FanDuel NFL Cash Game Lineup Advice: Week 7 (2019)
We’ve made it to Week 7 and the bye week blues are hitting in full force. For the second week in a row, the main slate on Sunday will not include Christian McCaffrey or the New England Patriots defense. Also lost on this slate are Mike Evans (literally and not just figuratively), Chris Godwin, Odell Beckham, JuJu Smith-Schuster and Baker Mayfield. Oh, and the Kansas City Chiefs played last night. Then there are the (non Patrick Mahomes) injuries to account for as well.
This means that things could change rapidly this Sunday. As is often the case, I like to harp on the little things in this small introduction section. Putting late players in the FLEX, adjusting to inactive news. I recently came upon a thread on Twitter focusing on that very topic and it had some good responses and back-and-forth communication between people on this subject. There’s a lot that goes into making your lineups. Don’t stack the deck against yourself. When you’re constructing your cash game lineups, don’t feel compelled to make radical moves just to differ from the field. Remember this: First place in a 50/50 or a Double-Up pays the exact same as the third to last winning spot.
Here are some of the players I’m targeting for cash game considerations in Week 7:
Aaron Rodgers (GB): $7,600 vs. Oakland Raiders
Believe it or not, the Raiders have been fairly decent against the run. Whether the Packers have any healthy bodies at wide receiver is the question of questions heading into Sunday’s game. Thus far in practice, many of the usual faces have been sitting on the sidelines.
Packers WR currently healthy: Jake Kumerow, Allen Lazard, Ryan Grant, Darrius Sheperd.
Raiders WR currently healthy: Hunter Renfrow, Zay Jones, Trevor Davis, Keelan Doss, Marcell Ateman.
— Field Yates (@FieldYates) October 17, 2019
Kyler Murray (ARI): $7,700 @ New York Giants
Murray’s ability to make plays with his legs has entrenched his position as a top-tier option at quarterback each and every week. Murray ranks second among NFL quarterbacks with 239 rushing yards on 39 rushing attempts (6.1 yards per carry). Murray has converted 14 first downs on the ground as well. So far the Giants have been fairly successful limiting opposing quarterbacks on the ground, but the same can’t be said about through the air.
Four different quarterbacks have already thrown for over 300 yards against the Giants. The Giants are allowing 26.7 points per game, 6.3 yards per play and allow 8.1 net yards per pass attempt. With Christian Kirk potentially returning to the lineup, the Cardinals and Murray will have a full compliment of weapons at their disposal.
Dalvin Cook (MIN): $8,300 @ Detroit Lions
Did you see what Jamaal Williams did to the Lions last week? Cook enters this game with the fifth-highest yards per carry average in the league at 5.4 YPC and 583 rushing yards, fourth in the NFL. This is despite seeing eight or more men in the box on 27.8% of his carries. His ability to keep plays alive this season has also been near the best in the league.
Most Yards After Contact Per Rush
Minimum 50 rushes (n=33)
Chris Carson 3.5
Nick Chubb 3.4
Leonard Fournette 3.2
Dalvin Cook 3.2
Josh Jacobs 3.2
— Sports Info Solutions (@SportsInfo_SIS) October 16, 2019
Leonard Fournette (JAC): $7,900 @ Cincinnati Bengals
Even when the Jacksonville Jaguars offense struggles, as they did last week, Fournette still proved to be a viable cash game option. Fournette is now third in the NFL in yards from scrimmage (773) and he’s averaging 23.5 touches per game. He also hasn’t dipped below 84% of the offensive snaps in any game this year.
The Bengals have been atrocious against the run this season. They’ve allowed 10 touchdowns to opposing running backs and have allowed 10 different RB1 performances thus far. There’s been only six games played. There’s a good chance that the Bengals will be playing from behind most of this game. If that’s the case, which it has been frequently this season, then Fournette should continue to have a heavy involvement in the Jaguars’ game plan.
The Bengals have trailed on 76% of their offensive snaps this season, the second-highest rate in the league behind the Dolphins (89%).
CIN's RB snaps when trailing:
Gio Bernard 153 (51%)
Joe Mixon 143 (47%)
— Graham Barfield (@GrahamBarfield) October 17, 2019
Tyler Boyd (CIN): $5,600 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Boyd is simply a value target play this week on both Fanduel and Draftkings. Through six weeks, Boyd is third in the NFL in targets. Now his own teammate, Auden Tate, is actually higher priced than Boyd. Imagine hearing those words prior to Week 1.
Tyler Boyd …
-Joins Cooper Kupp and Michael Thomas as only players with at least 60 targets this year
-Home vs. JAX defense without Ramsey, no Bouye in slot
-JAX has allowed league-worst 97 yards per game to opposing No. 1 WRs (Football Outsiders)
… season-low $5,600 on DK
— Ian Hartitz (@Ihartitz) October 17, 2019
This week shapes up to be a bounce back opportunity for Boyd. The now Jalen Ramsey-less Jaguars have been giving up plenty of points to opposing wide receivers. On the season the Jaguars have allowed over 1,000 yards to wide receivers, with opposing receivers averaging 170.3 yards per game. Despite Tate’s presence in the offense as of late, Boyd is still getting his fair share too. Over the last three games, Boyd has four more targets and catches than Tate with just one fewer receiving yard. Tate has just 49 more air yards over that time span as well.
Cooper Kupp (LAR): $7,800 @ Atlanta Falcons
A bounce-back game is imminent for the Los Angeles Rams offense, and that likely means that Kupp is set to benefit the most. The Falcons defense has been gashed thus far this season, and things have only gotten worse since losing safety Keanu Neal. They’ve allowed 11 touchdown passes in the three games without Neal. With an inability to pressure opposing quarterbacks, it’s very likely that Jared Goff has all day to throw on Sunday.
QB pressure rate vs #Falcons
Week 5 – Deshaun Watson: 16.7% (2nd lowest)
•Prior pressure rate: 48.1%
Week 6 – Kyler Murray: 17.1% (2nd lowest)
•Prior pressure rate: 30.2%
Week 7 – Jared Goff: 🙃
— Pat Thorman (@Pat_Thorman) October 15, 2019
The last two weeks have given us immense value in targeting the Falcons defense. Kupp and fellow receivers Robert Woods and Brandin Cooks could all feast in this game because again, this defense is terrible right now.
Dan Quinn's defense, last 4 weeks:
v ARI: 37/37, 9.2 YPA, 3:0 TD:INT, 128 rtg
v HOU: 28/33, 12.9 YPA, 5:0 TD:INT, 158.3 rtg
v TEN: 18/27, 8.4 YPA, 3:0 TD:INT, 130 rtg
v IND: 28/37, 8.4 YPA, 2:0 TD:INT, 118.1 rtg
— Warren Sharp (@SharpFootball) October 13, 2019
Evan Engram (NYG): $6,800 vs. Arizona Cardinals
It’s the Cardinals against a tight end. Engram will also be highly owned in a slate that doesn’t include Zach Ertz and Travis Kelce. Until Arizona can show on a consistent basis that they can stop tight ends from embarrassing them week by week, keep firing them up. This should be particularly true when it’s a legitimately good option, such as Engram. Even with the likelihood that Saquon Barkley returns to action this week, Engram’s volume shouldn’t be in question.
Mark Andrews (BAL): $6,700 @ Seattle Seahawks
Andrews has been nothing short of sensational this season, serving as one of the prime contributors in the Baltimore Ravens’ passing attack. Quietly, the Seahawks are giving up a lot of points to tight ends this season as well. In what could shape up to be one of the highest-scoring games on the slate, Andrews is a great pivot off Engram or George Kittle if you’re choosing to spend up at the position.
Mark Andrews (foot, ankle, shoulder) not on injury report this week for the first time since Week 1. Meanwhile, Marquise Brown (ankle) still not practicing.
— Adam Levitan (@adamlevitan) October 17, 2019
Andrews has been a match-up nightmare this season, due largely to his ability to move around the formation. He leads all tight ends in receiving yards out of the slot (296 yards) and averages 2.59 yards per route run. Should Marquise Brown miss this game, or even be limited, a ceiling Andrews game could be upon us. Considering that Andrews has had at least seven targets in every game, that’s saying something.
Buffalo Bills DST: $5,500 vs. Miami Dolphins
All the Fitzmagic in the world can’t help the Dolphins this season. While they nearly got their first win of the season last week, it’l be much tougher sledding traveling to Buffalo. So far this season, the Bills defense has arguably been the third best defense in the league. Football Outsiders ranks their defense third in overall DVOA, and fourth in DVOA against the pass. This game could get ugly for the Dolphins.
San Francisco 49ers DST: $5,000 @ Washington Redskins
The 49ers are a solid choice if you want to save $500 moving off the Bills defense. We know what the 49ers defense is at this point in the season and we definitely know what the Redskins offense is right now outside of Terry McLaurin. While I typically tend to shy away from West Coast teams playing on the East Coast in the early afternoon, this defense is too good to worry about any remote chance Washington actually makes this game competitive.
Tennessee Titans DST: $4,200 vs. LAC