DRAFT NFL Lineup Advice: Week 4
Here’s a look at 10-team DRAFT lineup advice for Week 4 Sunday-only NFL contests. As a reminder, this contest doesn’t include the Thursday game, Sunday night game, or the Monday night game. I provide my rankings per position, a summary of each position, and I conclude the article with a sample draft to give you a sense of how to approach your DRAFT contests.
|1. Patrick Mahomes||KC||@DET||1|
|2. Lamar Jackson||BAL||vs CLE||2|
|3. Russell Wilson||SEA||@ARI||3|
|4. Deshaun Watson||HOU||vs CAR||3|
|5. Philip Rivers||LAC||@MIA||3|
|6. Jared Goff||LAR||vs TB||5|
|7. Matt Ryan||ATL||vs TEN||5|
|8. Matthew Stafford||DET||vs KC||5|
|9. Tom Brady||NE||@BUF||5|
|10. Josh Allen||BUF||vs NE||5|
For some strange reason, DRAFT has Lamar Jackson projected higher than Patrick Mahomes. Mahomes is averaging just under 400 passing yards per game and 3.3 passing touchdowns per game with zero interceptions. I talk about him every week, but he needs to be toward the top of your draft board each and every week. I have him second overall to Christian McCaffrey.
Russell Wilson threw the ball 20 times Week 1 in a game where Cincy dominated time of possession 35-25 minutes. Week 2 saw Wilson’s pass attempts jump up to 35 against the Steelers. Then in Week 3, the Seahawks were trailing the Saints all game and Wilson threw the ball 50 times! This is clearly unsustainable and almost certainly will be his high for the season. In fact, this is the most attempts Russell Wilson has had in a game over his entire career. With Chris Carson fumbling the ball every game, Rashaad Penny banged up, and this defense being about as bad as it has been in his career, Wilson might average 35 passes a game in 2019. You can usually get him in the third round, and sometimes he even slips into the fourth round. He is my top value quarterback on the week, and I will probably end up with the most shares of him at the position.
|1. Christian McCaffrey||CAR||@HOU||1|
|2. Austin Ekeler||LAC||@MIA||1|
|3. Derrick Henry||TEN||@ATL||1|
|4. David Johnson||ARI||vs SEA||2|
|5. Chris Carson||SEA||@ARI||2|
|6. Nick Chubb||CLE||@BAL||2|
|7. Kerryon Johnson||DET||vs KC||2|
|8. Mark Ingram||BAL||vs CLE||2|
|9. Todd Gurley||LAR||vs TB||3|
|10. Dalvin Cook||MIN||@CHI||3|
|11. Marlon Mack||IND||vs OAK||3|
|12. Leonard Fournette||JAX||@DEN||3|
|13. LeSean McCoy||KC||@DET||3|
|14. James White||NE||@BUF||4|
|15. Josh Jacobs||OAK||@IND||4|
|16. Adrian Peterson||WSH||@NYG||4|
|17. Justin Jackson||LAC||@MIA||4|
|18. Devonta Freeman||ATL||vs TEN||5|
|19. David Montgomery||CHI||vs MIN||5|
|20. Phillip Lindsay||DEN||vs JAX||5|
It has been a strange start to the 2019 fantasy season for running backs. There are about 10 running backs that can be trusted week in and week out to be top producers. Outside of these guys, it is a mess. There are timeshare issues, fumble issues, offensive inefficiency issues, and even some talent issues with guys who were drafted to be an RB1 or RB2. I generally like to take running backs early in these contests, but this week is shaping up a little differently.
LeSean McCoy sits at running back 13 for me currently. If Damien Williams is declared out, McCoy would jump into my top 10. If Williams is out and McCoy bumps up to a full practice, I would move him up to running back seven. As it is now, I am comfortable taking him in the late third round or early fourth round. Kansas City at Detroit is a game I am trying to load up on in weekly contests.
Wide Receiver/Tight End
|1. Julio Jones||ATL||vs TEN||1|
|2. DeAndre Hopkins||HOU||vs CAR||1|
|3. Keenan Allen||LAC||@MIA||1|
|4. Sammy Watkins||KC||@DET||1|
|5. Odell Beckham Jr.||CLE||@BAL||1|
|6. Tyler Lockett||SEA||@ARI||1|
|7. Travis Kelce||KC||@DET||2|
|8. Cooper Kupp||LAR||vs TB||2|
|9. Kenny Golladay||DET||vs KC||2|
|10. Brandin Cooks||LAR||vs TB||2|
|11. Julian Edelman||NE||@BUF||3|
|12. Mike Evans||TB||@LAR||3|
|13. Chris Godwin||TB||@LAR||4|
|14. Evan Engram||NYG||vs WSH||4|
|15. Larry Fitzgerald||ARI||vs SEA||4|
|16. Robert Woods||LAR||vs TB||4|
|17. Sterling Shepard||NYG||vs WSH||4|
|18. Terry McLaurin||WSH||@NYG||4|
|19. Calvin Ridley||ATL||vs TEN||5|
|20. Josh Gordon||NE||@BUF||5|
There is a lot to like this week with wide receivers and tight ends. DeAndre Hopkins is projected as the eighth-best wide receiver/tight end this week on DRAFT. He has the potential to blow up at any time for double-digit targets and multiple touchdowns. Snag him in the second round every time you can. I just did a draft where I got Sammy Watkins with the 3.10 pick. This is the only time I have seen him go this late, but he is there at the end of the second or early third fairly often. I have him ranked as a first-round pick, but you don’t need to take him there most of the time. Kenny Golladay is the number one receiver in a Detroit offense that should be able to move the ball (and will likely need to) against a porous Kansas City defense. Like Watkins, I don’t have to take him where I have him ranked. He is often available in the fourth round, but I have taken him in the third when I don’t like any of the other options available.
It is a week where my rankings are very different than the DRAFT projections and the average draft positions I am seeing. Because of this, I find myself taking running backs earlier than I have them ranked and waiting to get receivers until the third, fourth, or even fifth rounds in some drafts. This is where you need to decide if you want to follow your rankings to a tee or take other players early if you think you have a high probability to get your top-ranked guy in the next round.
My pick: 10th
2nd round – DeAndre Hopkins (WR – HOU)
Hopkins was the consensus WR1 in season-long drafts this year for a reason. Take him at his discount this week.
3rd round – Sammy Watkins (WR – KC)
I was shocked that Watkins fell all the way to the bottom of the third round. Detroit’s top cornerback Darius Slay is banged up at best and could potentially miss this game Sunday.
4th round – LeSean McCoy (RB – KC)
It is very annoying that McCoy has four capital letters in his name, but he is a great option this week with Williams banged up (Williams missed practice Wednesday).
5th round – Matthew Stafford (QB – DET)
Stafford has looked good this year, and he should be in a position to throw the ball 35-40 times this weekend.