DraftKings NFL Cash Lineup Advice: Week 7 (2019)
Week 7 of the NFL season delivers an interesting 11-game DFS main slate on DraftKings. It is a good week to remember that in addition to trying to build in some solid, consistent player with a high floor, we also need to take upside into consideration in at least a couple of spots. A perfect example last week was Stefon Diggs, who despite limited production this season had a very favorable matchup and a reasonable price tag. He made his way into my cash game lineup which made it a cakewalk into the green across the board. Who is this week’s Stefon Diggs? Read on to find out.
Russell Wilson (SEA): $6,600 vs. BAL
Wilson has been phenomenal this season with a floor of 14 DraftKings points and exceeding 28 DK points in four of his six games. He is only the fourth most expensive quarterback on Sunday’s main slate and without any deep value options to consider at the position, he provides the best floor and upside for all the quarterbacks in his price range. Wilson will face a Ravens pass defense that has been vulnerable this season allowing just under 300 passing yards per game (30th) and 8.57 yards per attempts (31st) over the last five weeks which excludes their Week 1 matchup against the lowly Dolphins. The Ravens have been pretty good at keeping opposing quarterbacks out of the end zone as they give up an average of just one touchdown per game, however, Wilson is the most efficient touchdown producer in the league with passing scores on 7.4% of his attempts this season. The Ravens offense should also be good enough to keep the game close and force Wilson and the Seahawks offense to keep the pedal to the metal.
Dalvin Cook (MIN): $8,000 @ DET
It is like a minefield for the high-priced running back on this slate with most of them either nursing an injury (David Johnson and Alvin Kamara) putting their status in question or just returning from injury (Saquon Barkley) which could limit their workload or effectiveness. The one high-priced running back that doesn’t have injury concerns is Dalvin Cook. Cook saw a season-low 18 touches last week but has had at least 20 touches in every other game this year. His involvement in the running and passing game makes him game script proof and he should be leaned on heavily this week in a favorable divisional road matchup against the Lions. The Lions have allowed 105 rushing yards (23rd) and 1.0 rushing scores (23rd) per game to running back this season on 4.65 YPC (25th). They are also vulnerable to pass-catching back like Cook as they have given up 5.8 receptions for 65 receiving yards and 0.4 touchdowns per game this season.
Leonard Fournette (JAX): $7,000 @ CIN
Fournette will be the chalkiest of chalk plays on the slate this week. He has massive volume with at least 27 touches in each of his last three games. Fournette has been much more involved in the passing game this year with at least four receptions in five of six games this year. This week he gets a dream matchup against the winless Bengals who have been shredded by opposing running backs this year for 126 rushing yards (30th) and 1.2 touchdowns (29th) per game on 5.06 YPC (30th). They have also given up plenty of production in the passing game to back allowing 6.7 receptions (27th) for 67 yards (31st), and 0.5 touchdowns (30th) per game. On top of all that, Fournette’s salary isn’t even very restrictive despite the favorable matchup and heavy workload. Thus, he will be the mega-chalk this week, fade at your own risk.
- David Johnson (ARI): $7,800 @ NYG
- Chris Carson (SEA): $6,500 vs. BAL
- Tevin Coleman (SF): $5,600 @ WAS
- Josh Jacobs (OAK): $5,000 @ GB
T.Y. Hilton (IND): $5,900 vs. HOU
Hilton should be back to full strength a three-week stretch that saw him miss a game, play an unproductive role coming off the injury, and finally a bye week last week. During the first three games before his injury, Hilton was averaging 8.3 targets with 6.7 receptions for 65 yards with four touchdowns. Those numbers seem like a floor for Hilton in a home game against the Texans this week. The Texans have allowed big production to opposing wide receivers this season with 14.7 receptions (30th) for 186 yards (26th) and 1.3 touchdowns (26th) per game. Oh, and you might have heard somewhere that he has had plenty of success against the Texans over the years including exceeding 100 yards in four of his last five meetings. Hilton brings a solid floor and plenty of upside potential this week while still being a relative value under $6k.
Brandin Cooks (LAR): $5,400 @ ATL
Two weeks ago it was Will Fuller. Last week it was Stefon Diggs. This week it will be Brandin Cooks. These are all wide receivers that have been reasonably priced playing in favorable matchups while not fulfilling their potential for the season before their respective breakout games. It can be risky to take players like this in cash games, but if they hit like Fuller and Diggs did the last two weeks, they can allow you to crush your cash game contests. Cooks historically posts better numbers when he is playing on the fast track in a dome stadium like he will be this week in Atlanta. He will also get a very favorable matchup against a Falcons secondary that ranks 31st Defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA) according to FootballOutsiders. They have allowed 15.4 yards per reception (30th) to wide receivers over the last five weeks and who did Fuller have his breakout game against, that’s right the Falcons. Teammate Cooper Kupp is certainly safer than Cooks, but I’ll take the risk to save $2,000 in salary.
- DeAndre Hopkins (HOU): $7,800 @ IND
- Cooper Kupp (LAR): $7,400 @ ATL
- Tyler Lockett (SEA): $6,600 vs. BAL
- Larry Fitzgerald (ARI): $6,100 @ NYG
- Mohammed Sanu (ATL): $4,600 vs. LAR
Hunter Henry (LAC): $4,000 @ TEN
Of course, we all want to use Evan Engram at tight end this week with the Giants facing the Cardinals who have been a sieve to tight ends this season. However, Engram has been priced up which makes him difficult to squeeze into a cash game lineup, at least for now. So instead, I’ll pivot to a player with just as much talent and opportunity who is $2,500 cheaper with Hunter Henry. Henry returned to the lineup for the Chargers last week and proceeded to net eight receptions for 100 yards and two scores. While I don’t expect a line like that this week against the Titans, he should still get about 7-10 targets in a beatable matchup. In the red zone is where Henry could do his best work this week as he will certainly get looks around the goal line against a Titans pass defense that has allowed four touchdowns in six games to the position to much lesser options than Henry.
- Evan Engram (NYG): $6,500 vs. ARI
- Austin Hooper (ATL): $5,300 vs. LAR
- Mark Andrews (BAL): $4,900 @ SEA
Colts (IND): $2,000 vs. HOU
Paying up for the Bills playing at home against the Dolphins would be nice but it is not a luxury we have on this slate unless some serious value opens up. So, let’s save some salary at the position by going all the way down to the Colts who are playing at home against the Texans. The Colts defense played well last week against the Chiefs registering four sacks and a turnover and they could continue to rack up sacks this week as the Texans have allowed three per game. Another cheap option that I do like quite a lot is the Giants playing at home against sack-prone quarterback Kyler Murray.
- Bills (BUF): $4,300 vs. MIA
- Bears (CHI): $3,000 vs. NO
- Giants (NYG): $2,500 vs. ARI