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DRAFT NFL Lineup Advice: Week 5

Oct 4, 2019

It may make sense to wait at quarterback this weekend

Here’s a look at 10 team DRAFT lineup advice for Week 5 Sunday Only NFL contests. As a reminder, this contest doesn’t include the Thursday game, Sunday night game or the Monday night game. I provide my rankings per position, a summary of each position and I conclude the article with a sample draft to give you a sense of how to approach your DRAFT contests.

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Quarterback

Player Team Opponent Round
1. Aaron Rodgers GB @DAL 4
2. Lamar Jackson BAL @PIT 4
3. Tom Brady NE @WSH 4
4. Deshaun Watson HOU vs ATL 4
5. Carson Wentz PHI vs NYJ 5
6. Matt Ryan ATL @HOU 5
7. Dak Prescott DAL vs GB 5
8. Jameis Winston TB @NO 5
9. Kyler Murray ARI @CIN 5
10. Philip Rivers LAC vs DEN 5

 
Aaron Rodgers came to life in Week 4 against the Eagles hapless secondary. It should have been an even bigger game from Rodgers, but he turned the ball over twice and Green Bay stalled in the red zone several times. This is exactly the M.O. of the Eagles defense. Bend but don’t break and take the ball away. The Cowboys defense has done a good job of shutting down opposing offenses, but their competition has been very weak to this point. The Cowboys have played the (Eli Manning) Giants, the Redskins, the Dolphins and the (Teddy Bridgewater) Saints. I expect this game to be a bit of a shootout and I expect Rodgers to throw the ball 35+ times. I will take Rodgers in the fourth round until I’m up to about 40% exposure in my lineups this week.

This is a week where I wait on quarterback. Nobody truly jumps out as a must play and I trust all ten of my top guys this week as good plays. I will take any of my top four in the fourth round or wait to take my top remaining guy in the fifth round.

Running Back

Player Team Opponent Round
1. Ezekiel Elliott DAL vs GB 1
2. David Johnson ARI @CIN 1
3. Dalvin Cook MIN @NYG 1
4. Christian McCaffrey CAR vs JAX 1
5. Alvin Kamara NO vs TB 1
6. Derrick Henry TEN vs BUF 2
7. Mark Ingram BAL @PIT 2
8. Melvin Gordon LAC vs DEN 2
9. James Conner PIT vs BAL 2
10. Joe Mixon CIN vs ARI 2
11. Leonard Fournette JAX @CAR 2
12. Le’Veon Bell NYJ @PHI 2
13. Aaron Jones GB @DAL 2
14. David Montgomery CHI @OAK 3
15. Jordan Howard PHI vs NYJ 3
16. Sony Michel NE @WSH 3
17. Devonta Freeman ATL @HOU 3
18. Austin Ekeler LAC vs DEN 3
19. James White NE @WSH 5
20. Wayne Gallman NYG vs MIN 5

 
Last week the Philadelphia Eagles stomped all over the Packers in Green Bay with Jordan Howard and Miles Sanders totaling 159 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 26 carries. Ezekiel Elliott should get the feast he’s been craving all season when he faces the Packers in Dallas this weekend. I expect at least 20 carries and three targets. The Packers have given up the third most fantasy points per game to running backs. They have also given up the 31st most to quarterbacks, 31st most to wide receivers and the 26th most to tight ends. They haven’t faced very good offenses yet, but there is a clear way to beat them. Zeke is my number one overall pick this week.

Wide Receiver/ Tight End

Player Team Opponent Round
1. Julio Jones ATL @HOU 1
2. DeAndre Hopkins HOU vs ATL 1
3. Michael Thomas NO vs TB 1
4. Keenan Allen LAC vs DEN 1
5. Chris Godwin TB @NO 1
6. Mike Evans TB @NO 2
7. Tyler Boyd CIN vs ARI 2
8. Julian Edelman NE @WSH 3
9. Amari Cooper DAL vs GB 3
10. Josh Gordon NE @WSH 3
11. Allen Robinson CHI @OAK 3
12. Larry Fitzgerald ARI @CIN 3
13. Alshon Jeffery PHI vs NYJ 4
14. JuJu Smith-Schuster PIT vs BAL 4
15. Curtis Samuel CAR vs JAX 4
16. Evan Engram NYG vs MIN 4
17. Adam Thielen MIN @NYG 4
18. Calvin Ridley ATL @HOU 4
19. Marquise Brown BAL @PIT 5
20. Stefon Diggs MIN @NYG 5

 
The Falcons and Texans have the second highest over/under in Week 5. Both teams are below average against wide receivers. I hope that we see a little showmanship between Julio Jones and Deandre Hopkins in Houston. Julio and Hopkins come in at 8th and 11th in air yards per game. It hasn’t translated to fantasy points for Hopkins yet, but it’s coming. I have Julio and Nuk Hopkins ranked sixth and seventh overall behind the top five running backs.

I’m generally taking wide receivers in the late first or late second round depending on my draft spot. There are several wide receivers that I have ranked in the third round but can easily get in the fourth or fifth. Julian Edelman and Allen Robinson are often available in the fourth round. Josh Gordon and Alshon Jeffery are usually still there in the fifth round.

Sample Draft

My pick: 7th

1st round – Julio Jones (WR – ATL)
With my top five running backs off the board, Julio is my top option.

2nd round – Derrick Henry (RB – TEN)
Henry faces off against the Bills this week. They are about average in defense vs running backs and are lights out against quarterbacks, wide receivers and tight ends. Henry should see lots of volume.

3rd round – James Conner (RB – PIT)
Conner has not practiced Wednesday or Thursday this week. This pick somewhat hinges on Samuels not being drafted very often in my early drafts. If Conner is announced out I just switch in Samuels.

4th round – Aaron Rodgers (QB – GB)
This is my spot to take a QB and Rodgers is almost always my only quarterback left from my top four.

5th round – Josh Gordon (WR – NE)
Last week Gordon had to deal with the Bills and their elite secondary. In Week 2 the Pats played the Dolphins and Brady only threw the ball 28 times in a blowout. In Week 3 against the Jets, Gordon was targeted 11 times and finished with six receptions for 83 yards. Gordon and the Pats will visit the Redskins in Week 5. They have allowed the second-most fantasy points to wide receivers in the entire NFL and they are about average against running backs. Expect Belichick and Brady to target the Redskins weakness until this game is put away.

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Steven Roy is a featured writer for FantasyPros. For more from Steven, check out his archive and follow him on Twitter @Rockhead_Roy.

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1Christian McCaffrey (CAR)RB
2Dalvin Cook (MIN)RB
3Ezekiel Elliott (DAL)RB
4Josh Jacobs (OAK)RB
5Leonard Fournette (JAC)RB
6Melvin Gordon (LAC)RB
7Tyreek Hill (KC)WR
8Nick Chubb (CLE)RB
9Michael Thomas (NO)WR
10Alvin Kamara (NO)RB
 View all Flex Rankings 
11James Conner (PIT)RB
12DeAndre Hopkins (HOU)WR
13Marlon Mack (IND)RB
14Le'Veon Bell (NYJ)RB
15Mike Evans (TB)WR
16Tevin Coleman (SF)RB
17Julio Jones (ATL)WR
18Damien Williams (KC)RB
19Mark Ingram (BAL)RB
20Brian Hill (ATL)RB
21Devin Singletary (BUF)RB
22Chris Godwin (TB)WR
23Amari Cooper (DAL)WR
24Todd Gurley (LAR)RB
25Cooper Kupp (LAR)WR
26Joe Mixon (CIN)RB
27Julian Edelman (NE)WR
28D.J. Moore (CAR)WR
29Keenan Allen (LAC)WR
30Travis Kelce (KC)TE
1Ronald Acuna Jr. (ATL)LF,CF
2Nolan Arenado (COL)3B
3Mookie Betts (BOS)CF,RF
4J.D. Martinez (BOS)LF,RF
5Trevor Story (COL)SS
6Justin Verlander (HOU)SP
7Cody Bellinger (LAD)1B,CF
8Trea Turner (WSH)SS
9Alex Bregman (HOU)3B,SS
10Jacob deGrom (NYM)SP
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11Max Scherzer (WSH)SP
12Francisco Lindor (CLE)SS
13Gerrit Cole (FA)SP
14Freddie Freeman (ATL)1B
15Javier Baez (CHC)2B,3B
16Charlie Blackmon (COL)CF
17Aaron Judge (NYY)RF,DH
18Juan Soto (WSH)LF
19Anthony Rendon (FA)3B
20Bryce Harper (PHI)CF,RF
21Jose Altuve (HOU)2B
22Xander Bogaerts (BOS)SS
23Starling Marte (PIT)CF
24Walker Buehler (LAD)SP
25Manny Machado (SD)3B,SS
26Anthony Rizzo (CHC)1B
27Kris Bryant (CHC)3B,RF
28Whit Merrifield (KC)1B,2B
29George Springer (HOU)CF,RF
30Paul Goldschmidt (STL)1B
1Anthony Davis (LAL)PF,C
2James Harden (HOU)PG,SG
3Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN)C
4Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL)SF,PF
5Kevin Durant (BKN)SF,PF
6LeBron James (LAL)SF,PF
7Stephen Curry (GSW)PG,SG
8Russell Westbrook (HOU)PG
9Damian Lillard (POR)PG
10Kawhi Leonard (LAC)SG,SF
 View All Rankings 
11Joel Embiid (PHI)PF,C
12Nikola Jokic (DEN)PF,C
13Victor Oladipo (IND)PG,SG
14Paul George (LAC)SF,PF
15Kyrie Irving (BKN)PG,SG
16Chris Paul (OKC)PG
17Jrue Holiday (NOR)PG,SG
18Kemba Walker (BOS)PG
19Ben Simmons (PHI)PG,SF
20Jimmy Butler (MIA)SG,SF
21Kyle Lowry (TOR)PG
22John Wall (WAS)PG
23Donovan Mitchell (UTH)PG,SG
24Andre Drummond (DET)PF,C
25Rudy Gobert (UTH)C
26Bradley Beal (WAS)SG
27Khris Middleton (MIL)SG,SF
28Kevin Love (CLE)PF,C
29LaMarcus Aldridge (SAS)PF,C
30Draymond Green (GSW)PF,C
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