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DRAFT NFL Lineup Advice: Week 3

Sep 20, 2019

Here’s a look at 10 team DRAFT lineup advice for Week 3 Sunday Only NFL contests. As a reminder, this contest doesn’t include the Thursday game, Sunday night game or the Monday night game. I provide my rankings per position, a summary of each position, and I conclude the article with a sample draft to give you a sense of how to approach your DRAFT contests.

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Quarterback

Player Team Opponent
1. Patrick Mahomes KC vs. BAL
2. Lamar Jackson BAL @KC
3. Dak Prescott DAL vs. MIA
4. Deshaun Watson HOU @LAC
5. Tom Brady NE vs. NYJ
6. Matt Ryan ATL @IND
7. Russell Wilson SEA vs. NO
8. Jameis Winston TB vs. NYG
9. Josh Allen BUF vs. CIN
10. Aaron Rodgers GB vs. DEN

 

The top five quarterbacks are all in a great position to have a big game. Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, and Dak Prescott all usually go in the first round. Mahomes is my fifth-overall pick after the top four running backs, but Lamar Jackson and Dak Prescott are second-round picks for me. If I miss on my top three quarterbacks, I shoot for Deshaun Watson or Tom Brady in the third round. If I miss on all of these guys, I will take Matt Ryan in the fourth or wait and take my highest remaining quarterback in the fifth.

Patrick Mahomes looked unstoppable at Jacksonville in Week 1, and I expect more of the same against the Ravens’ tough defense in Week 3. It looked like maybe the Jags defense was nowhere near the elite unit they were in the past, but then they put together a very elite performance in Houston in Week 2. Most weeks I will have Mahomes ranked over everyone except a few of the top running backs. I was someone who held off from drafting him early in redraft leagues, and it was a mistake. Andy Reid’s system allows him to put up video game numbers, but he is still the most talented quarterback in the league. I refuse to keep making the same mistake, so I will be drafting Mahomes early and often all year in these contests.

Running Back

Player Team Opponent
1. Ezekiel Elliott DAL vs. MIA
2. Saquon Barkley NYG @TB
3. Christian McCaffrey CAR @ARI
4. Dalvin Cook MIN vs. OAK
5. Austin Ekeler LAC vs. HOU
6. Aaron Jones GB vs. DEN
7. Le’Veon Bell NYJ @NE
8. Alvin Kamara NO @SEA
9. Chris Carson SEA vs. NO
10. David Johnson ARI vs. CAR
11. Marlon Mack IND vs. ATL
12. Kerryon Johnson DET @PHI
13. Matt Breida SF vs. PIT
14. Mark Ingram BAL @KC
15. James White NE vs. NYJ
16. Sony Michel NE vs. NYJ
17. Devonta Freeman ATL @IND
18. Joe Mixon CIN @BUF
19. James Conner PIT @SF
20. Damien Williams KC vs. BAL

 

As I stated before, my top four running backs are my top four overall picks this week. Austin Ekeler is a late first-round pick for me, but then there is a bit of a drop-off. Aaron Jones, Le’Veon Bell and Alvin Kamara all second-round picks. Chris Carson, David Johnson, and Marlon Mack are third-round guys, and Kerryon Johnson and Matt Breida are worth a pick in the fourth round. Otherwise, I will take my best remaining running back in the fifth round.

If I have an early-round pick, I will end up with one of my top running backs, and then I can wait to nab my second running back in the fourth or fifth rounds. If I am in the middle or end of the draft, I usually will take a wide receiver or quarterback in the first round. This leaves me a little weak at running back, and I will generally take a running back in the second and third round unless there is a really good value at wide receiver or quarterback.

Wide Receiver/ Tight End

Player Team Opponent
1. DeAndre Hopkins HOU @LAC
2. Julio Jones ATL @IND
3. Keenan Allen LAC vs. HOU
4. Davante Adams GB vs. DEN
5. Sammy Watkins KC vs. BAL
6. Michael Thomas NO @SEA
7. Antonio Brown NE vs. NYJ
8. Chris Godwin TB vs. NYG
9. Zach Ertz PHI vs. DET
10. Kenny Golladay DET @PHI
11. Mike Evans TB vs. NYG
12. Travis Kelce KC vs. BAL
13. Amari Cooper DAL vs. MIA
14. JuJu Smith-Schuster PIT @SF
15. Marquise Brown BAL @KC
16. Evan Engram NYG @TB
17. Larry Fitzgerald ARI vs. CAR
18. Adam Thielen MIN vs. OAK
19. Tyler Lockett SEA vs. NO
20. Calvin Ridley ATL @IND

 

I find myself taking receivers earlier this week than I do most weeks. DeAndre Hopkins, Julio Jones, Keenan Allen, and Davante Adams are all first-rounders. Watkins is one of my favorite second-round picks again this week (I was even able to get him once in the third). He has played 96% and 92% of the snaps in Weeks 1 and 2. He also is tied for the third-most targets in the league with 24. With Jimmy Smith out again this week, the secondary is much softer for Mahomes to sling the ball around.

Zach Ertz and Kenny Golladay have been fourth and fifth-round targets for me. Ertz is likely going to be playing without Alshon Jeffery or DeSean Jackson this week. They both missed most of the game in Week 2, and Ertz saw 16 targets. Kenny Golladay is the clear top receiver in Detroit and walks into a matchup with the Eagles who have been lit up by the Redskins and Falcons in the first two weeks. They allowed Terry McLaurin to get five receptions for 125 yards and a touchdown. Julio followed that up with five catches for 106 yards and two touchdowns. Target this secondary all season!

Sample Draft

My pick: First

First round: Ezekiel Elliott (RB – DAL)
In Week 2, Ezekiel Elliott jumped from 54% to 76% of snaps. He gets Miami in Week 3. He could be done playing at halftime, but he could have 30 fantasy points by then.

Second round: Dak Prescott (QB – DAL)
I now have exposure to the passing game and running game of a team going up against the Dolphins.

Third round: Sammy Watkins (WR – KC)
This gives me a top-end running back and wide receiver from my rankings.

Fourth round: Devonta Freeman (RB – ATL)
Freeman has struggled the first two weeks, but he has a much better matchup this week against the Colts.

Fifth round: Kenny Golladay (WR – DET)
My top-owned player for the week. I have regularly taken Golladay in the fourth or fifth round.

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Steven Roy is a featured writer for FantasyPros. For more from Steven, check out his archive and follow him on Twitter @Rockhead_Roy.

 

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1Christian McCaffrey (CAR)RB
2Dalvin Cook (MIN)RB
3Ezekiel Elliott (DAL)RB
4Josh Jacobs (OAK)RB
5Leonard Fournette (JAC)RB
6Melvin Gordon (LAC)RB
7Nick Chubb (CLE)RB
8Tyreek Hill (KC)WR
9Alvin Kamara (NO)RB
10Michael Thomas (NO)WR
 View all Flex Rankings 
11James Conner (PIT)RB
12Mike Evans (TB)WR
13Marlon Mack (IND)RB
14Le'Veon Bell (NYJ)RB
15Tevin Coleman (SF)RB
16Julio Jones (ATL)WR
17DeAndre Hopkins (HOU)WR
18Damien Williams (KC)RB
19Brian Hill (ATL)RB
20Devin Singletary (BUF)RB
21Mark Ingram (BAL)RB
22Amari Cooper (DAL)WR
23Joe Mixon (CIN)RB
24Chris Godwin (TB)WR
25Todd Gurley (LAR)RB
26Cooper Kupp (LAR)WR
27Julian Edelman (NE)WR
28D.J. Moore (CAR)WR
29Keenan Allen (LAC)WR
30Travis Kelce (KC)TE
1Ronald Acuna Jr. (ATL)LF,CF
2Nolan Arenado (COL)3B
3Mookie Betts (BOS)CF,RF
4J.D. Martinez (BOS)LF,RF
5Trevor Story (COL)SS
6Justin Verlander (HOU)SP
7Cody Bellinger (LAD)1B,CF
8Trea Turner (WSH)SS
9Alex Bregman (HOU)3B,SS
10Jacob deGrom (NYM)SP
 View All Rankings 
11Max Scherzer (WSH)SP
12Francisco Lindor (CLE)SS
13Gerrit Cole (FA)SP
14Freddie Freeman (ATL)1B
15Javier Baez (CHC)2B,3B
16Charlie Blackmon (COL)CF
17Aaron Judge (NYY)RF,DH
18Juan Soto (WSH)LF
19Anthony Rendon (FA)3B
20Bryce Harper (PHI)CF,RF
21Jose Altuve (HOU)2B
22Xander Bogaerts (BOS)SS
23Starling Marte (PIT)CF
24Walker Buehler (LAD)SP
25Manny Machado (SD)3B,SS
26Anthony Rizzo (CHC)1B
27Kris Bryant (CHC)3B,RF
28Whit Merrifield (KC)1B,2B
29George Springer (HOU)CF,RF
30Paul Goldschmidt (STL)1B
1Anthony Davis (LAL)PF,C
2James Harden (HOU)PG,SG
3Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL)SF,PF
4Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN)C
5Kevin Durant (BKN)SF,PF
6LeBron James (LAL)SF,PF
7Stephen Curry (GSW)PG,SG
8Nikola Jokic (DEN)PF,C
9Damian Lillard (POR)PG
10Russell Westbrook (HOU)PG
 View All Rankings 
11Victor Oladipo (IND)PG,SG
12Paul George (LAC)SF,PF
13Joel Embiid (PHI)PF,C
14Kawhi Leonard (LAC)SG,SF
15Chris Paul (OKC)PG
16Jimmy Butler (MIA)SG,SF
17Kemba Walker (BOS)PG
18Ben Simmons (PHI)PG,SF
19Kyrie Irving (BKN)PG,SG
20Jrue Holiday (NOR)PG,SG
21Rudy Gobert (UTH)C
22Andre Drummond (DET)PF,C
23John Wall (WAS)PG
24Kyle Lowry (TOR)PG
25Donovan Mitchell (UTH)PG,SG
26Khris Middleton (MIL)SG,SF
27Bradley Beal (WAS)SG
28Kevin Love (CLE)PF,C
29Draymond Green (GSW)PF,C
30LaMarcus Aldridge (SAS)PF,C
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