10 Bold Predictions for Week 6 Fantasy Football
Last year in Week 6, Albert Wilson scored 30 fantasy points and Cole Beasley wasn’t far behind him. Meanwhile, Mitch Trubisky outscored Patrick Mahomes and Brock Osweiler outscored Cam Newton, Andrew Luck, Tom Brady and Russell Wilson.
The point is that while everything you are about to read may seem crazy, this is a league where crazy things happen every week. I am merely trying to forecast which scenarios are possible in advance like last week when we hyped up Carolina’s defense and Will Fuller.
I’ll be posting this article every Saturday, and while these are all players I feel strongly about for the week, these are not my projections by any means. Rather, a bold prediction is something that most people would say has less than 10% chance of happening, but I’ll give it two or even three times better odds. So perhaps use one of these guys in a DFS GPP or if you need help breaking a tie on a start/sit decision. By the way, here is my new weekly article called Quick Grades. It has all my start/sit recommendations in a quick-hitting format.
#1 Dede Westbrook catches 10 balls for 100+ yards
If you thought Minshew Mania was already nuts, just wait until this week when he takes on the Saints’ shoddy secondary. After all, he has compiled 16+ fantasy points against the Texans, Titans, Broncos and Panthers tough defenses thus far. D.J. Chark is Gardner’s clear #1, but he’ll presumably be shadowed the entire game by Marshon Lattimore who just got done holding Mike Evans to 0 yards and Amari Cooper to by far his worst game of the season. So if Minshew is going to rack up fantasy points, you can expect them to go Westbrook’s way, as he lines up in the slot which is the weakest part of the Saints defense. Not only that, but Westbrook actually has more targets on the season than JuJu Smith-Schuster, Tyler Lockett and Adam Thielen.
Final Prediction: 14 targets, 10 receptions, 126 yards
#2 Le’Veon Bell will finish as a top 2 fantasy back
Remember when Aaron Jones went for 40+ fantasy points last week? That came against a Cowboys defense who might just be more vulnerable to the run than previously expected. More importantly, though, Bell is immune to game scripts, having touched the ball 23, 31, 22 and 22 times in his four games this season. Eventually all of those touches will add up into a huge fantasy performance and it could be this week with Sam Darnold back for New York.
Final Prediction: 19 carries, 80 yds, 2 TDs, 8 rec, 72 yds, 1 TD
#3 Dak Prescott won’t be a top 20 fantasy QB this week
This is nothing against Dak, as he has been nothing sort of excellent this season, but he is now without Tyron Smith and La’el Collins who might be two of the top three tackles in the NFL. The Jets don’t exactly have a bad defense either, although it unsurprisingly seemed to way versus the Patriots and Eagles, who pile up points no matter who they play.
Final Prediction: 18 for 29, 231 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT
#4 Preston Williams will end up a top 20 wide receiver
The Dolphins haven’t been able to get anything going on offense this season but they have also gone up against four strong defenses to open the season. This week will be an entirely different story when they welcome in Washington’s bottom-tier defense. Williams is an extremely talented rookie and now has 19 targets in two weeks since Josh Rosen took over.
Final Prediction: 9 targets, 8 receptions, 92 yards, 1 TD
#5 Kyler Murray will outscore Patrick Mahomes
Don’t hear me wrong, Mahomes is a killer play this week with an excellent matchup in an expected shootout against Houston, but he has a sprained ankle and is going up against a stellar pass rush. That isn’t a great combination, especially if Houston plays man to man which appears to be the blueprint while Tyreek is out. Meanwhile, Kyler has been tremendous despite an unsustainably low 2.0% TD-rate and despite four very difficult matchups already behind him. He should run wild on the Falcons and air it out 40+ times in a high-scoring up-tempo contest.
Final Prediction: Kyler (24/43, 304 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 9 carries, 72 yds, 1 TD), Mahomes (23/36, 298 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT)
The Other Half
#6 Kerryon Johnson will race for 150+ yards (Green Bay’s run defense has been abysmal)
Final Prediction: 23 carries, 152 yards, 2 TDs, 1 rec, 4 yds
#7 Olabisi Johnson will end up in the top 30 fantasy wideouts (now the clear #3 in MIN + great matchup)
Final Prediction: 4 receptions, 62 yards, 1 TD
#8 Jordan Akins will finish as a top 10 tight end (great matchup & game script)
Final Prediction: 5 targets, 4 receptions, 46 yards, 1 TD
#9 Kenyan Drake will be a top 15 fantasy back (clear lead-back now with Ballage fading + perfect matchup)
Final Prediction: 13 carries, 65 yds, 5 rec, 52 yds, 1 TD
Thanks for reading and happy football season!