FanDuel NFL Lineup Advice: Week 9 (Full Slate)
We’re about to eclipse the halfway point of the NFL season as we reach Week 9, and it’s shaping up to be a relatively low-scoring week. Only two games (TB @ SEA, DET @ OAK) have expected totals north of 50 points, while six games are expected to score 43 points or fewer. The plethora of low-scoring projections means we’ll just have to be extra judicious when building our lineups, as the big plays could be few and far between.
Matthew Stafford (DET): $7,900 @ OAK
Oakland’s secondary has been getting shredded by opposing quarterbacks lately, having allowed at least three passing touchdowns in three of their last four games, with only Chase Daniel failing to reach that three touchdown threshold. They’ve allowed the second-most points per game to opposing quarterbacks this season, along with the second-most passing touchdowns and the fourth-highest yards per attempt in the league. Stafford himself has been on a roll lately, throwing for at least 291 yards and three touchdown passes in three of his last four games. He’s taken advantage of some great matchups over that stretch, and he’ll do it again as he takes on the scuffling Oakland Raiders.
Dalvin Cook (MIN): $9,000 @ KC
The Chiefs’ run defense has been among the league’s worst this season, allowing the third-most points per game and tied for the highest YPC allowed in the NFL. Even though they held Aaron Jones to just 67 yards on the ground last week, Jones torched them with 159 receiving yards and two touchdowns. Kansas City has struggled against the run all season, and they haven’t face a back of Cook’s caliber thus far. The 24-year-old is a volume monster, getting over 25 touches in three of his last four games, and getting at least 20 touches in all but one game this season. He’s made a lot out of that volume as well, scoring at least 22 FanDuel points in all but two games this year. Cook is a superstar talent in a juicy matchup, and that makes him worth the high price tag on this slate.
Le’Veon Bell (NYJ): $7,200 @ MIA
Speaking of superstar talent in a juicy matchup, Le’Veon Bell has a date with the Miami Dolphins on Sunday. The best part about Bell is that his poor performances from the Sam Darnold-less Jets have depressed his price into the mid-range. $7,200 is a steal for a player of Bell’s skill level in this matchup. The Dolphins have allowed the most rushing yards and third-most points per game to opposing running backs this season. With the Jets a rare -3 road favorite, the game script will be in Bell’s favor for once, and he’ll have plenty of opportunities to shine in this game. If there was ever a week to use Bell, it’s this one.
Kenny Golladay (DET): $7,600 @ OAK
I usually want to pair a quarterback with his number one receiver, and the Lions allow us to do so pretty easily with Golladay and Stafford. Both are under 8K, and the duo produced a combined 49.68 points last week. While it would be unrealistic to expect two touchdowns from Golladay again, he has been the most consistently targeted and most consistently productive of Detroit’s receivers and draws an excellent matchup against the Raiders’ awful secondary. The Raiders have allowed the fifth-most points to opposing wide receivers this season, along with the fourth-highest yards per target and tied for sixth-most receiving touchdowns allowed. The Raiders currently have four defensive backs on IR and shipped starter Gareon Conley off to Houston a few weeks ago. Conley isn’t good, but it’s still a considerable blow to an already weak unit. Golladay gives us WR1 upside while being priced slightly below the tippy-top tier, making him the perfect pair with Matthew Stafford in this one.
Allen Robinson (CHI): $7,200 @ PHI
The Eagles have been atrocious against wide receivers this season, having allowed the most points per game and the second-most receiving touchdowns in the league. Robinson is the only legitimate receiving threat in this offense and could be primed for a big game in Philadelphia. He’s been heavily targeted by both Mitch Trubisky and Chase Daniel, and he’s got a nice floor with at least seven targets in every game this season. Robinson allows us a reliable receiver to take advantage of the best matchup for receivers.
Tyrell Williams (OAK): $6,300 vs. DET
Williams returned last week from plantar fasciitis after a month off, and proceeded to score his fifth touchdown in as many games. The ex-Charger has been excellent when healthy, and his long layoff seems to have depressed his price, as Williams is just $6,300 in this plus matchup against the Lions. Detroit has allowed the ninth-most fantasy points per game to opposing wide receivers, and the trade of Quandre Diggs certainly won’t help this defense improve against the pass. They are also dealing with injuries to starters Darius Slay and Tracy Walker, further thinning out an already depleted unit. With a massive 50.5 O/U, we’ll want pieces from both sides in this game, and Williams allows us to get some cheap exposure to Oakland.
Dallas Goedert (PHI): $5,000 vs. CHI
It is a barren wasteland for cheap tight ends this week, but you won’t catch me paying up for the high end and this position any time soon. That leaves us with some dicey options, but Goedert at least provides some upside at a low price tag. Despite being the number two tight end on his own team, Goedert has been getting decent volume as of late, averaging just under six targets per game over the last three weeks. It helps that he’s scored twice over that stretch, but we can expect a good number of red-zone looks for the 6’5″ Goedert, even if he’s playing second fiddle to Zach Ertz. Rather than mess around with cheap number ones, I’d rather take a shot on Goedert at his $5K salary.
Mark Walton (MIA): $5,700 vs. NYJ
Nothing screams cashing in DFS quite like a Miami Dolphins running back, but Walton gives us a steady amount of work in a solid matchup. The Jets have allowed the 12th-most fantasy points per game to opposing running backs this season, and just traded away star defensive end Leonard Williams. As a mere -3 home dog, this will be one of Miami’s best chances at winning a game this season, whether they want to or not. Walton should be a lock for double-digit carries and touches, and there’s plenty of room for him to produce against the Jets. Walton will likely have low ownership in GPP games as well, making him the perfect contrarian flex.
Cleveland Browns: $4,300 @ DEN
I guess playing without Joe Flacco is considered an offensive downgrade for the Broncos, as this game has gone from a 43.0 O/U at open to a 39.0 O/U as of writing this. Denver has also gone from a -1 favorite to a +3 underdog, which further tips the scales in favor of Cleveland. Denver is turning to Brandon Allen as their starting quarterback in this one. No, not the failed slugging prospect from the Chicago White Sox system, though I’m not sure there would be a huge difference. Allen did put up decent numbers in his senior year at Arkansas, throwing for 30 touchdowns with a 166.5 passer rating. When you factor in that he was playing in the SEC, he’s basically Aaron Rodgers. In all seriousness, we shouldn’t expect much out of Allen this week, and the late-ish news on Flacco has kept the Browns defense reasonably priced in what could be a low-scoring, turnover-heavy game.