FanDuel NFL GPP Lineup Advice: Week 5 (2019)
Week 5 of the NFL season is a little bit lacking in shootout potential with no game on the Sunday 12-game main slate with a Vegas total over 50 points. The highest Vegas total is the matchup between the Falcons and Texans and while I do think that game can shootout it will garner a lot of attention as one of the few that can. So, I’ll try to pivot away from that matchup for my FanDuel GPP lineup advice this week and instead focus on the next tier of games that have some offensive upside.
Kyler Murray (QB – ARI): $7,400 / David Johnson (RB – ARI): $6,800
Individually, I expect Murray and Johnson to both be fairly popular this week in a prime matchup against the Bengals. However, there won’t be many to pair the two together as a QB/RB stack is often anti-correlated. This week is the perfect time to use both Murray and Johnson in the same lineup (maybe even in cash games) as one or the other or both will likely be part of every touchdown scored by the Cardinals in a juicy matchup against the Bengals. After playing four defensive-minded, ball-control offense through the first four weeks, the Cardinals should finally be able to have a team trying to keep up with them. Meanwhile, the Bengals defense has allowed over 27 points per game this season and given up big games to quarterbacks and running backs, especially strong pass-catching running backs like Johnson.
Bring it back with: Auden Tate (WR – CIN): $5,300
Kirk Cousins (QB – MIN): $6,800 / Adam Thielen (WR – MIN): $6,900 / Stefon Diggs (WR – MIN): $6,000
There has been a lot of chatter in Minnesota this week from the disgruntled wide receiver duo on their role and the lack of production and opportunity in the Vikings pass game this season. This could be a week where the squeaky wheel gets the grease in a very favorable matchup for the Vikings passing game against the Giants. The Giants have yielded 296 passing yards (27th) and 2.0 TD passes (25th) per game this season as they rank 20th Defense-adjusted Value Over Average against the pass according to FootballOutsiders. The other plus is the Giants actually have a little bit of an offense now with Daniel Jones at quarterback to force the Vikings to continue to put up points. If you are only going to stack one of the Vikings wideouts then I’d give the edge to Thielen, since I have no idea where Diggs head is right now.
Bring it back with: Evan Engram (TE – NYG): $6,300
Derrick Henry (RB – TEN): $6,700 / DEF Titans: $4,800
There weren’t many options even worth considering for a running back paired with their defense stack this week. The best combo could be in Tennessee with Henry and the Titans facing the visiting Bills who might be without their starting quarterback, Josh Allen. The game has the lowest Vegas total on Sunday’s main slate and the Titans come in as a small favorite. The Bills defense is stingy against the pass but can be vulnerable to the running game with their 25th DVOA ranked run defense.
Melvin Gordon (RB – LAC): $6,800
Gordon is expected to make his season debut this week when the Chargers face the Broncos in Los Angeles. Many will shy away from Gordon this week in his first game due to his unknown usage. However, all of the coach speak seems to be leading us to Gordon playing, maybe even starting, and having a role in the offense this week. Even if Gordon is limited to about 10-12 touches, which I think is his floor, he can produce solid numbers. In his last three games last season, sandwiched around an injury, Gordon averaged 13.3 touches which resulted in 62 total yards and one score per game which included about three receptions. I’ll take that as a floor for Gordon in a favorable matchup, at low ownership, and a very reasonable salary. And what happens if he gets 15-18 touches right out of the gate?
- Chase Daniel (QB – CHI): $6,500
- David Montgomery (RB – CHI): $5,700
- Alshon Jeffery (WR – PHI): $6,700
- Will Fuller (WR – HOU): $5,700
- Calvin Ridley (WR – ATL): $5,400
- C.J. Uzomah (TE – CIN): $4,000