Last year in Week 7, Kapri Bibbs and T.J. Yeldon outscored Christian McCaffrey and Ezekiel Elliott. Mitch Trubisky also went for 31 fantasy points while Deshaun Watson finished with less than a third of that. Michael Roberts outscored George Kittle, Zach Ertz and Travis Kelce at the tight end position.
The point is that while everything you are about to read may seem crazy, this is a league where crazy things happen every week. I am merely trying to forecast which scenarios are possible in advance like last week when we hyped up Kyler Murray over Patrick Mahomes.
I’ll be posting this article every Saturday, and while these are all players I feel strongly about for the week, these are not my projections by any means. Rather, a bold prediction is something that most people would say has less than 10% chance of happening, but I’ll give it two or even three times better odds. So perhaps use one of these guys in a DFS GPP or if you need help breaking a tie on a start/sit decision. By the way, here is my new weekly article called Quick Grades. It has all my start/sit recommendations in a quick-hitting format.
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#1 Josh Jacobs will end up in the top 5 fantasy backs
Three weeks ago Jacobs told us that he had lost 10 pounds from a debilitating stomach bug. He went on to rush just 10 times for 44 total yards. The week before, while he was in the middle of the illness, he was given just 12 carries, but still managed 99 yards. Besides that, he has seen 24, 19 and 29 touches for 100+ yards in all three games. That is much more along the lines of what we should expect this week in a smash matchup against the Packers’ lousy run defense.
Final Prediction: 18 carries, 82 yds, 1 TD, 4 rec, 45 yds, 1 TD
#2 Dawson Knox will finish among the top 5 tight ends
If you lost Will Dissly, you are in a rough spot at tight end this weekend because after the big eight, the position is ugly for fantasy purposes. Many in this situation will turn to Jared Cook against Chicago (don’t) or T.J. Hockenson versus Minnesota (double don’t). Jimmy Graham makes for a great option with all of the receivers banged up, but assuming you can’t snag him, Knox is a perfect sleeper this week. Vegas had the Bills implied for 29 points against the Dolphins so I want as much exposure to this offense as I can get.
Final Prediction: 6 targets, 5 receptions, 70 yards, 2 TDs
#3 Jakobi Meyers will be the #1 waiver wire pickup Tuesday
Meyers was exceptional in limited snaps last Thursday and should get a bump in snaps and targets with Josh Gordon and Phillip Dorsett expected out. His film has been tremendous even back to the preseason so it is no wonder the Patriots moved on from Demaryius Thomas for him. The breakout is coming sooner or later and my money is on this week against the Jets.
Final Prediction: 7 targets, 7 receptions, 84 yards, 2 TDs
#4 James White will finish the week as an RB1
Speaking of the Patriots, White is going to play a big role with Gordon, Dorsett and James Develin all out. Not only has White seen 9+ targets in each of the last three weeks, but we know he will get carries as well. Last year’s top 12 fantasy back has been slow in the touchdown department to start the season, but that will surely catch up in time.
Final Prediction: 4 carries, 21 yds, 11 targets, 9 receptions, 78 yds, 2 TDs
#5 Allen Lazard will go for over 100 yards
Devante Adams is out this week, Geronimo Allison is doubtful and you may have missed it, but even Marquez Valdes-Scantling is questionable. Lazard will be on the field against a pass funnel defense and you’d better believe Aaron Rodgers will get his points regardless in this tasty matchup against the Raiders. Perhaps most importantly, Aaron Rodgers has made it clear that he loves himself some Lazard and we all know how important rapport with Rodgers is.
Final Prediction: 9 targets, 7 receptions, 106 yards, 1 TD
The Other Half
#6 Andy Dalton will be a top 10 fantasy QB (JAC’s secondary has been mediocre even with Jalen Ramsey)
Final Prediction: 28 for 44, 309 yards, 2 TDs, 0 INT
#7 Devin Singletary will end up in the top 15 RBs (fully healed, plus matchup, super efficient so far)
Final Prediction: 11 carries, 90 yds, 1 TD, 3 receptions, 24 yds
#8 Dallas Goedert will finish as a top 8 TE (He has been playing more snaps than even Mark Andrews the last three weeks)
Final Prediction:
#9 The Giants D/ST will be among the top 8 (They have five straight weeks with 3+ sacks)
Final Prediction: 27 points allowed, 5 sacks, 2 FF, 1 INT, 1 TD
#10 Mike Williams will surpass 120 yards (Leads the NFL in air yards over the last two weeks)
Final Prediction: 10 targets, 6 receptions, 129 yards, 1 TD
Thanks for reading and happy football season!
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