DRAFT NFL Lineup Advice: Week 3
Here’s a look at 10 team DRAFT lineup advice for Week 3 Sunday Only NFL contests. As a reminder, this contest doesn’t include the Thursday game, Sunday night game or the Monday night game. I provide my rankings per position, a summary of each position, and I conclude the article with a sample draft to give you a sense of how to approach your DRAFT contests.
|1. Patrick Mahomes||KC||vs. BAL|
|2. Lamar Jackson||BAL||@KC|
|3. Dak Prescott||DAL||vs. MIA|
|4. Deshaun Watson||HOU||@LAC|
|5. Tom Brady||NE||vs. NYJ|
|6. Matt Ryan||ATL||@IND|
|7. Russell Wilson||SEA||vs. NO|
|8. Jameis Winston||TB||vs. NYG|
|9. Josh Allen||BUF||vs. CIN|
|10. Aaron Rodgers||GB||vs. DEN|
The top five quarterbacks are all in a great position to have a big game. Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, and Dak Prescott all usually go in the first round. Mahomes is my fifth-overall pick after the top four running backs, but Lamar Jackson and Dak Prescott are second-round picks for me. If I miss on my top three quarterbacks, I shoot for Deshaun Watson or Tom Brady in the third round. If I miss on all of these guys, I will take Matt Ryan in the fourth or wait and take my highest remaining quarterback in the fifth.
Patrick Mahomes looked unstoppable at Jacksonville in Week 1, and I expect more of the same against the Ravens’ tough defense in Week 3. It looked like maybe the Jags defense was nowhere near the elite unit they were in the past, but then they put together a very elite performance in Houston in Week 2. Most weeks I will have Mahomes ranked over everyone except a few of the top running backs. I was someone who held off from drafting him early in redraft leagues, and it was a mistake. Andy Reid’s system allows him to put up video game numbers, but he is still the most talented quarterback in the league. I refuse to keep making the same mistake, so I will be drafting Mahomes early and often all year in these contests.
|1. Ezekiel Elliott||DAL||vs. MIA|
|2. Saquon Barkley||NYG||@TB|
|3. Christian McCaffrey||CAR||@ARI|
|4. Dalvin Cook||MIN||vs. OAK|
|5. Austin Ekeler||LAC||vs. HOU|
|6. Aaron Jones||GB||vs. DEN|
|7. Le’Veon Bell||NYJ||@NE|
|8. Alvin Kamara||NO||@SEA|
|9. Chris Carson||SEA||vs. NO|
|10. David Johnson||ARI||vs. CAR|
|11. Marlon Mack||IND||vs. ATL|
|12. Kerryon Johnson||DET||@PHI|
|13. Matt Breida||SF||vs. PIT|
|14. Mark Ingram||BAL||@KC|
|15. James White||NE||vs. NYJ|
|16. Sony Michel||NE||vs. NYJ|
|17. Devonta Freeman||ATL||@IND|
|18. Joe Mixon||CIN||@BUF|
|19. James Conner||PIT||@SF|
|20. Damien Williams||KC||vs. BAL|
As I stated before, my top four running backs are my top four overall picks this week. Austin Ekeler is a late first-round pick for me, but then there is a bit of a drop-off. Aaron Jones, Le’Veon Bell and Alvin Kamara all second-round picks. Chris Carson, David Johnson, and Marlon Mack are third-round guys, and Kerryon Johnson and Matt Breida are worth a pick in the fourth round. Otherwise, I will take my best remaining running back in the fifth round.
If I have an early-round pick, I will end up with one of my top running backs, and then I can wait to nab my second running back in the fourth or fifth rounds. If I am in the middle or end of the draft, I usually will take a wide receiver or quarterback in the first round. This leaves me a little weak at running back, and I will generally take a running back in the second and third round unless there is a really good value at wide receiver or quarterback.
Wide Receiver/ Tight End
|1. DeAndre Hopkins||HOU||@LAC|
|2. Julio Jones||ATL||@IND|
|3. Keenan Allen||LAC||vs. HOU|
|4. Davante Adams||GB||vs. DEN|
|5. Sammy Watkins||KC||vs. BAL|
|6. Michael Thomas||NO||@SEA|
|7. Antonio Brown||NE||vs. NYJ|
|8. Chris Godwin||TB||vs. NYG|
|9. Zach Ertz||PHI||vs. DET|
|10. Kenny Golladay||DET||@PHI|
|11. Mike Evans||TB||vs. NYG|
|12. Travis Kelce||KC||vs. BAL|
|13. Amari Cooper||DAL||vs. MIA|
|14. JuJu Smith-Schuster||PIT||@SF|
|15. Marquise Brown||BAL||@KC|
|16. Evan Engram||NYG||@TB|
|17. Larry Fitzgerald||ARI||vs. CAR|
|18. Adam Thielen||MIN||vs. OAK|
|19. Tyler Lockett||SEA||vs. NO|
|20. Calvin Ridley||ATL||@IND|
I find myself taking receivers earlier this week than I do most weeks. DeAndre Hopkins, Julio Jones, Keenan Allen, and Davante Adams are all first-rounders. Watkins is one of my favorite second-round picks again this week (I was even able to get him once in the third). He has played 96% and 92% of the snaps in Weeks 1 and 2. He also is tied for the third-most targets in the league with 24. With Jimmy Smith out again this week, the secondary is much softer for Mahomes to sling the ball around.
Zach Ertz and Kenny Golladay have been fourth and fifth-round targets for me. Ertz is likely going to be playing without Alshon Jeffery or DeSean Jackson this week. They both missed most of the game in Week 2, and Ertz saw 16 targets. Kenny Golladay is the clear top receiver in Detroit and walks into a matchup with the Eagles who have been lit up by the Redskins and Falcons in the first two weeks. They allowed Terry McLaurin to get five receptions for 125 yards and a touchdown. Julio followed that up with five catches for 106 yards and two touchdowns. Target this secondary all season!
My pick: First
First round: Ezekiel Elliott (RB – DAL)
In Week 2, Ezekiel Elliott jumped from 54% to 76% of snaps. He gets Miami in Week 3. He could be done playing at halftime, but he could have 30 fantasy points by then.
Second round: Dak Prescott (QB – DAL)
I now have exposure to the passing game and running game of a team going up against the Dolphins.
Third round: Sammy Watkins (WR – KC)
This gives me a top-end running back and wide receiver from my rankings.
Fourth round: Devonta Freeman (RB – ATL)
Freeman has struggled the first two weeks, but he has a much better matchup this week against the Colts.
Fifth round: Kenny Golladay (WR – DET)
My top-owned player for the week. I have regularly taken Golladay in the fourth or fifth round.