FanDuel Market Watch: Week 6

Oct 8, 2019

Even if David Johnson plays, Chase Edmonds is still a viable option in multi-entry GPPs

Here are the players that have seen the largest value fluctuation from last week to this week’s FanDuel main slate. Depending on the situation, we may be able to exploit this information and take advantage of the fact that the player’s salary increased or decreased significantly from last week.

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Quarterbacks

Colt McCoy (WAS): $6,800 @ MIA (+$800)
McCoy’s 5.16 fantasy point day on Sunday against the Patriots was only his seventh start since 2011 when he started 13 games for the Browns. He is a backup on a team that just fired its coach. This is an easy pass even if you are trying to save salary. Gardner Minshew and Kirk Cousins are in the same price range if you want to be thrifty.

Andy Dalton (CIN): $7,000 @ BAL (-$500)
He has only topped 20 FDFP once all year and that was when he earned 20.72 FDFP in the opening game. Baltimore’s defense isn’t what it has been in the past, but it still has only given up three passing touchdowns to guys not named Mahomes. Even though Baker Mayfield and Kyler Murray passed for 300+ yards against the Ravens, those quarterbacks were held to less than 20 FDFP. There are probably better spots than on the road against a division rival that still has a fairly stingy defense.

Running Backs

Chase Edmonds (ARI): $5,200 vs. ATL (+$500)
David Johnson hurt his back last Sunday and Chase Edmonds filled in admirably with eight carries for 69 yards and a touchdown. He also caught three of his four targets for 18 yards, totaling 16.1 FDFP. The Cardinals are monitoring the situation. If D.J. is ruled out, then I think Edmonds becomes a must play in all formats for me. If D.J. plays, then Edmonds is still a decent option for MMEs at this price tag considering the opponent. The Falcons are historically not very good against running backs, especially those that can catch the ball. They have given up the most running back receptions each of the last four years. As for this season, they are just plain terrible on defense as a whole.

Joe Mixon (CIN): $6,400 @ BAL (-$700)
His touches have increased every game (8 > 14 > 17 > 19 > 20), but he has yet to really break out. In five weeks, he only has two games with double-figure fantasy points. In his four career games against the Ravens, he only has 260 total yards (rushing and receiving) and one touchdown. This is a divisional road game so the expected game flow is not in Mixon’s favor. However, this is the cheapest we’ve seen him in two years. Because of his value, he is worth some shots if you’re mass multi-entering this week.

Wide Receivers

Cooper Kupp (LAR): $7,800 vs. SF (+$1,000)
There is no question that Kupp is playing at a high level and has the confidence of Jared Goff. He has three straight games of 22+ FDFP and he is averaging 12.6 targets on the year. He is playing at an elite level and right now I trust his usage and role more than DeAndre Hopkins or Julio Jones, who are both priced significantly higher. I have played Kupp a lot in cash games and single-entry tournaments because of his reliable floor. He is also now showing a consistent ceiling.

Brandin Cooks (LAR): $6,500 vs. SF (-$400)
Because he’s been in concussion protocol, he probably shouldn’t be anywhere near your cash games or single-entry tournaments, but he makes for an interesting play in larger field tournaments. As long as he is cleared, he should be very low-owned. We all know that he has high upside as an explosive player in this offense – though he hasn’t quite shown his ceiling this year. Prior to getting concussed in the Seattle game, he had three straight double-digit fantasy performances. In his two games against the 49ers last year, he scored three touchdowns. He was $7,500 just two weeks ago. Last year, the lowest price we saw for him was $6,900 at the end of the season.

Tight Ends

Chris Herndon (NYJ): $5,400 vs. DAL (+$900)
He is coming off a suspension and might garner some ownership as the new toy with an attractive price tag. However, the match up isn’t great as Dallas has not given up a touchdown or more than 50 yards to a tight end since Evan Engram in Week 1. Herndon appears to have a strong future, but even though he had a relatively strong rookie season last year, he still only had 20 receptions and one touchdown in his final six games, regardless. If you need to save salary, you could look at him, but with the Jets being a bad team, the matchup being tough, and the uncertainty at quarterback, I am going to look elsewhere this week.

Noah Fant (DEN): $4,500 vs. TEN (-$400)
Only three teams have given up more fantasy points to tight ends and only one team has given up more touchdowns to tight ends than has the Titans. The matchup is good and Noah Fant’s future looks bright, but his time hasn’t come yet. The most he has been targeted is four times and he has only scored double-digit fantasy points in one game (10.1 versus the Jaguars). Go ahead and pick him up in your dynasty leagues, but for DFS he is just a dart throw – even at this ridiculously low price.

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Jamy Bechler is a regular contributor to FantasyPros for NBA, NFL, and PGA. You can follow him on his DFS Twitter @WinningDFS101. When he is not playing DFS, Jamy is an author, host of the “Success is a Choice” podcast, and a leadership consultant, working with businesses and teams across the country (including the NBA). Even though he offers his advice on players and contests, after additional information and consideration, he may end up using different players and strategies than what he recommended in this article.

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