FanDuel NFL Cash Game Lineup Advice: Week 6 (2019)
Welcome to Week 6 with no New England Patriots defense and no Christian McCaffrey to worry about. If you had CMC last week, you probably had a good shot at making some cash. Then again, the amount of scoring last week was absolutely incredible. Chalk hit, sleepers hit, and Will Fuller came about a yard and a half from having two additional touchdowns.
As always, I try to be as transparent as possible with my cash game plays and my process for why certain players are in my lineup or not. A link to my Week 5 cash lineup is here. Not having McCaffrey made for a stressful morning. At this point, McCaffrey is about as safe of a cash gameplay as there can be. Unfortunately, his price does hinder some roster possibilities. In the place of the high priced options in Week 5, I decided to spend down at the position. Aaron Jones provided salary (and emotional) relief in the afternoon. Even in a wild week, different lineup constructions can win in DFS. Trust the process.
Here are some of the players I’m targeting for cash game considerations in Week 6:
Deshaun Watson (HOU): $8,400 @ Kansas City Chiefs
The Over/Under of this game is currently at 55 points according to the FantasyLabs NFL Vegas dashboard. Both the Texans and Chiefs play at an absurdly high pace in neutral game situations. What’s more to like?
(These are 3 of the fastest-paced games we've seen ALL season.)
— Jared Smola (@SmolaDS) October 10, 2019
Thus far this season, Watson has been sacked a total of 18 times. That’s not ideal, but the Texans have made strident efforts to protect Watson better as of late, as pointed out by Pro Football Weekly’s Mark Schofield. The Texans will benefit this week with Chiefs DT Chris Jones expected to miss some time, as well as defensive lineman Xavier Williams. That’s not good considering the Chiefs already rank near the bottom of the NFL in quarterback pressures without blitzing. Well, it’s good for Watson…
2019 leaders in NFL passer rating from a clean pocket, per @PFF:
Russell Wilson (130.7)
Mason Rudolph (127.8) 👀
Dak Prescott (126.1)
Deshaun Watson (123.1)
Patrick Mahomes (121.2)
— Kate Magdziuk (@FFballblast) October 10, 2019
Gardner Minshew (JAC): $6,900 vs. New Orleans Saints
Minshew mania has taken the NFL by storm in the first half of the NFL season. This is despite the fact that Minshew has a record of 2-2 as a starter and has failed to throw for more than 215 yards three times. Of course, the Jaguars in that time period have faced the Texans, Tennessee Titans, Denver Broncos and last week the Carolina Panthers. Both the Broncos and Panthers sport top top-five pass defenses while the Titans are ranked 12th in pass yards allowed.
Enter the Saints in Week 6. The Saints pass defense has a DVOA ranking of 20th according to Football Outsiders. The Saints have allowed the fourth most yards coming from big plays in the passing game (15 yards or more). This just happens to be an area where Minshew has excelled early on.
Deep Ball Accuracy
*on-target throw% (min 20 att)
Russell Wilson – 69.6%
Dak Prescott – 66.7%
Gardner Minshew – 63.6%
Josh Allen – 42.9%
Patrick Mahomes – 46.7%
Philip Rivers – 47.6%
— Sports Info Solutions (@SportsInfo_SIS) October 8, 2019
The Saints have also allowed opposing quarterbacks to make plays with their legs. They started the season by allowing a total of four rushing touchdowns to opposing quarterbacks in the first three games. Minshew on the season has 19 rushing attempts for a total of 124 yards.
Minshew is only one of three Jaguars with a red zone rushing attempt, but it might not be needed the way he’s protected the ball in the red zone. Thus far, Minshew is 9-for-12 passing inside the 20-yard line with six touchdowns and no interceptions. The Saints defense is allowing 5.31 points per red zone trip, seventh-worst in the NFL.
Leonard Fournette (JAC): $7,300 vs. New Orleans Saints
Fournette has arguably been one of the most pleasant surprises of the 2019 season. After Nick Foles went down in Week 1, it was easy to assume the Jaguars’ offense would struggle to find consistency. Fournette has done anything but struggle thus far.
His usage is a big reason why. Fournette has a 17% target share. He is fourth in the NFL in rushing attempts, third in rushing yardage and there’s a good chance that touchdowns could be coming. Fournette is tied for 10th in red zone carries but only has one rushing touchdown.
One issue facing him this week is that the Saints have been consistent against the run. Over the last 31 consecutive games, the Saints have not allowed a 100 yard rusher. If Fournette can get over 100 yards from scrimmage and a score though, he’ll do just fine.
Le’Veon Bell (NYJ): $6,800 vs. Dallas Cowboys
The return of Sam Darnold might not turn the Jets into a contender this season, but it definitely bolsters the fantasy outlook for Bell and the rest of the Jets skill players.
Jets offensive line has been brutal for Le'Veon Bell so far:
• No OL has opened up fewer yards before contact (0.38)
• Bell has been contacted at or behind the line of scrimmage on 58% of carries (2nd-highest rate)
• 28% of carries stuffed for zero gain or loss (2nd-highest)
— Graham Barfield (@GrahamBarfield) October 8, 2019
Last week’s performance by Green Bay Packers running back Aaron Jones might not have been an anomaly, however. Using PFF data, the Cowboys have allowed “43 targets (second-most) and 35 receptions (third-most), and is also vulnerable on the ground with 1.7 rushing yards before contact per attempt (ninth-most), 30 missed tackles (most), and a 14% rate of 10-plus-yard runs (fifth-most).” A bounce-back game from Bell seems imminent. Could it happen this week?
Adam Thielen (MIN): $7,200 vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Thus far this season, Minnesota Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins has thrown for 1,041 yards. According to Pro Football Focus, 55.2% of those yards have come after the catch. Through the first five games of this season, the Eagles have allowed the fifth-most yards after the catch in the NFL.
Larry Fitzgerald (ARI): $5,600 vs. Atlanta Falcons
At 36-years young, Larry Legend is having a pretty good start to the 2019 season. His 44 targets rank ninth in the NFL. Fitzgerald is 17th overall with 29 receptions and his 358 receiving yards are 22nd. He has the 26th most air yards and is tied on his team with a 22% market share of targets.
Now Fitzgerald gets a matchup against Falcons’ slot corner Damontae Kazee, who has given up the fifth-most yards (1.80) per cover snap in the slot per PFF. Thus far this season, the Falcons rank 30th on third-down defense, allowing a conversion rate of 56.5%. Fitzgerald has five catches that have resulted in first downs on third down. It’s important to also note that the Falcons’ pass defense dramatically falls off the cliff without Keanu Neal in the secondary.
George Kittle (SF): $6,500 @ Los Angeles Rams
On the season, the Rams have actually been fairly decent against opposing tight ends. Kittle is not your ordinary tight end, however. Over his last three games against the Rams, he has posted a 4-100-0, 5-98-1 and 9-149-1. If you can afford him, Kittle is in a great spot here. If you’re $100 short, there’s a great option there right below.
Austin Hooper (ATL): $6,400 @ Arizona Cardinals
The Cardinals finally stopped a tight end last week! Well, it’s not entirely accurate, as Andy Dalton missed Tyler Eifert in the end zone last Sunday, but nevertheless we move on to Week 6. Enter Hooper, who is among the top tight ends in most major statistical categories.
Week 6 is the final week the Cardinals are without Patrick Peterson and their entire pass defense has been affected. Over the course of the season, the Cardinals have allowed 461 receiving yards and six touchdowns to opposing tight ends. Fire Hooper up this week.
Will Dissly (SEA): $6,000 @ CLE
San Francisco 49ers DST: $3,500 @ Los Angeles Rams
This 49ers defense is legit, despite how many times Booger McFarland attempted to ask whether they were during their Monday night beat-down of the Cleveland Browns. Practically living in the Browns’ backfield, the 49ers took full advantage of an overmatched offensive line. Well, I’m afraid I have bad news for Jared Goff and company, because the Rams offensive line isn’t much better. Somehow, it’s actually worse.
Take Pro Football Focus grades with a grain of salt, but the Rams offensive line ranks dead last according to PFF.
Jared Goff is already sweating. pic.twitter.com/nVigSkiWkI
— Rob Lowder (@Rob_Lowder) October 8, 2019
New York Jets DST: $3,100 vs. DAL
Denver Broncos DST: $4,500 vs. TEN