DRAFT NFL Lineup Advice: Week 7
Here’s a look at 10 team DRAFT lineup advice for Week 7 Sunday Only NFL contests. As a reminder, this contest doesn’t include the Thursday game, Sunday night game or the Monday night game. I provide my rankings per position, a summary of each position and I conclude the article with a sample draft to give you a sense of how to approach your DRAFT contests.
|1. Lamar Jackson||BAL||@SEA||3|
|2. Deshaun Watson||HOU||@IND||3|
|3. Kyler Murray||ARI||@NYG||3|
|4. Matt Ryan||ATL||vs LAR||3|
|5. Russell Wilson||SEA||vs BAL||4|
|6. Jared Goff||LAR||@ATL||4|
|7. Aaron Rodgers||GB||vs OAK||4|
|8. Josh Allen||BUF||vs MIA||4|
|9. Gardner Minshew||JAX||@CIN||5|
|10. Philip Rivers||LAC||@TEN||5|
Over his last five games, Lamar Jackson has averaged 13.2 carries and 90.8 rushing yards per game. So Lamar is giving you a floor of nine fantasy points without throwing the ball once. He has broken off a few big runs lately and is always a threat to run for multiple touchdowns. On top of this Seattle is weak against tight ends. Baltimore plays a ton of 12 personnel (one running back and two tight ends) and Mark Andrews has been a force in 2019. Baltimore’s tight ends have averaged 116 air yards per game, which leads the NFL. I expect Lamar Jackson to be successful on the ground and through the air with his tight ends.
I have taken Lamar Jackson in the third round several times. Because I can get him in the third, I wait on quarterback until at least the third round. I am trying to avoid getting too many shares of Gardner Minshew and Philip Rivers. As the weekend goes on, if I am finding it hard to get one of my eight running backs ahead of these two, I will move all of my quarterbacks back a round earlier.
|1. Leonard Fournette||JAX||@CIN||1|
|2. Dalvin Cook||MIN||@DET||1|
|3. Saquon Barkley||NYG||vs ARI||1|
|4. David Johnson||ARI||@NYG||1|
|5. Chris Carson||SEA||vs BAL||1|
|6. Josh Jacobs||OAK||@GB||1|
|7. Derrick Henry||TEN||vs LAC||3|
|8. Kerryon Johnson||DET||vs MIN||3|
|9. Melvin Gordon||LAC||@TEN||3|
|10. Mark Ingram||BAL||@SEA||3|
|11. Marlon Mack||IND||vs HOU||3|
|12. Aaron Jones||GB||vs OAK||3|
|13. Joe Mixon||CIN||vs JAX||4|
|14. Devonta Freeman||ATL||vs LAR||4|
|15. Todd Gurley||LAR||@ATL||4|
|16. Tevin Coleman||SF||@WSH||5|
|17. Devin Singletary||BUF||vs MIA||5|
|18. Carlos Hyde||HOU||@IND||5|
|19. Matt Breida||SF||@WSH||5|
|20. Austin Ekeler||LAC||@TEN||5|
Leonard Fournette has averaged 19.2 carries and 6.0 targets per game. After a slow start, Fournette has totaled over 100 all-purpose yards in each of his last three games. This includes last week against a tough New Orleans Saints run defense. This week Fournette gets the Cincinnati Bengals who are right there with the Dolphins for the most fantasy points allowed per game to running backs. He should see at least 20 combined carries and targets, with a ceiling well above 30.
After my top six running backs, I don’t have a lot of confidence in anyone’s role/matchup. Because of this, I don’t have any running backs ranked as a second round pick. Kerryon Johnson has been available in the third round in about half of my drafts. Melvin Gordon and Todd Gurley slip into the fourth about a third of the time. These are all great values that have me skipping over running backs in the second round.
Wide Receiver/ Tight End
|1. Cooper Kupp||LAR||@ATL||1|
|2. Michael Thomas||NO||@CHI||1|
|3. DeAndre Hopkins||HOU||@IND||1|
|4. Julio Jones||ATL||vs LAR||1|
|5. Keenan Allen||LAC||@TEN||2|
|6. Tyler Lockett||SEA||vs BAL||2|
|7. T.Y. Hilton||IND||vs HOU||2|
|8. Kenny Golladay||DET||vs MIN||2|
|9. Evan Engram||NYG||vs ARI||2|
|10. Robert Woods||LAR||@ATL||2|
|11. Larry Fitzgerald||ARI||@NYG||2|
|12. John Brown||BUF||vs MIA||2|
|13. D.J. Chark||JAX||@CIN||2|
|14. Will Fuller||HOU||@IND||2|
|15. Brandin Cooks||LAR||@ATL||4|
|16. Adam Thielen||MIN||@DET||4|
|17. Stefon Diggs||MIN||@DET||4|
|18. Allen Robinson||CHI||vs NO||5|
|19. Calvin Ridley||ATL||vs LAR||5|
|20. Mark Andrews||BAL||@SEA||5|
Cooper Kupp sits atop my pass-catcher list for the first time ever. While I still rank the talent of several players on this list higher than Kupp, his matchup this week is too enticing. Excluding the poor showing from the entire Rams offense last week, Kupp has averaged 12.6 targets and 101 receiving yards per game. He also has four touchdowns on the season and the most red zone targets on the Rams with seven. He now faces off against the Atlanta Falcons who have allowed the second-most fantasy points per game to wide receivers. The over/under for this game opened at 52.5 and now ranges from 54.5 to 55 on different sites. This could easily turn into a shootout and Kupp will be heavily involved.
I am drafting a wide receiver in the second round of every single draft I will do this weekend (unless one of my top six running backs somehow falls into the second round). This means I am going to get my pick of a lot of wide receivers I like. If my pick is at the end of the 1st round, I am generally taking two top wide receivers (my top six running backs are almost always gone by pick eight). If I don’t take two wide receivers in the first two rounds, I try to get a mix of Kenny Golladay, Evan Engram, Robert Woods, and Larry Fitzgerald in the third to fifth rounds.
My pick: 5th
1st round – Chris Carson (RB – SEA)
Chris Carson has been a workhorse with Rashaad Penny out of the lineup. Penny will likely be back this week, but Carson has already taken a stranglehold on the position.
2nd round – Keenan Allen (WR LAC)
Keenan Allen saw 42 targets over his first three games and 17 over his last three. It’s another tough matchup against the Titans in Tennessee, but Keenan Allen still offers tons of upside and could easily see over ten targets.
3rd round – Lamar Jackson (QB – BAL)
See the quarterback section above for my analysis on Jackson this week.
4th round – Melvin Gordon (RB – LAC)
Melvin Gordon saw 60% of snaps compared to Ekeler’s 45% in a Week 6 matchup that saw the Chargers trailing throughout. It won’t be long until Gordon is back to an every week RB1. Take advantage of the discount this week.
5th round – Larry Fitzgerald (WR- ARI)
Fitzgerald gets a good matchup in a game with a high over/under. He hasn’t found the end zone since Week 3, but he leads the team with seven red-zone targets. He will get in the end zone sooner rather than later.