DRAFT NFL Lineup Advice: Week 6
Here’s a look at 10 team DRAFT lineup advice for Week 6 Sunday Only NFL contests. As a reminder, this contest doesn’t include the Thursday game, Sunday night game or the Monday night game. I provide my rankings per position, a summary of each position and I conclude the article with a sample draft to give you a sense of how to approach your DRAFT contests.
|1. Patrick Mahomes||KC||vs HOU||2|
|2. Deshaun Watson||HOU||@KC||2|
|3. Matt Ryan||ATL||@ARI||3|
|4. Kyler Murray||ARI||vs ATL||3|
|5. Lamar Jackson||BAL||vs CIN||4|
|6. Dak Prescott||DAL||@NYJ||4|
|7. Russell Wilson||SEA||@CLE||4|
|8. Kirk Cousins||MIN||vs PHI||5|
|9. Jared Goff||LAR||vs SF||5|
|10. Gardner Minshew||JAX||vs NO||5|
My top four quarterbacks all come from two games. Patrick Mahomes and Deshaun Watson go head to head in Week 6 and they should both come out slinging. Houston’s offense came to life last week against the Falcons and we should expect them to put up big numbers again this week as they will likely have to in order to keep up with Mahomes and the Chiefs. There looks to be a pretty good chance Mahomes gets Tyreek Hill back this week. Even without Tyreek Hill, Mahomes is my number one pick at quarterback. With him, Mahomes probably moves up to a first round pick for me.
Matt Ryan and Kyler Murray come in as my number three and four quarterbacks in Week 6. Both of these defenses have been torched through the air so far in 2019. The weaknesses of the defenses match up very well with the strengths of the opponent’s offense too. Last week the Bengals tight ends didn’t have much success, but before this game the Cardinals gave up huge performances each and every week. In weeks 1-4 the Cardinals gave up the overall TE2, TE1, TE1, and TE3 performances. Austin Hooper has been a big part of this offense and he is in a blow up spot this week. The Falcons defense is especially weak against wide receivers and the Cardinals should be able to expose this with Larry Fitzgerald and whoever plays alongside him on Sunday.
|1. Ezekiel Elliott||DAL||@NYJ||1|
|2. Alvin Kamara||NO||@JAX||1|
|3. Dalvin Cook||MIN||vs PHI||1|
|4. Le’Veon Bell||NYJ||vs DAL||1|
|5. Nick Chubb||CLE||vs SEA||1|
|6. Chris Carson||SEA||@CLE||1|
|7. Leonard Fournette||JAX||vs NO||1|
|8. Mark Ingram||BAL||vs CIN||1|
|9. Derrick Henry||TEN||@DEN||2|
|10. Phillip Lindsay||DEN||vs TEN||2|
|11. Joe Mixon||CIN||@BAL||2|
|12. Todd Gurley||LAR||vs SF||3|
|13. David Johnson||ARI||vs ATL||3|
|14. Devonta Freeman||ATL||@ARI||4|
|15. Damien Williams||KC||vs HOU||4|
|16. LeSean McCoy||KC||vs HOU||4|
|17. Carlos Hyde||HOU||@KC||5|
|18. Duke Johnson||HOU||@KC||5|
|19. Adrian Peterson||WSH||@MIA||5|
|20. Kenyan Drake||MIA||vs WSH||5|
The top eight running backs are all averaging at least 20 looks (rushing attempts + targets) per game except for Mark Ingram. Mark Ingram doesn’t get the same volume as the rest of this group, but with the Ravens being large favorites he comes in as a first round pick for me due to multi-touchdown upside. The Ravens get the Bengals this week, who have been awful against the run.
If I take zero running backs in the first two rounds, I will try to take Todd Gurley or David Johnson in the third round. I then try to take Devonta Freeman or a running back from the Texans and Chiefs game in the fourth or fifth round.
If I take one running back in the first two rounds I will select another position in the third round and wait until the fourth or fifth round and take my highest ranked running back.
Wide Receiver/ Tight End
|1. Michael Thomas||NO||@JAX||1|
|2. Julio Jones||ATL||@ARI||1|
|3. Cooper Kupp||LAR||vs SF||2|
|4. DeAndre Hopkins||HOU||@KC||2|
|5. Amari Cooper||DAL||@NYJ||2|
|6. Adam Thielen||MIN||vs PHI||2|
|7. Tyler Lockett||SEA||@CLE||2|
|8. Odell Beckham Jr.||CLE||vs SEA||3|
|9. Travis Kelce||KC||vs HOU||3|
|10. George Kittle||SF||@LAR||3|
|11. Tyreek Hill||KC||vs HOU||3|
|12. Tyler Boyd||CIN||@BAL||3|
|13. Will Fuller||HOU||@KC||3|
|14. Austin Hooper||ATL||@ARI||4|
|15. Robert Woods||LAR||vs SF||4|
|16. Will Dissly||SEA||@CLE||4|
|17. Stefon Diggs||MIN||vs PHI||4|
|18. Calvin Ridley||ATL||@ARI||5|
|19. D.J. Chark||JAX||vs NO||5|
|20. Larry Fitzgerald||ARI||vs ATL||5|
Last week Julio Jones and Deandre Hopkins disappointed in a high scoring game. Will Fuller scored all of the fantasy points for the Texans, while Matt Ryan spread the ball out and Julio disappeared in the second half. Julio’s disappearance in the second half was likely due to the hip problem that kept him out of practice Wednesday. He got in a limited practice Thursday and should be good to go. Both Hopkins and Julio are in a terrific spot again this week in games with high over/unders. Julio is an end of the first round pick for me and Hopkins is an early second round pick. It’s just a matter of time until these guys go off for double digit catches, big yardage and multiple touchdowns. Get some exposure to these two this week.
There are three games with an O/U of at least 50 this week. Over half of my top 20 pass catchers in this contest come from these games. My favorite value of the week also comes from one of these games. Austin Hooper has improved every year that he has been in the league and is a major part of the Falcons’ offense in 2019. Hooper is just behind Julio Jones for second in targets on the team. His target share of 20% is the seventh highest among tight ends in the NFL. As mentioned earlier, the Cardinals have been absolutely shredded by tight ends. Austin Hooper will be available in the fifth round in almost every draft.
My pick: 1st
1st round – Ezekiel Elliott (RB – DAL)
For some reason the Cowboys only gave Zeke 12 carries in the game last week against the Packers. In a game they are favored to win by 7 points, Zeke should get fed the rock.
2nd round – Derrick Henry (RB – TEN)
If I can get two of my running backs that I have ranked in the top two rounds I am very happy.
3rd round – Deshaun Watson (QB – HOU)
Watson usually is not around at this point of the draft. He often goes in the early second round. I am very happy to pair him with two of my top running backs.
4th round – Will Fuller (WR – HOU)
Will Fuller erupted last week for over 200 receiving yards and three touchdowns last week. He gets the Chiefs secondary to pick apart this week. There should be plenty of targets to go around for the Texans in Week 6.
5th round – Austin Hooper (TE – ATL)
Hooper is my most common pick in the WR/TE slot when I take two running backs early. He is in a prime spot this week.