DraftKings NFL Lineup Advice: Week 7 (Full Slate)
Last week’s article was very successful after a disappointing Week 5. We got gems from players like Matt Ryan, Austin Hooper, and Chris Godwin and got solid performances from guys like Mark Ingram and Kenyan Drake. That’s really our only goal here, as we really want to avoid giving you guys any duds. With the bye weeks finally in full swing, that means we have fewer teams than usual, but I still love this slate. So with that in mind, let’s get into Week 7.
The Thursday fixture is pretty ugly. I expect the Chiefs to handle the Broncos pretty easily, which means I don’t want to use any Denver players. As for Kansas City, I anticipate Travis Kelce having a good game. This Denver team has slow linebackers and that spells disaster against a stud like Kelce. The Chiefs’ running backs should also do well, but it’s nearly impossible to predict which one it will be.
The Sunday Night showdown features an NFC East battle between the Eagles and Cowboys. My favorite play here is to stack this Cowboys’ passing attack. The Eagles are currently allowing the fourth-most passing yards in football, which is truly scary against an offense who has the third-most passing yards. That’s brilliant for Dak Prescott, Amari Cooper, and Michael Gallup. If Cooper sits, Gallup is one of the best plays of the week.
As for the Monday Night matchup, we have the Jets hosting the Patriots. It’s tough to recommend anyone against New England, but Robby Anderson and Jamison Crowder are nice values with Sam Darnold back under center. As for New England, Julian Edelman is easily the best option after collecting nine receptions for 113 yards in Week 6.
Quarterback of the Week
Jared Goff (LAR): $6,200 at ATL
The hate train on Goff is blazing through the country like the Polar Express, but that’s the perfect time to hop on someone for DFS purposes. That means his ownership will be lower than it should be, which is absolutely silly in a matchup like this. Goff faces one of the worst defenses in football, with the Falcons ranked 28th in yardage and 31st in points allowed. They’ve been even worse against quarterbacks, posting a 32nd OPRK against them this season.
It’s not like Goff is incapable either, scoring at least 17 DK points in four straight prior to the Week 6 dud while averaging 21.5 fantasy points per game in that span. This is arguably the best receiving corps in football too and we’ll go over that later.
Cash Game Running Back
Leonard Fournette (JAC): $7,000 at CIN
Fournette was a guy that I loved in season-long drafts and the reason I liked him so much was because I expected him to be the focal point of this offense. That’s actually played out even better than I could have anticipated, as he’s one of the league leaders with 141 touches out of the running back position. That’s led to him providing 584 rushing yards, 189 receiving yards, and 26 catches. While the touchdowns haven’t been there, that production is hard to pass up from a bell-cow back who plays 91 percent of the team’s snaps. All of that is bad news for a Bengals defense who surrenders the second-most fantasy points to opposing running backs, allowing a league-worst 185 rushing yards per game.
GPP Running Back
Joe Mixon (CIN): $5,000 vs. JAC
It’s strange to use two running backs in the same game, but I was simply shocked by this price tag. Recent results have definitely lowered it to this number, but we’re still talking about one of the most talented backs in football. Mixon actually finished in the top 10 in fantasy points last season and was being selected in the second round of season-long formats just two months ago.
Road matchups against Baltimore, Buffalo, Seattle, and Pittsburgh will certainly hurt your numbers and that doesn’t even take into consideration a home matchup against San Francisco. That’s a murderer’s row of a schedule and a matchup against the Jaguars is just what the doctor ordered. Not only do they rank 25th in rushing yards allowed, but they also own a 21st OPRK against running backs this season. The fact that we’re looking at a three-point spread only adds to both of these guys’ value since a close game should keep them both heavily involved.
Cash Game Wide Receiver
Cooper Kupp (LAR): $7.400 at ATL
It’s going to be tough to fade Kupp on this slate. We’re talking about the league leader in targets facing one of the worst defenses in football. Kupp’s 69 targets are impressive in its own right, but his 45 catches for 522 yards and four touchdowns are equally as majestic. It has landed him as the second-best producer among all wide receivers on DraftKings and it seems strange that there are four guys priced above him. The horrific quarterback numbers match the numbers allowed to wide receivers, with Atlanta allowing the second-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season.
GPP Wide Receiver
Allen Robinson (CHI): $5,400 at NO
I had to double-check this price. After seeing it, I wanted to get him into the cash game section but it was impossible to fade Kupp in that matchup. We’ll go ahead and use Robinson for this slot instead since he’s easily one of the best values of the week. We’re talking about a dude who’s averaging 16.7 DK points per game, making him a borderline top-10 wide receiver.
The simple fact is, he’s the only passing threat in this offense. That’s clear when you see that he’s playing 92.4 percent of the team’s snaps while leading the club with 43 targets. Those numbers dwarf his teammates, with no other player surpassing a 65-percent snap share, and Robinson is currently garnering 25.3 percent of his team’s targets. That monster usage is awesome against a Saints defense who has a 22nd OPRK against wide receivers this season.
Tight End of the Week
Evan Engram (NYG): $6,500 vs. ARI
If you’ve been following my articles, you could have probably seen this coming. We’ve been using our tight end spot to play people against the Cardinals all season long and it’s only failed us once.
The simple fact is, this club can’t contain tight ends. That’s clear when you see that they’re allowing nearly 20 DK points per game to opposing tight ends, which is the worst mark by over five fantasy points. If you take out the one Cincinnati dud, Arizona is allowing opposing tight ends to average 26 DK points per game in the other five fixtures. Holy crap! That’s essentially Christian McCaffrey! That’s simply unbelievable and truly terrifying against a guy like Engram.
The Giants’ tight end actually leads the league with 9.6 targets per game, which has led to him averaging 17.8 DK points per game, the third-best mark at his position. If he suits up as expected, don’t fade Engram!