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DraftKings NFL Value Plays: Week 9 (2019)

by Nate Snodgrass
Oct 31, 2019

Despite the Jets’ offensive struggles, Robby Anderson should be a good option as Sam Darnold’s deep threat this week.

Welcome to Week 9 of the NFL season. We have another smaller slate as there are four teams on bye and one London game not on the main slate. On bye are the Atlanta Falcons, Cincinnati Bengals, Los Angeles Rams, and New Orleans Saints.

Each week, I will provide a recap of the prior week’s picks. The cheaper the player, the higher the value you are hoping to get. The ultimate goal is to get three-to-four times the price of each player. The higher the value, the better the play.

Quarterback: Ryan Tannehill 19.4 points (3.8x), Derek Carr – 23.4 points (4.68x)
Running Back: Latavius Murray – 39.7 points (6.84x), Ty Johnson – 4.8 points (0.98x)
Wide Receiver: Kenny Stills – 5.2 points (1.11x), Corey Davis – 0.66 points (2.26x)
Tight End: Dallas Goedert – 11.2 points (4.0x)

The goal of this article is to provide daily fantasy football advice for DraftKings value plays. Implementing a few value plays in your lineups allows for the opportunity to play the top-tier studs. The key with a value play is to find a player with a high floor who also has the opportunity for a breakout game. These value plays will be for DraftKings’ main slate each Sunday. Non-tight ends under $6K and tight ends under $4.5K will be considered value plays.

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Derek Carr (OAK): $5,500 vs. DET
Tied for the highest projected total, this game has shootout potential. The Detroit Lions defense is 30th DVOA against the pass, and Derek Carr has played pretty well since their bye week. I’d expect Matthew Stafford and company to score, so Derek Carr will be needed to keep pace with them.

Matt Moore (KC): $4,800 vs. MIN
Moore may not be the best talent in the NFL, but he is starting on a very talented offense. He finished with 19 DK points last week, which would easily pay off his salary this week. This year, it is rare to have a good quarterback play below $5,000, but Moore seems to be that play.  With the number of weapons he has, and with Andy Reid calling the plays, Matt Moore should succeed. If Patrick Mahomes plays, I’d recommend Sam Darnold.

Running Back

Mark Walton (MIA): $4,500 vs. NYJ
Recommending a Miami Dolphins player is risky. Walton is now the main guy in Miami after Kenyan Drake was traded to the Arizona Cardinals. Efficiency may be an issue due to Miami’s offensive struggles, but the usage is there. He had 11 rushing attempts and six targets on Monday night when Drake was inactive.

Jaylen Samuels (PIT): $4,000 vs. IND
This is strictly a play if James Conner is ruled inactive. Samuels seems to be healthy after practicing fully on Wednesday. He may be the only healthy running back on the Pittsburgh Steelers.  The Steelers will likely rely on him as Mason Rudolph hasn’t impressed much as a starter. He played well in the second half on Monday, but that was against Miami.

Wide Receiver

Robby Anderson (NYJ): $5,500 at MIA
Anderson was talked about a lot at the trade deadline, but he is staying with the New York Jets. A matchup against the Dolphins is always a get-right spot for any team. Anderson is a deep threat that can definitely exploit Miami’s secondary. Darnold should be able to get going this week, which makes Anderson a great option.

Danny Amendola (DET): $4,700 at OAK
Matthew Stafford has loved throwing to Amendola the past two weeks. He’s had eight receptions in each of the past two games. Amendola also has had seven catches in three of his four healthy games this season. The Lions get a dream matchup this week against the Oakland Raiders. The Lions offense should be clicking on all cylinders and Amendola will be a part of that.

Tight End

Dallas Goedert (PHI): $3,100 vs. CHI
The tight end position is slim pickings this week, especially from a value perspective. I’m going back to the well with Goedert this week. He scored again last week and has developed into a popular target for Carson Wentz. Hopefully, Goedert can see at least five targets again this week against the Chicago Bears, making him a great value play.

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Nate Snodgrass is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Nate, follow him @NSnods.

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