DRAFT NFL Lineup Advice: Week 5
Here’s a look at 10 team DRAFT lineup advice for Week 5 Sunday Only NFL contests. As a reminder, this contest doesn’t include the Thursday game, Sunday night game or the Monday night game. I provide my rankings per position, a summary of each position and I conclude the article with a sample draft to give you a sense of how to approach your DRAFT contests.
|1. Aaron Rodgers||GB||@DAL||4|
|2. Lamar Jackson||BAL||@PIT||4|
|3. Tom Brady||NE||@WSH||4|
|4. Deshaun Watson||HOU||vs ATL||4|
|5. Carson Wentz||PHI||vs NYJ||5|
|6. Matt Ryan||ATL||@HOU||5|
|7. Dak Prescott||DAL||vs GB||5|
|8. Jameis Winston||TB||@NO||5|
|9. Kyler Murray||ARI||@CIN||5|
|10. Philip Rivers||LAC||vs DEN||5|
Aaron Rodgers came to life in Week 4 against the Eagles hapless secondary. It should have been an even bigger game from Rodgers, but he turned the ball over twice and Green Bay stalled in the red zone several times. This is exactly the M.O. of the Eagles defense. Bend but don’t break and take the ball away. The Cowboys defense has done a good job of shutting down opposing offenses, but their competition has been very weak to this point. The Cowboys have played the (Eli Manning) Giants, the Redskins, the Dolphins and the (Teddy Bridgewater) Saints. I expect this game to be a bit of a shootout and I expect Rodgers to throw the ball 35+ times. I will take Rodgers in the fourth round until I’m up to about 40% exposure in my lineups this week.
This is a week where I wait on quarterback. Nobody truly jumps out as a must play and I trust all ten of my top guys this week as good plays. I will take any of my top four in the fourth round or wait to take my top remaining guy in the fifth round.
|1. Ezekiel Elliott||DAL||vs GB||1|
|2. David Johnson||ARI||@CIN||1|
|3. Dalvin Cook||MIN||@NYG||1|
|4. Christian McCaffrey||CAR||vs JAX||1|
|5. Alvin Kamara||NO||vs TB||1|
|6. Derrick Henry||TEN||vs BUF||2|
|7. Mark Ingram||BAL||@PIT||2|
|8. Melvin Gordon||LAC||vs DEN||2|
|9. James Conner||PIT||vs BAL||2|
|10. Joe Mixon||CIN||vs ARI||2|
|11. Leonard Fournette||JAX||@CAR||2|
|12. Le’Veon Bell||NYJ||@PHI||2|
|13. Aaron Jones||GB||@DAL||2|
|14. David Montgomery||CHI||@OAK||3|
|15. Jordan Howard||PHI||vs NYJ||3|
|16. Sony Michel||NE||@WSH||3|
|17. Devonta Freeman||ATL||@HOU||3|
|18. Austin Ekeler||LAC||vs DEN||3|
|19. James White||NE||@WSH||5|
|20. Wayne Gallman||NYG||vs MIN||5|
Last week the Philadelphia Eagles stomped all over the Packers in Green Bay with Jordan Howard and Miles Sanders totaling 159 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 26 carries. Ezekiel Elliott should get the feast he’s been craving all season when he faces the Packers in Dallas this weekend. I expect at least 20 carries and three targets. The Packers have given up the third most fantasy points per game to running backs. They have also given up the 31st most to quarterbacks, 31st most to wide receivers and the 26th most to tight ends. They haven’t faced very good offenses yet, but there is a clear way to beat them. Zeke is my number one overall pick this week.
Wide Receiver/ Tight End
|1. Julio Jones||ATL||@HOU||1|
|2. DeAndre Hopkins||HOU||vs ATL||1|
|3. Michael Thomas||NO||vs TB||1|
|4. Keenan Allen||LAC||vs DEN||1|
|5. Chris Godwin||TB||@NO||1|
|6. Mike Evans||TB||@NO||2|
|7. Tyler Boyd||CIN||vs ARI||2|
|8. Julian Edelman||NE||@WSH||3|
|9. Amari Cooper||DAL||vs GB||3|
|10. Josh Gordon||NE||@WSH||3|
|11. Allen Robinson||CHI||@OAK||3|
|12. Larry Fitzgerald||ARI||@CIN||3|
|13. Alshon Jeffery||PHI||vs NYJ||4|
|14. JuJu Smith-Schuster||PIT||vs BAL||4|
|15. Curtis Samuel||CAR||vs JAX||4|
|16. Evan Engram||NYG||vs MIN||4|
|17. Adam Thielen||MIN||@NYG||4|
|18. Calvin Ridley||ATL||@HOU||4|
|19. Marquise Brown||BAL||@PIT||5|
|20. Stefon Diggs||MIN||@NYG||5|
The Falcons and Texans have the second highest over/under in Week 5. Both teams are below average against wide receivers. I hope that we see a little showmanship between Julio Jones and Deandre Hopkins in Houston. Julio and Hopkins come in at 8th and 11th in air yards per game. It hasn’t translated to fantasy points for Hopkins yet, but it’s coming. I have Julio and Nuk Hopkins ranked sixth and seventh overall behind the top five running backs.
I’m generally taking wide receivers in the late first or late second round depending on my draft spot. There are several wide receivers that I have ranked in the third round but can easily get in the fourth or fifth. Julian Edelman and Allen Robinson are often available in the fourth round. Josh Gordon and Alshon Jeffery are usually still there in the fifth round.
My pick: 7th
1st round – Julio Jones (WR – ATL)
With my top five running backs off the board, Julio is my top option.
2nd round – Derrick Henry (RB – TEN)
Henry faces off against the Bills this week. They are about average in defense vs running backs and are lights out against quarterbacks, wide receivers and tight ends. Henry should see lots of volume.
3rd round – James Conner (RB – PIT)
Conner has not practiced Wednesday or Thursday this week. This pick somewhat hinges on Samuels not being drafted very often in my early drafts. If Conner is announced out I just switch in Samuels.
4th round – Aaron Rodgers (QB – GB)
This is my spot to take a QB and Rodgers is almost always my only quarterback left from my top four.
5th round – Josh Gordon (WR – NE)
Last week Gordon had to deal with the Bills and their elite secondary. In Week 2 the Pats played the Dolphins and Brady only threw the ball 28 times in a blowout. In Week 3 against the Jets, Gordon was targeted 11 times and finished with six receptions for 83 yards. Gordon and the Pats will visit the Redskins in Week 5. They have allowed the second-most fantasy points to wide receivers in the entire NFL and they are about average against running backs. Expect Belichick and Brady to target the Redskins weakness until this game is put away.