Fantasy Football Buy/Sell/Hold Picks (Week 7)
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Whether you’re buying or selling, here’s a list of players to consider making a move on before it’s too late.
Players to Buy
Travis Kelce (TE – KC)
Similar to Sammy Watkins, Kelce’s production wasn’t what everyone expected without Tyreek Hill in the lineup. Many expected a higher ceiling, but what we saw was more attention. Kelce is on pace for 1,325 yards right now, which is just 11 yards off his pace from 2018. He’s scored just one touchdown to this point, which will keep his price down. Once he has a two-touchdown game, there will be no more discount. You should checking in with the Kelce owner to see what it’d take to acquire him.
Zach Ertz (TE – PHI)
He’s gotten off to a slow start in 2019, though his vitals are good. He’s seen 54 targets over the first six weeks (leads tight ends), has caught 33 balls (fourth among tight ends) for 366 yards (fifth among tight ends), but has just one touchdown. With touchdowns being the most unpredictable thing in football, you don’t want to lean on those too much. While someone else invested a pick inside the top three rounds on him, this could be your chance to reap the benefits.
Julian Edelman (WR – NE)
The Patriots are averaging nearly 39 pass attempts over their first six games, and that’s despite out-scoring their opponents 190-48. That’s going to amount to tons of targets for Tom Brady‘s No. 1 option. Now that we know Josh Gordon is ailing and Phillip Dorsett is dealing with a hamstring injury, there are not many familiar faces left. Edelman should be considered a high-end WR2 moving forward.
Darren Waller (TE – OAK)
Knowing the volatility among tight ends this year, why not go out and buy one of them who’s receiving a monster workload? His 26 percent target share is not only tops at the tight end position, but it ranks in the top 10 at wide receiver as well. He’s still yet to score a touchdown, so you may be able to get him at a discount. Knowing he already has his bye week out of the way is another bonus, as you simply set-it-and-forget-it at tight end the rest of the way.
James White (RB – NE)
Over the last five years of White’s career, he’s scored a touchdown once every 16.9 touches. That number sits at one every 49.0 touches in 2019. Knowing we have such a large sample size we’re working with, you know you’re buying White at his floor, as the touchdowns will come. With all the injuries they’ve dealt with at receiver, White has seen at least nine targets in each of the last three games.
Carson Wentz (QB – PHI)
Wentz hasn’t looked particularly great over the first month-plus of the season, but much of that has been without DeSean Jackson, who’s a major part of how the offense moves. Knowing that Jackson is due back potentially this week, it’s time to buy-low on Wentz. Knowing how bad the defense has been, he’ll be involved in plenty of shootouts.
Chris Thompson (RB – WAS)
We knew Adrian Peterson would carry the workload against the Dolphins, right? It made perfect sense for Thompson to be a small part of the gameplan, but moving forward, he’ll be much more involved. Over the next three weeks, they’ll play the 49ers, Vikings, and Bills defenses, three teams who’ve shut down opposing run-games. It’ll lead the Redskins to more pass attempts and more check-downs to Thompson, who should deliver RB3-type numbers in PPR formats.
Players to Sell
Davante Adams (WR – GB)
If you find someone willing to give you WR1-type value for Adams, you should definitely consider it. They may think they’re pulling a fast one over you now that he’s missed two games, but even when he comes back, there’s no guarantee Adams is the same player. Foot injuries can affect pass-catchers all season, and knowing it’s caused him to miss two games already, it’s clear that this is no small issue he’s dealing with.
Lamar Jackson (QB – BAL)
You shouldn’t be looking to sell for just anything, but why not put the fellers out there to see what someone is willing to pay. After another cake matchup against the lowly Bengals, Jackson will now head into a matchup with the Seahawks, then have his bye week, and then play the red-hot Patriots. It’s likely that we see his stock fall down a bit during this stretch, so the idea of selling-high makes plenty of sense.
Damien Williams (RB – KC)
Are you able to sell him based on his touchdown last week? That’d be nice, because this backfield has the looks of a real-life nightmare moving forward. Over the last two weeks, the touch-count has looked like this: Damien Williams 14, LeSean McCoy 12, Darrel Williams 1. We heard Andy Reid say this was going to be a timeshare, though we didn’t want to believe him. This is going to be a volatile backfield moving forward.
Stefon Diggs (WR – MIN)
I was telling everyone to buy Diggs before the Eagles game, and you can choose to hang onto him with plus-matchups in two of his next three games, but you’re also risking him seeing four targets again. The Vikings will be a run-first team, that much we know. The Eagles were a shutdown run-defense and the only way to move the ball against them was through the air, hence Diggs’ breakout performance. He’s still a top-25 wide receiver moving forward, but maybe you can get someone to pay top-15 prices after that game.
Greg Olsen (TE – CAR)
Now that he’s had his two games against the Bucs and one game against the Cardinals, you should be willing to let Olsen go. Outside of his three games against those two teams, he’s compiled just six catches for 41 scoreless yards in his other three games… combined. He’s nothing more than a streaming option.
Players to Hold
Miles Sanders (RB – PHI)
It’s been a rough start to the season for Sanders investors and it hasn’t been getting much better. The Eagles have been giving more and more carries to Jordan Howard. The good news is that the Eagles are going to be involved in many shootouts with the way their defense is playing. Sanders is locked into the passing-down role, which offered value in a game they trailed last week. Knowing they spent a second-round pick on him, they have an excuse to continually involve him, not to mention he’s the most explosive back they have. You have to hang tight with Sanders, though it doesn’t appear he’ll ever become the sturdy RB2 we were hoping for.
Sammy Watkins (WR – KC)
Before you panic and trade Watkins away for a ham sandwich, take a breath and see what happens next week. He didn’t live up to expectations with Tyreek Hill out of the lineup, but maybe that’s something we all missed. Maybe Watkins performs much better with Hill in the lineup as Hill’s someone who’ll stretch the field, and not make Watkins the focal point of the offense. Unless you get low-end WR2 value in a trade, hold onto Watkins for the time being.
Kirk Cousins (QB – MIN)
Many buried Cousins early in the year due to some tough matchups, but it was a bit premature. Now coming off a couple QB1 performances, some will wonder if they should sell Cousins. He hit a great spot in his schedule, and though the Lions aren’t a matchup you need to attack in Week 7, he’ll be playing against the Redskins (his former team) and the Chiefs the following two weeks.