FanDuel NFL Lineup Advice: Week 4 (Full Slate)
We’re back at it again with another week of NFL action ahead. This article offers lineup advice for the full Thursday-Monday slate on FanDuel, which covers every single NFL game this week starting with PHI @ GB on Thursday night.
Matthew Stafford (DET): $6,900 vs. KC
At $6.9K, Stafford is sitting at a pretty nice value in a home matchup with Kansas City. This game has the highest expected total of the week with a 54.0 O/U, and while Kansas City is a -6 favorite, the projected outcomes call for a pass-heavy Detroit approach. Stafford’s pass attempts and point totals have been low over the last two weeks, but he threw 45 times in Week 1 and put up 27.6 points. Kansas City is tied for the seventh-most pass attempts against this season and a big reason for that is their offense’s ability to put up big point totals early and force teams to chase. The Chiefs haven’t faced a quarterback as seasoned or with as big an arm as Stafford yet, and the Georgia gunslinger should put up solid production in an attempt to keep pace with Patrick Mahomes and this Kansas City offense.
Also Consider: Dak Prescott (DAL): $8,400 @ NO
Austin Ekeler (LAC): $8,100 @ MIA
Miami is a -16.5 home dog in this one, which are actually the best odds Vegas has given them since Week 1. While Miami fans might be celebrating their team’s great odds (at beating the spread), the current state of the Dolphins makes for excellent fantasy production on the other side.
Miami has been steamrolled by opposing running backs, allowing 624 rushing yards through three games, the highest in the league by over 100 yards. They’ve also faced 115 rush attempts, 12 more than the next highest team. Ekeler had 16 touches last week and could be in line for even more high-quality touches on Sunday as the Chargers take advantage of a cupcake matchup.
James Conner (PIT): $6,900 vs. CIN
Miami may be the worst in every category against running backs, but Cincinnati is right behind them at second worst everywhere. The Bengals have allowed the second-most rushing yards, rush attempts, and FanDuel points per game. Pittsburgh is a -4 home favorite in this one, and they will need to focus on feeding Conner and keeping the game out of Mason Rudolph’s hands if they hope to win. Poor performances early in the season have depressed Conner’s price significantly, and he’s in a prime position to bounce back this week.
Amari Cooper (DAL): $7,900 @ NO
Cooper and the Cowboys have benefitted from a soft early-season schedule, and the good times should continue this week as America’s team heads to the Superdome for a date with the Drew Brees-less Saints. The Saints have allowed the third-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season along with the second-most receiving yards to wide receivers. With Michael Gallup injured, Dak Prescott will need to rely heavily on Cooper through the air, as he lacks other reliable targets. Cooper’s put up big numbers through the first three weeks and shows no signs of slowing down in a juicy matchup with New Orleans.
Davante Adams (GB): $8,000 vs. PHI
Adams has disappointed thus far, but he hasn’t had it easy, with matchups against Chicago, Minnesota, and Denver through the first three weeks. Adams finally gets some reprieve this week, as Green Bay welcomes a struggling Philadelphia secondary into Lambeau Field. The Eagles’ defense has allowed the fourth-most FanDuel points to opposing wide receivers along with the fourth-most passing yards in the NFL.
Adams has a similar situation to Mike Evans last week. Evans had struggled in his first two games, which caused many owners to avoid an elite receiver in an excellent matchup and miss out on a big performance. We could see similar results from Adams this week, making him a good option to pay up for in GPP play, as I suspect most owners will go after Keenan Allen ($8,100) or the aforementioned Amari Cooper ($7,900) at similar prices instead of Adams.
Kenny Golladay (DET): $6,700 vs. KC
Golladay was a huge let down in Week 3, hauling in just two catches for 17 yards in a shootout with Philadelphia. Marvin Jones saw much of the production in Detroit with 101 yards and a touchdown opposite Golladay. Even with this disparity in results, Jones had just one more target than Golladay and only one more red-zone target. Golladay’s involvement has consistently been higher than Jones’, making Golladay the receiver to trust in a stack with Matthew Stafford.
Will Dissly (SEA): $5,400 @ ARI
Dissly is a bargain at this price given his previous two weeks. He’s had 12 targets, 112 yards, and three touchdowns over his last two games, and is quickly emerging as one of Russell Wilson’s favorite targets underneath. 75% of his targets have been underneath, which has helped Dissly maintain an 86% catch rate on his targets.
He is also tied for the team lead in red-zone targets, meaning Dissly will have plenty of opportunities against a team that has allowed 25.4 FanDuel points per game to opposing tight ends. Arizona isn’t just the worst team against tight ends, but they’ve allowed 10.6 more points per game than the next-worst team. At this price, Dissly is a great option for either cash or GPP games.
Wayne Gallman (NYG): $5,800 vs. WAS
With Saquon Barkley on the shelf, Gallman steps up as New York’s primary ball carrier. Obviously, Gallman won’t produce near the level of Barkley, but he still draws a soft matchup this week against Washington. Washington has allowed the fourth-most rushing yards this season along with 4.8 yards per carry. A lot of attention will surround Daniel Jones in this one, but as a rare favorite, the Giants may elect to keep the ball on the ground and attack Washington where it’s weakest, through the run. Even if the Giants elect to let it fly, they should be in for a solid day all around on offense, making Gallman a nice value play at flex or as an RB2.
Minnesota Vikings: $4,000 @ CHI
This game has one of the lowest totals of the week at 39.0 and, with Chicago a slight -2.5 home favorite, it’s a wonder why the Bears’ defense costs $4,700 while the Vikings cost just $4,000. Perhaps it’s because the Bears’ offense has only committed two turnovers, while the Vikings’ offense has committed four. Even considering that turnover gap, the Bears have only averaged 16.7 points per game and are averaging a measly 4.6 yards per play, third lowest in the league. Conversely, the Vikings have scored 26 points per game and averaged the seventh-most yards per play. This should be a low-scoring, back-and-forth game and we can get one of the defenses at a great price against an underperforming offense that’s only showed signs of life against a pitiful Washington defense.
Also Consider: Denver Broncos: $4,100 vs. JAC