs in the first nine weeks and only two2 the rest of the season. Weeks 10-17, White finished as the RB33, which is right about where I expect him to land this year.”
– Kevin Wheeler (DraftWize)

Sterling Shepard (WR – NYG) at DAL
Seth’s Rank: WR39 | Consensus: WR32
“The Giants run their offense through Saquon Barkley and I don’t expect that to change Sunday vs the Cowboys. Shepard didn’t take advantage of OBJ’s absences last year, hauling in just 14 catches for 234 and a score in 4 games minus the Cleveland Browns’ new stud wide receiver. With the lowly Cody Latimer and Russell Shepard manning the other WR spots, Sterling should also get tons of attention from the Cowboys secondary, limiting his Week 1 fantasy appeal outside of deeper leagues.”
– Seth Klein (Fantrax)

Corey Davis (WR – TEN) at CLE
Dylan’s Rank: WR47 | Consensus: WR37
“In general, I’m worried about Davis this season because he plays on a run-first offense and could see his targets decrease with Adam Humphries in the slot and A.J. Brown eventually pushing for more work on the outside. For this week, Davis will likely be matched up against Denzel Ward, and I’d rather wait to see how the Tennessee passing attack looks before getting him in lineups.”
– Dylan Chappine (White Wolf Sports)

Ben Roethlisberger (QB – PIT) at NE
Jared’s Rank: QB21 | Consensus: QB16
“Fade Road Ben. Over the past 3 seasons, Roethlisberger has averaged just 1.5 passing TDs across 24 road games. He’s in New England on Sunday night facing a talented Patriots defense led by CB Stephon Gilmore.”
– Jared Smola (Draft Sharks)

Austin Hooper (TE – ATL) at MIN
Elisha’s Rank: TE17 | Consensus: TE11
“Just one of Hooper’s four touchdowns in 2018 came on the road. The Vikings allowed just one score and an average of 45.8 yards to tight ends at home. In 46 career games, Hooper has had more than 60 yards just five times. That begs the question – in a tough matchup with limited touchdown and yardage upside, what upside does Hooper have?”
– Elisha Twerski (FantasyPros)

Mark Andrews (TE – BAL) at MIA
Kevin’s Rank: TE22 | Consensus: TE12
“With a healthy Haden Hurst and a well paid Nick Boyle, it appears Andrews is only in line for about 20-25% of the snaps. Granted they will be the most important snaps for fantasy purposes, I just don’t trust that he will get the volume he needs to put up better numbers than last season.”
– Kevin Wheeler (DraftWize)


Thank you to the experts for giving their dissenting opinions for Week 1. Be sure to give them a follow on Twitter if you’re not already doing so and check out our latest podcast below for more great advice.

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